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BSRR Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 2 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-18 → 2023-01-17

⚠️ Small sample size (2 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Oct 31, 1994 🔗 www.sierrabancorp.com
💰 Market Cap: $472.4M 👥 Employees: 476
Sierra Bancorp is a California-based bank holding company, which offers a range of retail and commercial banking services. it offers a wide range of deposit products and services for individuals and businesses including checking accounts, savings accounts, money market demand accounts, time deposits, retirement accounts, and sweep accounts. The company's lending activities cover real estate, commercial (including small business), mortgage warehouse, agricultural and consumer loans, and also offers commercial construction loans and multifamily and agricultural credit facilities among other types of real estate loans.
📊
2
Total Alerts
🎯
50.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-0.07%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+0.68%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.07%
Avg Winner: +0.19%
Avg Loser: -0.32%
Best: +0.19%
Worst: -0.32%
Trades: 1/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.45%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.45%
Best: -0.29%
Worst: -0.61%
Trades: 0/2

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.25%
Avg Winner: +0.03%
Avg Loser: -0.54%
Best: +0.03%
Worst: -0.54%
Trades: 1/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.27%
Avg Winner: +0.11%
Avg Loser: -0.65%
Best: +0.11%
Worst: -0.65%
Trades: 1/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.68%
Best MFE: +1.18%
Avg Time to MFE: 194 min

On average, BSRR alerts reach +0.68% profit potential within 194 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.41%
Worst MAE: -1.00%
Avg Time to MAE: 41 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.41%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.68:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 2 alerts, BSRR typically reaches +0.68% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 2
Gap Up % 50.0%
Avg Gap -0.07%
Best Gap +0.19%

🏭 Sector Comparison: STATE COMMERCIAL BANKS

How BSRR compares to 29 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
BSRR: +0.00% Sector: -0.03% +0.03%
EOD Gain
BSRR: +0.00% Sector: -0.04% +0.04%
Avg MFE
BSRR: +0.00% Sector: +1.25% -1.25%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical BSRR alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-01-17 09:25:00 $21.45 +0.19% -0.61% - +0.03% -0.65% +0.19% +0.19% +0.19% WIN
2022-01-18 09:25:00 $28.01 -0.32% -0.29% - -0.54% +0.11% +1.18% -1.00% -0.32% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ BSRR Shows Negative Expectancy

With 50.0% win rate and -0.07% average gain, BSRR alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider BSRR for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze BSRR with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for BSRR. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, BSRR historically offers an average upside of +0.68% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 BSRR Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, BSRR shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests BSRR may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: BSRR shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.07%). This suggests BSRR is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.