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BRN Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 7 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-24 → 2023-04-03

⚠️ Small sample size (7 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Barnwell Industries, Inc. CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS (SIC 1311)
📍 NYSE American 📅 IPO: Jun 01, 1972 🔗 www.brninc.com
💰 Market Cap: $13.9M 👥 Employees: 18
Barnwell Industries Inc is an oil and gas company engaged in the acquisition, development, production, and sale of crude oil and natural gas. The Company operates through two segments: the Oil and Natural Gas segment, which focuses on oil and natural gas development, production, acquisitions, and sales in the United States and Canada; and the Land Investment segment, which owns leasehold land interests in Hawaii. The Company generates the majority of its revenue from the Oil and Natural Gas segment. The company operates in two geographic regions, the United States and Canada, with Canada contributing the majority of revenue.
📊
7
Total Alerts
🎯
71.4%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
-2.17%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+13.83%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 14.3%
Avg Gain: -2.02%
Avg Winner: +3.76%
Avg Loser: -2.99%
Best: +3.76%
Worst: -9.26%
Trades: 1/6

15MIN

Win Rate: 42.9%
Avg Gain: -0.28%
Avg Winner: +5.57%
Avg Loser: -4.67%
Best: +15.25%
Worst: -8.81%
Trades: 3/4

30MIN

Win Rate: 28.6%
Avg Gain: +0.56%
Avg Winner: +16.17%
Avg Loser: -7.11%
Best: +29.80%
Worst: -22.31%
Trades: 2/4

60MIN

Win Rate: 71.4%
Avg Gain: -2.17%
Avg Winner: +5.93%
Avg Loser: -22.44%
Best: +22.54%
Worst: -40.90%
Trades: 5/2

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 57.1%
Avg Gain: +1.22%
Avg Winner: +14.56%
Avg Loser: -16.57%
Best: +41.04%
Worst: -41.04%
Trades: 4/3

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +13.83%
Best MFE: +51.45%
Avg Time to MFE: 169 min

On average, BRN alerts reach +13.83% profit potential within 169 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -3.40%
Worst MAE: -5.71%
Avg Time to MAE: 20 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 3.40%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

4.07:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 4.07x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 7 alerts, BRN typically reaches +13.83% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 11.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 7
Gap Up % 28.6%
Avg Gap -2.02%
Best Gap +3.66%

🏭 Sector Comparison: CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS

How BRN compares to 51 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
BRN: -2.02% Sector: -0.16% -1.86%
EOD Gain
BRN: +1.22% Sector: +59.69% -58.48%
Avg MFE
BRN: +13.83% Sector: +2.88% +10.95%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical BRN alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-04-03 09:25:00 $2.73 -1.83% -3.66% -1.10% +2.56% +3.30% +9.89% -4.76% +3.66% LOSS
2022-05-05 09:25:00 $2.95 -2.95% +0.76% +2.54% +2.68% +10.17% +11.86% -3.39% -1.02% LOSS
2022-03-10 09:25:00 $3.84 -0.26% -3.62% -2.60% -3.98% -6.25% +2.86% -2.60% -2.60% LOSS
2022-03-09 09:25:00 $3.5 -0.86% +0.71% - +1.71% +3.71% +12.57% -5.71% -5.14% LOSS
2022-03-08 09:25:00 $6.7 -9.26% -8.81% -22.31% -40.90% -41.04% +0.60% -0.75% -4.78% LOSS
2022-03-07 09:25:00 $3.46 +3.76% +15.25% +29.80% +22.54% +41.04% +51.45% -1.73% +0.58% WIN
2022-02-24 09:25:00 $2.9 -2.76% -2.59% -2.41% +0.17% -2.41% +7.59% -4.83% -4.83% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ BRN Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 71.4% win rate, BRN has -2.17% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making BRN profitable.

🔧 Fix BRN Risk/Reward →

Why Analyze BRN with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for BRN. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, BRN historically offers an average upside of +13.83% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 BRN Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 71.4%, BRN shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-22.44%) outweigh average wins (+5.93%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: BRN shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 60MIN at -2.17%). This suggests BRN is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.