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BPOP Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 3 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2024-06-21 β†’ 2024-09-06

⚠️ Small sample size (3 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏒 Company Profile

πŸ“ NASDAQ πŸ“… IPO: Mar 26, 1990 πŸ”— www.popular.com
πŸ’° Market Cap: $8.13B πŸ‘₯ Employees: 9,406
Popular Inc, based in Puerto Rico, is a financial holding company with four main subsidiaries: Banco Popular de Puerto Rico, aΒ bank in Puerto Rico in terms of assets; Banco Popular North America, its banking operation in the continental United States; Evertec, a data processor; and Popular Financial Holdings, a diversified financial services company. The Corporation's reportable segments consist of Banco Popular de Puerto Rico and Popular U.S.
πŸ“Š
3
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (15MIN)
πŸ’°
+0.26%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
πŸš€
+1.58%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

πŸ“ˆ Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.15%
Avg Winner: +0.04%
Avg Loser: -0.25%
Best: +0.04%
Worst: -0.43%
Trades: 1/2

15MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +0.26%
Avg Winner: +0.26%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +0.61%
Worst: +0.06%
Trades: 3/0

30MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +0.54%
Avg Winner: +0.54%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +1.10%
Worst: +0.21%
Trades: 3/0

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.56%
Avg Winner: +1.49%
Avg Loser: -0.37%
Best: +1.49%
Worst: -0.37%
Trades: 1/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +0.04%
Avg Winner: +1.26%
Avg Loser: -2.38%
Best: +2.50%
Worst: -2.38%
Trades: 2/1

πŸš€ Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

πŸ“ˆ MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.58%
Best MFE: +3.91%
Avg Time to MFE: 207 min

On average, BPOP alerts reach +1.58% profit potential within 207 minutes.

πŸ“‰ MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.61%
Worst MAE: -0.96%
Avg Time to MAE: 18 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.61%.

βš–οΈ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.61:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.61x the typical drawdown.

πŸ’‘ Trading Insight: Based on 3 alerts, BPOP typically reaches +1.58% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.3% to capture most of the move.

πŸŒ… Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 β†’ 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 3
Gap Up % 66.7%
Avg Gap -0.03%
Best Gap +0.18%

🏭 Sector Comparison: STATE COMMERCIAL BANKS

How BPOP compares to 29 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
BPOP: -0.20% Sector: -0.03% -0.17%
EOD Gain
BPOP: +0.06% Sector: -0.04% +0.10%
Avg MFE
BPOP: +2.11% Sector: +1.25% +0.85%

πŸ“‹ Last 20 Alerts

Historical BPOP alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-09-06 09:25:17 $99.14 -0.43% +0.11% +0.30% -0.37% -2.38% +0.30% -0.96% -0.43% LOSS
2024-06-24 09:29:16 $85.08 +0.04% +0.61% +1.10% +1.49% +2.50% +3.91% -0.39% +0.16% WIN
2024-06-21 09:27:54 $85.07 -0.07% +0.06% +0.21% - +0.01% +0.53% -0.47% +0.18% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

πŸš€ Beat the 100.0% Baseline on BPOP

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push BPOP's performance to 75%+.

Optimize BPOP Strategy β†’

Why Analyze BPOP with FILTRIX?

πŸ›‘οΈ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for BPOP. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

πŸ’° Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, BPOP historically offers an average upside of +1.58% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

πŸ“Š BPOP Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, BPOP shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show BPOP performs best on the 15MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.26%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.