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BRO Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 8 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-08 → 2025-01-21

⚠️ Small sample size (8 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Feb 27, 1981 🔗 www.bbinsurance.com
💰 Market Cap: $27.03B 👥 Employees: 17,403
Brown & Brown Inc is a diversified insurance agency, wholesale brokerage, insurance programs, and service. The Company markets and sells insurance products and services, in the property, casualty, and employee benefits areas. It provides customers with non-investment insurance contracts, as well as other targeted, customized risk management products and services. It has four reportable segments; the Retail segment; the Programs segment; the Wholesale Brokerage segment and; the Services segment. It generates the majority of its revenue from the Retail segment which provides insurance products and services to commercial, public and quasi-public, and Others through automobile dealer services F&I businesses. Its geographic area is U.S., U.K., the Republic of Ireland, Canada, and Others.
📊
8
Total Alerts
🎯
50.0%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
-0.02%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+0.94%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 37.5%
Avg Gain: -0.08%
Avg Winner: +0.79%
Avg Loser: -0.60%
Best: +1.10%
Worst: -1.46%
Trades: 3/5

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.02%
Avg Winner: +1.01%
Avg Loser: -1.05%
Best: +1.66%
Worst: -2.58%
Trades: 4/4

30MIN

Win Rate: 37.5%
Avg Gain: -0.14%
Avg Winner: +1.10%
Avg Loser: -0.88%
Best: +1.76%
Worst: -3.20%
Trades: 3/5

60MIN

Win Rate: 37.5%
Avg Gain: -0.37%
Avg Winner: +1.04%
Avg Loser: -1.21%
Best: +1.63%
Worst: -2.66%
Trades: 3/5

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 37.5%
Avg Gain: -0.28%
Avg Winner: +1.42%
Avg Loser: -1.30%
Best: +1.49%
Worst: -3.17%
Trades: 3/5

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.94%
Best MFE: +1.88%
Avg Time to MFE: 142 min

On average, BRO alerts reach +0.94% profit potential within 142 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.77%
Worst MAE: -3.41%
Avg Time to MAE: 10 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.77%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.22:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 8 alerts, BRO typically reaches +0.94% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 8
Gap Up % 37.5%
Avg Gap -0.17%
Best Gap +0.76%

🏭 Sector Comparison: INSURANCE AGENTS, BROKERS & SERVICE

How BRO compares to 11 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
BRO: -0.08% Sector: +0.05% -0.13%
EOD Gain
BRO: -0.28% Sector: +3236.33% -3236.62%
Avg MFE
BRO: +0.94% Sector: +9.09% -8.15%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical BRO alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-21 09:26:10 $106.33 -0.06% +0.10% -0.02% -0.24% -0.60% +0.39% -0.45% -0.31% LOSS
2024-11-18 09:28:34 $108.24 +0.95% +1.50% +1.76% +1.32% +1.42% +1.88% +0.76% +0.76% WIN
2024-11-15 09:28:52 $108.43 +1.10% +1.66% +1.22% +1.63% +1.49% +1.71% -0.09% +0.64% WIN
2022-04-25 09:25:00 $67.55 -0.15% -0.71% -0.76% -0.93% +1.33% +1.59% -1.38% -0.13% LOSS
2022-02-14 09:25:00 $66.69 +0.33% +0.76% -0.23% -1.33% -1.06% +1.06% +0.06% +0.06% WIN
2022-02-11 09:25:00 $69.1 -0.09% -0.55% -0.22% -0.90% -3.17% +0.25% -0.13% -0.03% LOSS
2022-02-10 09:25:00 $69.75 -1.25% -0.36% +0.33% +0.16% -0.93% +1.08% -1.53% -1.10% LOSS
2022-02-08 09:25:00 $68.54 -1.46% -2.58% -3.20% -2.66% -0.74% -0.44% -3.41% -1.25% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ BRO Shows Negative Expectancy

With 50.0% win rate and -0.02% average gain, BRO alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider BRO for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze BRO with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for BRO. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, BRO historically offers an average upside of +0.94% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 BRO Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, BRO shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests BRO may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: BRO shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -0.02%). This suggests BRO is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.