Latest signal:
BND Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 55 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-05 → 2025-02-11
⚠️ Small sample size (55 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, BND alerts reach +0.12% profit potential within 131 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.10%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 55 alerts, BND typically reaches +0.12% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.1% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical BND alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-11 | 09:25:27 | $72.3 | -0.12% | -0.12% | -0.09% | -0.15% | -0.08% | +0.01% | -0.14% | +0.01% | LOSS |
| 2025-02-07 | 09:26:22 | $72.55 | -0.21% | -0.21% | -0.23% | -0.32% | -0.29% | -0.15% | -0.25% | -0.22% | LOSS |
| 2025-02-06 | 09:29:41 | $72.55 | +0.04% | +0.07% | +0.05% | +0.04% | +0.01% | +0.14% | -0.03% | +0.01% | WIN |
| 2025-02-03 | 09:28:22 | $72.44 | -0.28% | -0.24% | -0.28% | -0.30% | -0.37% | -0.02% | -0.37% | -0.29% | LOSS |
| 2024-12-23 | 09:29:39 | $72.14 | +0.05% | -0.01% | -0.02% | -0.15% | -0.22% | +0.10% | -0.01% | -0.01% | WIN |
| 2024-11-22 | 09:26:52 | $72.62 | -0.03% | +0.02% | -0.04% | -0.06% | -0.04% | +0.07% | -0.14% | - | LOSS |
| 2024-08-20 | 09:28:51 | $74.45 | -0.01% | +0.04% | +0.02% | +0.05% | +0.15% | +0.17% | -0.05% | +0.05% | LOSS |
| 2024-08-15 | 09:27:28 | $74.0 | -0.06% | -0.10% | -0.09% | +0.09% | +0.12% | +0.12% | -0.12% | -0.05% | LOSS |
| 2024-07-17 | 09:28:11 | $72.99 | -0.04% | -0.02% | -0.04% | -0.11% | +0.15% | +0.21% | -0.14% | -0.07% | LOSS |
| 2024-07-15 | 09:27:18 | $72.79 | +0.07% | +0.05% | -0.01% | -0.03% | -0.06% | +0.16% | -0.04% | +0.03% | WIN |
| 2024-07-01 | 09:25:36 | $71.86 | -0.43% | -0.38% | -0.36% | -0.51% | -0.57% | -0.14% | -0.45% | -0.39% | LOSS |
| 2024-04-30 | 09:25:30 | $70.79 | -0.09% | -0.11% | -0.08% | - | -0.17% | +0.07% | -0.16% | -0.08% | LOSS |
| 2024-04-19 | 09:28:28 | $71.0 | -0.22% | -0.24% | -0.30% | -0.35% | -0.30% | -0.17% | -0.21% | -0.21% | LOSS |
| 2024-04-16 | 09:29:02 | $70.52 | -0.06% | -0.10% | -0.04% | -0.02% | +0.04% | +0.13% | -0.15% | - | LOSS |
| 2024-04-15 | 09:29:16 | $70.87 | -0.06% | -0.11% | -0.10% | -0.29% | -0.20% | -0.01% | -0.06% | -0.03% | LOSS |
| 2024-04-10 | 09:27:26 | $71.65 | -0.38% | -0.38% | -0.45% | -0.53% | -0.85% | -0.36% | -0.43% | -0.38% | LOSS |
| 2024-04-08 | 09:29:12 | $71.6 | +0.01% | +0.01% | +0.09% | +0.08% | +0.03% | +0.14% | -0.03% | +0.02% | WIN |
| 2024-04-05 | 09:29:28 | $71.67 | +0.08% | +0.17% | +0.22% | +0.31% | +0.01% | +0.36% | +0.07% | +0.13% | WIN |
| 2024-04-02 | 09:25:07 | $71.7 | -0.03% | -0.07% | -0.10% | +0.07% | +0.20% | +0.21% | -0.16% | -0.03% | LOSS |
| 2024-03-28 | 09:26:45 | $72.65 | -0.07% | -0.07% | - | +0.03% | -0.03% | +0.14% | -0.11% | -0.01% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ BND Shows Negative Expectancy
With 45.5% win rate and -0.08% average gain, BND alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider BND for short-selling strategies.
📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →Why Analyze BND with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for BND. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, BND historically offers an average upside of +0.12% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 BND Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 45.5%, BND shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests BND may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: BND shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -0.08%). This suggests BND is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.