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Latest signal:

BOX Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 17 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-03-03 → 2024-09-18

⚠️ Small sample size (17 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jan 23, 2015 🔗 www.box.com
💰 Market Cap: $3.79B 👥 Employees: 2,810
Box is a cloud-based content management platform that provides storage and workflow collaboration services for enterprise customers. The firm was founded in 2005 as a file, sync, and share provider. Over time, it built out and acquired workflow and security tools to evolve the pure-play FSS business into a content management business. Most recently, Box has been pursuing an AI-powered, intelligent content management strategy that can allow for metadata extraction and workflow automation.
📊
17
Total Alerts
🎯
52.9%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
+0.00%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+1.57%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 35.3%
Avg Gain: -0.04%
Avg Winner: +1.16%
Avg Loser: -0.70%
Best: +3.41%
Worst: -1.57%
Trades: 6/11

15MIN

Win Rate: 47.1%
Avg Gain: -0.21%
Avg Winner: +1.39%
Avg Loser: -1.63%
Best: +4.81%
Worst: -6.11%
Trades: 8/9

30MIN

Win Rate: 52.9%
Avg Gain: +0.00%
Avg Winner: +1.66%
Avg Loser: -1.85%
Best: +6.29%
Worst: -5.15%
Trades: 9/8

60MIN

Win Rate: 41.2%
Avg Gain: -0.16%
Avg Winner: +1.68%
Avg Loser: -1.46%
Best: +5.52%
Worst: -4.92%
Trades: 7/10

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 35.3%
Avg Gain: -0.29%
Avg Winner: +1.85%
Avg Loser: -1.46%
Best: +6.79%
Worst: -4.57%
Trades: 6/11

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.57%
Best MFE: +7.46%
Avg Time to MFE: 44 min

On average, BOX alerts reach +1.57% profit potential within 44 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.97%
Worst MAE: -3.19%
Avg Time to MAE: 5 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.97%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.61:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 17 alerts, BOX typically reaches +1.57% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.3% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 17
Gap Up % 52.9%
Avg Gap -0.08%
Best Gap +1.54%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE

How BOX compares to 137 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
BOX: -0.04% Sector: -0.09% +0.05%
EOD Gain
BOX: -0.29% Sector: +73.64% -73.93%
Avg MFE
BOX: +1.57% Sector: +4.32% -2.75%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical BOX alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-09-18 09:29:59 $33.41 -0.06% -0.30% -1.05% -0.93% -0.96% +0.51% -0.09% +0.27% LOSS
2024-08-28 09:28:18 $29.91 +3.41% +4.81% +6.29% +5.52% +6.79% +7.46% +0.08% +0.30% WIN
2024-08-09 09:27:10 $27.24 +0.15% -0.44% -0.84% -0.81% +0.99% +1.06% -1.06% - WIN
2024-04-10 09:27:30 $27.58 -0.91% -1.05% -0.54% -0.14% -0.73% +0.11% -1.23% -0.22% LOSS
2024-03-08 09:28:28 $29.73 +0.47% +0.54% +0.64% +1.31% -0.34% +1.48% -0.07% +0.34% WIN
2024-03-06 09:28:04 $29.79 -0.64% -6.11% -5.15% -2.64% -0.64% +0.77% -3.19% -2.82% LOSS
2023-12-06 09:29:00 $23.85 -0.55% +2.41% +1.89% +1.91% +0.50% +3.10% -2.35% +0.75% LOSS
2023-09-06 09:29:00 $26.17 -0.48% -0.15% -0.57% -0.88% -0.50% - - -0.65% LOSS
2023-08-30 09:27:00 $28.06 -0.82% -1.32% +0.23% -2.35% -3.74% +1.18% -2.82% -1.35% LOSS
2023-07-28 09:28:00 $31.01 +0.66% +0.71% +0.58% +0.10% -0.16% +0.84% +0.19% +0.45% WIN
2023-06-08 09:25:00 $28.71 -0.47% +0.14% +0.52% +1.01% +0.73% +1.36% -0.59% -0.28% LOSS
2023-03-03 09:29:00 $29.45 -0.22% -1.19% -1.39% -1.34% -3.12% +0.27% -0.65% +0.10% LOSS
2023-03-02 09:29:00 $28.9 -1.57% +0.05% +1.73% +0.02% +1.18% +2.94% -3.13% -0.07% LOSS
2023-01-30 09:29:00 $32.17 -0.87% -1.06% -0.68% -0.11% -1.15% +0.19% -1.52% -0.87% LOSS
2022-12-15 09:25:00 $31.1 +1.19% +1.13% +1.41% -0.43% -0.13% +1.74% +0.58% +0.58% WIN
2022-12-09 09:25:00 $27.86 +1.08% +1.33% +1.62% +1.90% +0.90% +2.98% +0.39% +1.54% WIN
2022-03-03 09:25:00 $27.82 -1.08% -3.09% -4.60% -4.92% -4.57% +0.75% -1.11% +0.65% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ BOX Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 52.9% win rate, BOX has +0.00% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making BOX profitable.

🔧 Fix BOX Risk/Reward →

Why Analyze BOX with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for BOX. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, BOX historically offers an average upside of +1.57% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 BOX Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 52.9%, BOX shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: BOX shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at +0.00%). This suggests BOX is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.