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BNED Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 6 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-03-28 → 2023-12-08

⚠️ Small sample size (6 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jul 23, 2015 🔗 www.bned.com
💰 Market Cap: $311.6M 👥 Employees: 3,559
Barnes & Noble Education Inc is a contract operator of physical and virtual bookstores for college and university campuses and K-12 institutions across the United States. The company is also a textbook wholesaler and inventory management hardware and software provider. It offers course materials through physical and online bookstores, including new and used print textbooks, rental options, digital textbooks, and publisher-hosted digital courseware. Products are also offered directly to students through Textbooks.com. The majority of the company's revenue is derived from the sale of products through its bookstore locations, including virtual bookstores, and the bookstore affiliated e-commerce websites.
📊
6
Total Alerts
🎯
66.7%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+2.81%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+9.45%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +2.81%
Avg Winner: +5.30%
Avg Loser: -2.16%
Best: +11.11%
Worst: -3.99%
Trades: 4/2

15MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: +2.16%
Avg Winner: +10.02%
Avg Loser: -2.36%
Best: +17.63%
Worst: -3.01%
Trades: 2/3

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.27%
Avg Winner: +5.53%
Avg Loser: -4.99%
Best: +9.64%
Worst: -6.65%
Trades: 3/3

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.67%
Avg Winner: +4.47%
Avg Loser: -5.82%
Best: +10.58%
Worst: -6.21%
Trades: 3/3

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +6351.80%
Avg Winner: +9528.77%
Avg Loser: -2.13%
Best: +10037.93%
Worst: -2.66%
Trades: 4/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +9.45%
Best MFE: +20.77%
Avg Time to MFE: 60 min

On average, BNED alerts reach +9.45% profit potential within 60 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -3.28%
Worst MAE: -8.97%
Avg Time to MAE: 24 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 3.28%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.88:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.88x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 6 alerts, BNED typically reaches +9.45% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 7.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 6
Gap Up % 33.3%
Avg Gap -0.80%
Best Gap +1.60%

🏭 Sector Comparison: RETAIL-MISCELLANEOUS SHOPPING GOODS STORES

How BNED compares to 4 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
BNED: +2.81% Sector: +1.05% +1.76%
EOD Gain
BNED: +6351.80% Sector: +889.13% +5462.67%
Avg MFE
BNED: +9.45% Sector: +7.03% +2.42%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical BNED alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-12-08 09:28:00 $1.25 +8.00% +2.40% +1.70% +2.33% -1.60% +8.80% - +1.60% WIN
2023-12-07 09:25:00 $1.33 +0.75% -3.01% +5.26% +0.51% +9448.87% +11.28% -2.26% -1.88% WIN
2023-08-04 09:29:00 $1.65 -0.33% -1.82% -4.24% -6.06% +9839.39% +4.85% -0.23% - LOSS
2023-07-31 09:27:00 $1.45 +1.32% - -4.07% -6.21% +10037.93% +6.21% -8.97% -2.07% WIN
2023-03-10 09:27:00 $2.07 +11.11% +17.63% +9.64% +10.58% +8788.89% +20.77% - +0.48% WIN
2022-03-28 09:25:00 $3.76 -3.99% -2.26% -6.65% -5.19% -2.66% +4.79% -8.24% -2.93% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 66.7% Baseline on BNED

The 66.7% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push BNED's performance to 75%+.

Optimize BNED Strategy →

Why Analyze BNED with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for BNED. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, BNED historically offers an average upside of +9.45% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 BNED Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 66.7%, BNED shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show BNED performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +2.81%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.