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SBUX Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 147 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-07 → 2025-02-07

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jun 26, 1992 🔗 www.starbucks.com
💰 Market Cap: $111.00B 👥 Employees: 381,000
Starbucks stands out as the world's biggest and most recognizable coffee brand, powered by ultracustomizable beverages in-store and a sweeping footprint of nearly 41,000 cafes in over 80 countries. About 52% are company-operated, with the balance run by licensees. The company operates roasteries and sells across its North America (74% of revenue as of the end of fiscal 2025), international (21%), and channel development (5%) segments. The brand collects revenue from company-operated stores, licensee royalties, equipment and product sales, retail ready-to-drink beverages, and packaged coffee.
📊
147
Total Alerts
🎯
51.0%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
+0.07%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+1.31%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 49.0%
Avg Gain: +0.07%
Avg Winner: +0.55%
Avg Loser: -0.42%
Best: +3.68%
Worst: -1.23%
Trades: 72/71

15MIN

Win Rate: 46.3%
Avg Gain: -0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.76%
Avg Loser: -0.69%
Best: +3.09%
Worst: -2.70%
Trades: 68/78

30MIN

Win Rate: 47.6%
Avg Gain: +0.02%
Avg Winner: +0.88%
Avg Loser: -0.76%
Best: +3.04%
Worst: -2.84%
Trades: 70/77

60MIN

Win Rate: 51.0%
Avg Gain: +0.07%
Avg Winner: +1.02%
Avg Loser: -0.91%
Best: +4.81%
Worst: -3.64%
Trades: 75/72

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 45.6%
Avg Gain: +0.02%
Avg Winner: +1.53%
Avg Loser: -1.26%
Best: +5.82%
Worst: -6.35%
Trades: 67/79

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.31%
Best MFE: +7.28%
Avg Time to MFE: 124 min

On average, SBUX alerts reach +1.31% profit potential within 124 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.44%
Worst MAE: -2.49%
Avg Time to MAE: 10 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.44%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.98:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.98x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 147 alerts, SBUX typically reaches +1.31% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 147
Gap Up % 53.1%
Avg Gap -0.00%
Best Gap +0.65%

🏭 Sector Comparison: RETAIL-EATING & DRINKING PLACES

How SBUX compares to 6 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
SBUX: +0.07% Sector: -0.02% +0.09%
EOD Gain
SBUX: +0.02% Sector: +4.83% -4.80%
Avg MFE
SBUX: +1.31% Sector: +2.03% -0.72%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical SBUX alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-07 09:28:26 $111.37 -0.16% -0.17% -0.31% -0.56% +0.75% +1.12% -1.18% +0.05% LOSS
2025-01-31 09:27:52 $108.98 -0.23% -0.72% -0.21% -0.08% -1.19% +0.35% -0.34% +0.02% LOSS
2025-01-29 09:28:40 $102.61 +3.68% +2.70% +2.93% +3.28% +5.82% +7.28% -0.01% +0.09% WIN
2025-01-23 09:28:03 $97.99 -0.42% -0.93% -0.34% -0.36% - +0.04% -0.95% +0.01% LOSS
2025-01-16 09:28:12 $93.08 +0.08% - -0.04% +0.18% +1.45% +1.82% -0.23% -0.23% WIN
2025-01-07 09:25:34 $93.0 +0.11% +0.34% -0.40% -0.32% -0.17% +0.70% -0.34% -0.24% WIN
2024-12-16 09:27:11 $96.75 -0.83% -2.43% -1.85% -1.58% -3.75% +0.36% +0.05% +0.20% LOSS
2024-12-13 09:27:04 $97.08 +0.71% +0.76% +0.45% +0.56% +0.35% +1.03% +0.06% +0.26% WIN
2024-12-04 09:28:51 $100.67 +1.23% +0.96% +0.40% -0.24% +0.03% +1.31% +0.22% +0.22% WIN
2024-11-20 09:25:29 $98.05 +0.39% -0.37% -0.52% -0.70% +0.21% +0.71% -0.08% -0.05% WIN
2024-11-08 09:26:19 $95.78 +0.40% +1.03% +1.76% +1.45% +1.85% +1.94% -0.19% +0.34% WIN
2024-11-01 09:25:45 $97.06 +1.24% +1.13% +1.77% +2.23% +1.86% +2.82% +0.32% +0.56% WIN
2024-10-23 09:25:32 $93.26 +2.08% +2.58% +3.04% +3.57% +4.71% +4.79% -0.18% +0.65% WIN
2024-10-07 09:28:00 $96.11 -0.20% +0.32% +0.25% +0.12% -0.02% +0.43% -0.27% +0.08% LOSS
2024-09-26 09:29:27 $98.15 +0.05% -0.31% -0.16% -0.24% -0.69% +1.02% -0.11% +0.36% WIN
2024-09-24 09:29:28 $95.3 -0.78% -0.64% -0.30% -0.17% -0.89% +0.55% -1.17% +0.18% LOSS
2024-09-20 09:28:12 $96.66 +0.12% -0.41% -0.08% -0.32% -0.63% +0.41% -0.17% +0.20% WIN
2024-09-18 09:26:10 $95.89 - +1.13% +0.92% +0.98% +0.24% +1.78% -0.58% -0.35% -
2024-08-27 09:28:31 $95.21 +0.53% +0.82% +0.61% +1.09% +3.56% +3.69% +0.04% +0.20% WIN
2024-08-23 09:29:09 $92.81 +0.53% +0.37% +0.81% +1.24% +1.30% +1.73% +0.02% +0.04% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 51.0% Baseline on SBUX

The 51.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push SBUX's performance to 75%+.

Optimize SBUX Strategy →

Why Analyze SBUX with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SBUX. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, SBUX historically offers an average upside of +1.31% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 SBUX Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 51.0%, SBUX shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show SBUX performs best on the 60MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.07%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.