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Latest signal:

BROS Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 25 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-03-11 → 2025-02-13

⚠️ Small sample size (25 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Sep 15, 2021 🔗 www.dutchbros.com
💰 Market Cap: $7.75B 👥 Employees: 26,000
Dutch Bros Inc is an operator and franchisor of drive-thru coffee shops that are focused on serving hand-crafted beverages. The company's hand-crafted beverage-focused lineup features hot and cold espresso-based beverages, cold brew coffee products, proprietary energy drinks, tea, lemonade, smoothies and other beverages. The company has two reportable operating segments Company-operated shops and Franchising. It derives maximum revenue from Company operated shops.
📊
25
Total Alerts
🎯
60.0%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
+0.37%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+4.66%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 44.0%
Avg Gain: -0.54%
Avg Winner: +1.80%
Avg Loser: -2.38%
Best: +9.41%
Worst: -7.20%
Trades: 11/14

15MIN

Win Rate: 44.0%
Avg Gain: -0.34%
Avg Winner: +3.05%
Avg Loser: -3.01%
Best: +11.22%
Worst: -9.43%
Trades: 11/14

30MIN

Win Rate: 60.0%
Avg Gain: +0.37%
Avg Winner: +3.07%
Avg Loser: -3.69%
Best: +16.32%
Worst: -8.73%
Trades: 15/10

60MIN

Win Rate: 48.0%
Avg Gain: +0.48%
Avg Winner: +3.87%
Avg Loser: -2.87%
Best: +15.22%
Worst: -8.17%
Trades: 12/12

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 60.0%
Avg Gain: +0.40%
Avg Winner: +3.42%
Avg Loser: -4.13%
Best: +11.45%
Worst: -8.35%
Trades: 15/10

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +4.66%
Best MFE: +18.55%
Avg Time to MFE: 102 min

On average, BROS alerts reach +4.66% profit potential within 102 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.61%
Worst MAE: -12.48%
Avg Time to MAE: 10 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.61%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.78:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 25 alerts, BROS typically reaches +4.66% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.7% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 25
Gap Up % 48.0%
Avg Gap -0.13%
Best Gap +1.01%

🏭 Sector Comparison: RETAIL-EATING & DRINKING PLACES

How BROS compares to 6 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
BROS: -0.54% Sector: -0.02% -0.52%
EOD Gain
BROS: +0.40% Sector: +4.83% -4.42%
Avg MFE
BROS: +4.66% Sector: +2.03% +2.63%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical BROS alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-13 09:28:09 $85.11 -4.44% -2.11% +0.20% -1.55% -1.84% +1.54% -1.30% -0.65% LOSS
2024-11-07 09:27:56 $43.46 +9.41% +10.24% +10.55% +12.48% +3.01% +15.60% -0.51% +0.43% WIN
2024-08-19 09:26:42 $31.67 +0.58% +0.69% +0.76% +0.85% -0.98% +1.62% -0.51% +0.13% WIN
2024-08-09 09:27:07 $30.82 -1.52% -3.37% -3.36% -2.33% -4.32% +0.06% -1.20% -1.20% LOSS
2024-08-08 09:25:18 $29.34 -3.29% -4.91% -6.44% -4.36% +3.00% +3.61% -8.11% -0.85% LOSS
2024-07-01 09:26:22 $41.4 +0.85% +1.55% +0.56% +1.21% +1.09% +2.17% -0.36% +0.85% WIN
2024-05-13 09:26:31 $34.65 +1.95% +1.01% +2.41% +3.59% +1.53% +4.47% - +1.01% WIN
2024-03-22 09:29:30 $33.26 +0.57% -0.75% +0.93% +1.17% +0.93% +1.89% -0.75% +0.27% WIN
2024-02-28 09:25:43 $28.6 -0.45% -0.23% +1.22% +1.22% +0.35% +3.22% -1.08% +0.04% LOSS
2024-02-22 09:29:29 $29.14 -5.40% -3.17% -4.19% -4.22% -5.97% +0.26% -3.74% -1.27% LOSS
2023-11-20 09:28:00 $28.71 -0.70% -1.64% -1.36% -1.62% +0.38% +1.36% -0.59% -0.17% LOSS
2023-11-08 09:28:00 $28.76 -3.89% -5.77% -4.62% -8.17% -6.54% +0.45% -1.46% - LOSS
2023-09-08 09:27:00 $27.6 +0.62% -1.15% +1.09% +0.65% +0.40% +1.45% -0.22% +0.94% WIN
2023-09-07 09:29:00 $25.93 -2.04% +0.77% +2.18% +2.24% +3.28% +7.91% -4.97% -0.58% LOSS
2023-08-09 09:27:00 $29.6 +3.38% +11.22% +16.32% +15.22% +11.45% +18.55% -0.74% +0.20% WIN
2023-05-10 09:28:00 $30.3 -1.32% -3.09% +0.23% -0.74% -5.71% +0.53% -4.26% -1.29% LOSS
2023-01-09 09:25:00 $31.5 +0.16% +2.67% +1.46% +0.63% -0.16% +3.65% -0.32% +0.16% WIN
2022-11-10 09:25:00 $32.6 +0.12% -1.44% -0.61% +3.34% +9.57% +11.44% -5.21% -1.07% WIN
2022-10-12 09:25:00 $30.61 +1.05% +0.78% -2.12% -1.67% +2.94% +3.23% -2.91% +0.98% WIN
2022-08-16 09:25:00 $45.4 -2.38% -4.74% -3.59% -1.63% -2.16% +1.76% -5.26% -0.33% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 60.0% Baseline on BROS

The 60.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push BROS's performance to 75%+.

Optimize BROS Strategy →

Why Analyze BROS with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for BROS. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, BROS historically offers an average upside of +4.66% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 BROS Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 60.0%, BROS shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show BROS performs best on the 30MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.37%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.