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BLCO Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 8 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-08-31 → 2025-02-06

⚠️ Small sample size (8 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Bausch + Lomb Corporation OPHTHALMIC GOODS (SIC 3851)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: May 06, 2022 🔗 www.bausch.com
💰 Market Cap: $6.01B 👥 Employees: 13,500
Bausch & Lomb is one of the largest vision care companies in the US. The firm was previously a subsidiary under parent company Bausch Health and it was spun off to become a public company in 2022. It operates in three segments: vision care, surgical, and ophthalmic pharmaceuticals. Vision care is composed of contact lenses, a market that B&L controls 10%, and ocular health products, which includes Biotrue and Lumify. Surgical includes a suite of intraocular lenses, equipment for cataract and vitreoretinal surgeries, as well as surgical instruments. Ophthalmic pharmaceuticals has a diverse lineup of products, including Xipere, Vyzulta, and Lotemax that treat different complications. With over 100 products, B&L has the largest portfolio of eye care prescriptions in the space.
📊
8
Total Alerts
🎯
62.5%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
+0.58%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+2.28%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 57.1%
Avg Gain: -0.27%
Avg Winner: +0.44%
Avg Loser: -1.21%
Best: +0.93%
Worst: -2.05%
Trades: 4/3

15MIN

Win Rate: 42.9%
Avg Gain: +0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.75%
Avg Loser: -0.54%
Best: +1.21%
Worst: -1.16%
Trades: 3/4

30MIN

Win Rate: 62.5%
Avg Gain: +0.58%
Avg Winner: +1.55%
Avg Loser: -1.03%
Best: +2.68%
Worst: -1.67%
Trades: 5/3

60MIN

Win Rate: 37.5%
Avg Gain: -0.02%
Avg Winner: +1.93%
Avg Loser: -1.18%
Best: +2.34%
Worst: -2.70%
Trades: 3/5

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.37%
Avg Winner: +1.76%
Avg Loser: -2.50%
Best: +3.51%
Worst: -3.53%
Trades: 4/4

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.28%
Best MFE: +5.13%
Avg Time to MFE: 55 min

On average, BLCO alerts reach +2.28% profit potential within 55 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.51%
Worst MAE: -2.00%
Avg Time to MAE: 4 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.51%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

4.48:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 4.48x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 8 alerts, BLCO typically reaches +2.28% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 8
Gap Up % 87.5%
Avg Gap +0.37%
Best Gap +1.49%

🏭 Sector Comparison: OPHTHALMIC GOODS

How BLCO compares to 6 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
BLCO: -0.35% Sector: +0.86% -1.21%
EOD Gain
BLCO: -1.24% Sector: +428.54% -429.78%
Avg MFE
BLCO: +1.79% Sector: +8.76% -6.97%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical BLCO alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-06 09:27:45 $16.5 -1.36% +1.21% +0.09% -1.33% -2.67% +1.91% -2.00% +0.24% LOSS
2024-12-11 09:29:37 $18.1 -0.22% +0.41% +0.94% -0.30% +0.33% +1.93% -1.10% +0.28% LOSS
2024-10-15 09:25:43 $21.5 -2.05% -1.16% -1.67% -2.70% -3.53% - -0.23% -0.79% LOSS
2024-09-24 09:27:32 $19.48 +0.31% -0.10% -0.05% -0.10% -1.39% +0.72% +0.72% +0.05% WIN
2024-09-23 09:27:02 $19.96 +0.93% -0.60% -1.35% -1.48% -2.40% +1.40% +1.15% +1.40% WIN
2024-08-06 09:27:51 $15.4 - +0.62% +2.34% +2.34% +3.51% +5.13% -0.06% +1.49% -
2024-07-30 09:27:54 $16.7 +0.24% - +1.71% +1.11% +1.02% +2.34% -1.44% +0.12% WIN
2022-08-31 09:25:00 $14.56 +0.27% -0.31% +2.68% +2.34% +2.20% +4.77% -1.10% +0.14% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 62.5% Baseline on BLCO

The 62.5% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push BLCO's performance to 75%+.

Optimize BLCO Strategy →

Why Analyze BLCO with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for BLCO. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, BLCO historically offers an average upside of +2.28% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 BLCO Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 62.5%, BLCO shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show BLCO performs best on the 30MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.58%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.