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BSLK Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 12 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2024-08-14 → 2025-02-14

⚠️ Small sample size (12 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Bolt Projects Holdings, Inc. Common Stock INDUSTRIAL ORGANIC CHEMICALS (SIC 2860)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Aug 14, 2024 🔗 www.boltprojectsholdings.com
💰 Market Cap: $14.5M 👥 Employees: 14
Bolt Projects Holdings Inc develops and produces biomaterials products. Its flagship products from its Vegan Silk Technology Platform, b-silk and xl-silk, are a biodegradable and vegan protein polymer and a replacement for silicone elastomers in beauty and personal care.
📊
12
Total Alerts
🎯
75.0%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+846.64%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+17.99%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.27%
Avg Winner: +2.85%
Avg Loser: -3.40%
Best: +4.82%
Worst: -10.15%
Trades: 6/6

15MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -3.78%
Avg Winner: +2.14%
Avg Loser: -6.74%
Best: +5.08%
Worst: -14.39%
Trades: 4/8

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -1.59%
Avg Winner: +6.82%
Avg Loser: -9.99%
Best: +13.94%
Worst: -21.24%
Trades: 6/6

60MIN

Win Rate: 45.5%
Avg Gain: -5.98%
Avg Winner: +6.14%
Avg Loser: -16.08%
Best: +11.59%
Worst: -29.28%
Trades: 5/6

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 75.0%
Avg Gain: +846.64%
Avg Winner: +1131.92%
Avg Loser: -9.22%
Best: +2206.25%
Worst: -10.27%
Trades: 9/3

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +17.99%
Best MFE: +51.21%
Avg Time to MFE: 138 min

On average, BSLK alerts reach +17.99% profit potential within 138 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -5.45%
Worst MAE: -18.99%
Avg Time to MAE: 6 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 5.45%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.3:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.3x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 12 alerts, BSLK typically reaches +17.99% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 14.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 12
Gap Up % 58.3%
Avg Gap +0.13%
Best Gap +3.86%

🏭 Sector Comparison: INDUSTRIAL ORGANIC CHEMICALS

How BSLK compares to 16 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
BSLK: -0.27% Sector: -0.24% -0.03%
EOD Gain
BSLK: +728.26% Sector: +170.47% +557.78%
Avg MFE
BSLK: +17.19% Sector: +5.49% +11.70%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical BSLK alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:25:24 $0.73 +3.53% -6.85% -5.48% -10.97% -9.58% +7.82% - +0.38% WIN
2025-02-05 09:26:11 $0.32 +4.69% +0.09% +12.30% +11.59% -7.81% +46.25% - +2.19% WIN
2024-12-31 09:27:59 $0.54 -5.84% -8.86% -12.85% -9.18% +1687.17% -0.83% -16.33% -2.67% LOSS
2024-12-30 09:26:43 $0.55 +0.16% -10.11% -11.66% -9.05% +1802.02% +9.07% -18.99% +0.16% WIN
2024-12-03 09:26:57 $0.63 -0.45% -0.35% +1.16% +2.76% +3.54% +11.31% -1.45% +0.06% LOSS
2024-12-02 09:27:33 $0.62 +4.82% +5.08% +5.82% +3.42% +13.69% +14.50% -1.79% +2.89% WIN
2024-11-29 09:28:43 $0.96 -10.15% -11.12% -21.24% -29.28% +1371.66% +1.96% -2.57% -1.54% LOSS
2024-11-08 09:25:19 $0.32 -3.09% -1.19% +2.09% +6.88% +2206.25% +37.50% -4.22% -3.12% LOSS
2024-10-16 09:25:54 $0.5 -0.34% +2.02% +5.58% - +2148.80% +26.80% -0.80% -0.28% LOSS
2024-08-29 09:27:33 $1.85 -0.54% -1.08% -8.08% -24.86% -10.27% +1.08% -3.24% -0.54% LOSS
2024-08-28 09:27:38 $3.89 +1.80% +1.35% -0.62% -13.11% +943.70% +9.25% +1.29% +3.86% WIN
2024-08-14 09:26:26 $6.6 +2.12% -14.39% +13.94% +6.06% +10.45% +51.21% -17.27% +0.15% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 75.0% Baseline on BSLK

The 75.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push BSLK's performance to 75%+.

Optimize BSLK Strategy →

Why Analyze BSLK with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for BSLK. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, BSLK historically offers an average upside of +17.99% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 BSLK Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 75.0%, BSLK shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show BSLK performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +846.64%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.