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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$BROS

Trade-Ideas alerts 51.3% at EOD n=39 2022-03-11 → 2026-09-18

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 39 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Sep 15, 2021 🔗 www.dutchbros.com
💰 Market Cap: $5.33B 👥 Employees: 32,000
Dutch Bros is the third-largest specialty coffee chain in the US, generating $2.2 billion in systemwide sales across 1,136 stores in 2025. The firm derives the bulk of its revenue from selling coffee, energy drinks, and other beverages to customers at its company-owned units, which account for 92% of total revenue. The remainder is derived from royalties, fees, and product sales to franchisees (32% of the shop mix) as well as license fees from the sale of branded products. Dutch Bros' model emphasizes friendly service and speed at its predominantly drive-thru locations, mainly in the Western and Southern US regions.
Total alerts
39
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · EOD
51.3%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · EOD
-0.28%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+3.71%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading BROS on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 38.5%
Avg Gain: -0.52%
Avg Winner: +1.52%
Avg Loser: -1.80%
Best: +9.41%
Worst: -7.20%
Trades: 15/24

15MIN

Win Rate: 35.9%
Avg Gain: -0.66%
Avg Winner: +2.85%
Avg Loser: -2.62%
Best: +11.22%
Worst: -10.66%
Trades: 14/25

30MIN

Win Rate: 48.7%
Avg Gain: -0.22%
Avg Winner: +2.90%
Avg Loser: -3.18%
Best: +16.32%
Worst: -11.33%
Trades: 19/20

60MIN

Win Rate: 43.6%
Avg Gain: -0.12%
Avg Winner: +3.38%
Avg Loser: -2.96%
Best: +15.22%
Worst: -14.01%
Trades: 17/21

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 51.3%
Avg Gain: -0.28%
Avg Winner: +3.12%
Avg Loser: -3.85%
Best: +11.45%
Worst: -10.80%
Trades: 20/19

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +3.71%
Best MFE: +18.55%
Avg Time to MFE: 97 min

On average, BROS alerts reach +3.71% profit potential within 97 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.95%
Worst MAE: -12.48%
Avg Time to MAE: 8 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.95%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.9:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 39 alerts, BROS typically reaches +3.71% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 39
Gap Up % 43.6%
Avg Gap -0.11%
Best Gap +1.42%

🏭 Sector Comparison: RETAIL-EATING & DRINKING PLACES

How BROS compares to 6 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
BROS: -0.52% Sector: +0.19% -0.71%
EOD Gain
BROS: -0.28% Sector: +3.81% -4.09%
Avg MFE
BROS: +3.71% Sector: +4.88% -1.17%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical BROS alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-09-18 09:25:00 $40.25 +0.37% -0.63% -1.37% -1.52% -0.55% +0.88% +0.00% +0.47% WIN
2026-09-17 09:25:00 $42.03 -0.58% -1.83% -1.51% -2.17% -4.45% +0.31% -0.79% -0.33% LOSS
2026-08-19 09:25:00 $48.58 +0.23% +1.83% +3.71% +4.84% +3.48% +5.35% -1.05% -0.68% WIN
2026-08-12 09:25:00 $50.38 -0.75% -0.46% +1.19% +1.22% +1.27% +2.18% -1.31% -0.75% LOSS
2026-08-07 09:25:00 $53.85 -0.70% -1.36% -2.61% -0.77% -1.56% +0.18% -3.05% +0.01% LOSS
2026-08-06 09:25:00 $56.82 -3.99% -1.46% -3.63% -3.38% -6.14% +0.28% -0.79% -0.63% LOSS
2026-05-08 09:25:00 $53.95 -0.13% -0.42% -1.95% -1.91% -2.30% +0.82% -0.13% +0.52% LOSS
2026-05-07 09:25:00 $54.05 -0.09% -2.56% -0.92% -1.82% -0.94% +2.58% +2.58% -0.09% LOSS
2026-05-06 09:25:00 $58.35 +0.38% -1.21% -0.86% +1.03% +1.22% +2.63% -1.76% -0.01% WIN
2026-04-08 09:25:00 $56.12 -0.07% +0.89% +0.49% -0.35% -1.10% +3.71% -0.76% +0.73% LOSS
2026-04-02 09:25:00 $49.48 -0.92% -0.87% -0.10% +0.12% +1.76% +3.35% -1.94% -0.99% LOSS
2026-03-23 09:25:00 $50.73 +2.01% +3.57% +3.67% +3.82% +3.35% +5.07% +0.16% +1.42% WIN
2026-02-13 09:25:00 $59.64 -1.66% -10.66% -11.33% -14.01% -10.80% +0.59% -1.74% -0.23% LOSS
2026-01-28 09:25:00 $59.82 -0.93% -1.99% -2.38% -1.78% -3.97% +0.29% -0.19% -0.50% LOSS
2025-02-13 09:28:09 $85.11 -4.44% -2.11% +0.20% -1.55% -1.84% +1.54% -1.30% -0.65% LOSS
2024-11-07 09:27:56 $43.46 +9.41% +10.24% +10.55% +12.48% +3.01% +15.60% -0.51% +0.43% WIN
2024-08-19 09:26:42 $31.67 +0.58% +0.69% +0.76% +0.85% -0.98% +1.62% -0.51% +0.13% WIN
2024-08-09 09:27:07 $30.82 -1.52% -3.37% -3.36% -2.33% -4.32% +0.06% -1.20% -1.20% LOSS
2024-08-08 09:25:18 $29.34 -3.29% -4.91% -6.44% -4.36% +3.00% +3.61% -8.11% -0.85% LOSS
2024-07-01 09:26:22 $41.4 +0.85% +1.55% +0.56% +1.21% +1.09% +2.17% -0.36% +0.85% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ BROS Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 51.3% win rate, BROS has -0.28% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve win size or reduce loss size, making BROS profitable.

🔧 Fix BROS Risk / Reward →

Why Analyze BROS with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for BROS. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, BROS historically offers an average upside of +3.71% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 BROS Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 51.3%, BROS shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-3.85%) outweigh average wins (+3.12%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: BROS shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -0.28%). This suggests BROS is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.