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Latest signal:

BK Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 25 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-19 → 2025-01-08

⚠️ Small sample size (25 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Bank of New York Mellon Corporation STATE COMMERCIAL BANKS (SIC 6022)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Dec 04, 1969 🔗 www.bny.com
💰 Market Cap: $80.94B 👥 Employees: 49,200
Bank of New York Mellon is a global investment company involved in managing and servicing financial assets throughout the investment lifecycle. The bank provides financial services for institutions, corporations, and individual investors, delivering investment management and services in 35 countries and more than 100 markets. BNY is the largest global custody bank in the world, with $59.3 trillion in under custody or administration (as of December 2025), and can act as a single point of contact for clients looking to create, trade, hold, manage, service, distribute, or restructure investments. BNY's asset-management division manages about $2.2 trillion in assets.
📊
25
Total Alerts
🎯
52.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-0.19%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+1.17%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 52.0%
Avg Gain: -0.19%
Avg Winner: +0.45%
Avg Loser: -0.88%
Best: +1.24%
Worst: -2.98%
Trades: 13/12

15MIN

Win Rate: 44.0%
Avg Gain: -0.21%
Avg Winner: +0.60%
Avg Loser: -0.84%
Best: +1.17%
Worst: -2.91%
Trades: 11/14

30MIN

Win Rate: 36.0%
Avg Gain: -0.17%
Avg Winner: +0.88%
Avg Loser: -0.77%
Best: +1.71%
Worst: -2.16%
Trades: 9/16

60MIN

Win Rate: 36.0%
Avg Gain: -0.32%
Avg Winner: +0.79%
Avg Loser: -0.94%
Best: +1.69%
Worst: -4.27%
Trades: 9/16

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 44.0%
Avg Gain: +0.02%
Avg Winner: +1.59%
Avg Loser: -1.20%
Best: +3.92%
Worst: -6.00%
Trades: 11/14

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.17%
Best MFE: +5.05%
Avg Time to MFE: 152 min

On average, BK alerts reach +1.17% profit potential within 152 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.91%
Worst MAE: -3.55%
Avg Time to MAE: 19 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.91%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.28:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 25 alerts, BK typically reaches +1.17% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 25
Gap Up % 44.0%
Avg Gap -0.14%
Best Gap +1.34%

🏭 Sector Comparison: STATE COMMERCIAL BANKS

How BK compares to 29 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
BK: -0.19% Sector: -0.03% -0.16%
EOD Gain
BK: +0.02% Sector: -0.04% +0.07%
Avg MFE
BK: +1.17% Sector: +1.25% -0.09%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical BK alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-08 09:28:48 $78.18 -0.96% -1.28% -1.48% -1.78% -0.29% -0.22% -1.79% -0.36% LOSS
2025-01-07 09:27:12 $78.58 -0.49% -0.34% -0.81% -0.99% -0.79% -0.11% -1.93% -0.57% LOSS
2024-12-03 09:26:15 $81.49 +0.44% +0.48% +0.58% -0.16% -0.79% +0.72% - +0.47% WIN
2024-12-02 09:28:56 $81.9 +0.18% -0.10% -0.74% -0.69% -0.96% +0.43% +0.12% +0.24% WIN
2024-11-14 09:26:37 $78.39 -0.57% -0.87% -0.40% -0.38% -1.05% -0.10% -1.02% -0.77% LOSS
2024-08-12 09:25:07 $64.0 +0.09% +0.06% -0.55% -0.44% -1.14% +0.41% -0.31% -0.20% WIN
2024-06-26 09:26:14 $58.79 -0.65% -0.26% -0.48% -0.71% -0.20% +0.03% -1.03% -0.53% LOSS
2023-07-18 09:25:00 $43.62 +1.24% +0.40% +1.71% +1.15% +3.92% +5.05% -1.19% +0.32% WIN
2023-04-18 09:28:00 $43.31 +0.79% +1.15% -0.77% +0.28% +3.65% +3.76% -1.34% +1.34% WIN
2023-04-17 09:28:00 $44.0 -2.98% -2.91% -0.57% -2.53% +0.52% +0.68% -3.55% -0.70% LOSS
2023-02-10 09:26:00 $51.57 -0.52% -0.54% -0.48% -0.19% -0.33% +0.04% -1.05% -0.54% LOSS
2023-01-04 09:29:00 $47.25 +0.59% +0.25% +0.30% +0.06% +0.40% +1.65% -0.32% +0.70% WIN
2022-12-09 09:25:00 $44.44 +0.49% +1.17% +1.13% +0.57% +0.61% +1.76% +0.14% +0.20% WIN
2022-09-16 09:25:00 $44.44 -1.06% -1.22% -1.55% -0.67% -1.24% -0.29% -1.28% -0.79% LOSS
2022-09-13 09:25:00 $44.31 -0.41% -0.07% +0.64% +0.01% -0.45% +1.24% -1.22% -1.04% LOSS
2022-09-07 09:25:00 $40.87 +0.28% +0.78% +0.88% +1.30% +3.82% +4.12% -0.05% +0.22% WIN
2022-04-25 09:25:00 $43.96 -1.00% -0.75% -0.96% -0.80% +0.93% +1.18% -1.87% -0.39% LOSS
2022-03-30 09:25:00 $52.01 +0.54% -0.02% +0.10% -0.09% -0.33% +0.81% -0.12% +0.17% WIN
2022-02-14 09:25:00 $62.3 +0.19% +0.11% -0.08% -0.82% -1.33% +0.37% -0.29% +0.08% WIN
2022-02-11 09:25:00 $63.58 -0.88% -0.71% -0.08% +0.55% -1.97% +1.12% -1.35% -0.68% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ BK Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 52.0% win rate, BK has -0.19% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making BK profitable.

🔧 Fix BK Risk/Reward →

Why Analyze BK with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for BK. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, BK historically offers an average upside of +1.17% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 BK Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 52.0%, BK shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-0.88%) outweigh average wins (+0.45%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: BK shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.19%). This suggests BK is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.