FILTRIX Logo FILTRIX Find Your Edge →

Latest signal:

BTC Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 18 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2024-08-02 → 2025-02-03

⚠️ Small sample size (18 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust ETF COMMODITY CONTRACTS BROKERS & DEALERS (SIC 6221)
📍 NYSE Arca 📅 IPO: Jul 31, 2024
📊
18
Total Alerts
🎯
94.4%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+224.45%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+3.35%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 61.1%
Avg Gain: +0.31%
Avg Winner: +0.72%
Avg Loser: -0.39%
Best: +2.60%
Worst: -0.85%
Trades: 11/6

15MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +0.37%
Avg Winner: +0.81%
Avg Loser: -0.53%
Best: +2.93%
Worst: -1.12%
Trades: 12/6

30MIN

Win Rate: 61.1%
Avg Gain: +0.55%
Avg Winner: +1.34%
Avg Loser: -0.69%
Best: +4.94%
Worst: -1.98%
Trades: 11/7

60MIN

Win Rate: 72.2%
Avg Gain: +0.84%
Avg Winner: +1.61%
Avg Loser: -1.46%
Best: +5.64%
Worst: -2.36%
Trades: 13/4

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 94.4%
Avg Gain: +224.45%
Avg Winner: +237.66%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +433.10%
Worst: +0.00%
Trades: 17/0

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +3.35%
Best MFE: +11.29%
Avg Time to MFE: 223 min

On average, BTC alerts reach +3.35% profit potential within 223 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.53%
Worst MAE: -2.02%
Avg Time to MAE: 17 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.53%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

6.29:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 6.29x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 18 alerts, BTC typically reaches +3.35% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.7% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 18
Gap Up % 55.6%
Avg Gap +0.08%
Best Gap +0.50%

🏭 Sector Comparison: COMMODITY CONTRACTS BROKERS & DEALERS

How BTC compares to 41 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
BTC: +0.31% Sector: -0.01% +0.32%
EOD Gain
BTC: +224.45% Sector: +257.70% -33.25%
Avg MFE
BTC: +3.35% Sector: +1.89% +1.46%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical BTC alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-03 09:26:10 $41.97 +0.60% +1.69% +1.62% +3.94% +6.89% +7.89% -0.26% +0.07% WIN
2024-11-19 09:28:25 $8.12 -0.33% +0.37% +0.49% +0.06% +1.23% +2.83% -0.37% +0.12% LOSS
2024-11-18 09:27:09 $8.02 +0.25% +0.37% -0.24% +0.18% +1.37% +2.50% -0.72% +0.12% WIN
2024-11-15 09:25:12 $7.94 -0.38% -0.76% -0.25% -1.76% +411.33% +2.39% -2.02% -0.13% LOSS
2024-11-14 09:25:49 $8.07 +0.62% -1.12% -1.98% -2.36% +381.41% +0.99% +0.06% +0.50% WIN
2024-11-13 09:26:43 $7.98 +0.88% +1.25% +2.03% +2.19% +399.37% +4.01% -0.25% +0.13% WIN
2024-11-12 09:27:18 $7.63 -0.85% +0.26% +1.25% +1.44% +4.33% +4.72% -0.92% +0.13% LOSS
2024-11-11 09:28:01 $7.25 +1.10% +0.83% +1.24% +2.48% +433.10% +7.17% -0.14% +0.28% WIN
2024-11-08 09:29:46 $6.76 +0.07% -0.30% -0.30% +0.74% +0.59% +1.63% -0.74% +0.15% WIN
2024-11-07 09:25:25 $6.65 +0.08% -0.08% +0.08% +0.60% +2.26% +2.71% -0.60% - WIN
2024-11-06 09:29:33 $6.59 +0.38% +0.08% -0.91% - +412.90% +3.03% -1.06% - WIN
2024-11-01 09:29:56 $6.21 +0.64% +0.64% +1.37% +2.12% +394.36% +2.28% +0.08% +0.32% WIN
2024-10-31 09:29:24 $6.39 -0.31% -0.47% -1.10% -1.56% +385.92% - -0.23% - LOSS
2024-10-30 09:29:29 $6.37 - -0.47% +0.31% +0.62% - +0.94% -0.60% - -
2024-10-29 09:26:04 $6.32 -0.40% +0.15% +0.74% +0.79% +409.49% +3.47% -0.47% - LOSS
2024-10-28 09:26:53 $6.12 -0.08% +0.16% -0.08% -0.17% +404.08% +1.31% -0.85% - LOSS
2024-08-05 09:28:39 $4.43 +2.60% +2.93% +4.94% +5.64% +7.22% +11.29% -0.68% -0.45% WIN
2024-08-02 09:27:18 $5.74 +0.69% +1.04% +0.70% +0.17% +384.32% +1.22% +0.17% +0.17% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 94.4% Baseline on BTC

The 94.4% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push BTC's performance to 75%+.

Optimize BTC Strategy →

Why Analyze BTC with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for BTC. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, BTC historically offers an average upside of +3.35% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 BTC Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 94.4%, BTC shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show BTC performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +224.45%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.