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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$BTC

Trade-Ideas alerts 61.2% at EOD n=67 2024-08-02 → 2026-10-02

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 67 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust ETF COMMODITY CONTRACTS BROKERS & DEALERS (SIC 6221)
📍 NYSE Arca 📅 IPO: Jul 31, 2024
Total alerts
67
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · EOD
61.2%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · EOD
+60.17%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+1.90%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading BTC on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 53.7%
Avg Gain: +0.09%
Avg Winner: +0.34%
Avg Loser: -0.20%
Best: +2.60%
Worst: -0.85%
Trades: 36/29

15MIN

Win Rate: 49.3%
Avg Gain: +0.12%
Avg Winner: +0.66%
Avg Loser: -0.42%
Best: +2.93%
Worst: -1.13%
Trades: 33/33

30MIN

Win Rate: 49.3%
Avg Gain: +0.15%
Avg Winner: +0.91%
Avg Loser: -0.63%
Best: +4.94%
Worst: -1.98%
Trades: 33/32

60MIN

Win Rate: 58.2%
Avg Gain: +0.24%
Avg Winner: +1.14%
Avg Loser: -1.06%
Best: +5.64%
Worst: -3.68%
Trades: 39/27

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 61.2%
Avg Gain: +60.17%
Avg Winner: +99.38%
Avg Loser: -1.73%
Best: +433.10%
Worst: -9.08%
Trades: 41/25

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.90%
Best MFE: +11.29%
Avg Time to MFE: 151 min

On average, BTC alerts reach +1.90% profit potential within 151 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.45%
Worst MAE: -2.02%
Avg Time to MAE: 18 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.45%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

4.19:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 4.19x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 67 alerts, BTC typically reaches +1.90% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 67
Gap Up % 44.8%
Avg Gap +0.02%
Best Gap +0.50%

🏭 Sector Comparison: COMMODITY CONTRACTS BROKERS & DEALERS

How BTC compares to 57 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
BTC: +0.09% Sector: -0.01% +0.10%
EOD Gain
BTC: +60.17% Sector: +163.64% -103.47%
Avg MFE
BTC: +1.90% Sector: +1.86% +0.04%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical BTC alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-10-02 09:25:00 $38.29 +0.08% +0.60% +0.13% -0.22% -2.72% +0.68% -0.03% -0.03% WIN
2026-10-01 09:25:00 $36.89 +0.08% +0.46% +0.50% +0.70% +1.49% +2.18% +0.00% +0.03% WIN
2026-09-24 09:25:00 $37.03 +0.05% +0.37% +0.45% +0.86% +0.75% +1.38% -0.06% +0.02% WIN
2026-09-22 09:25:00 $37.94 -0.08% -0.16% +0.34% +0.36% +0.45% +1.04% -0.43% -0.13% LOSS
2026-09-21 09:25:00 $37.6 -0.06% +0.04% +0.39% +0.73% +1.72% +2.16% -0.33% -0.16% LOSS
2026-09-17 09:25:00 $33.81 -0.03% -0.67% +0.00% +0.56% +0.03% +0.70% -0.74% -0.15% LOSS
2026-09-15 09:25:00 $33.98 -0.15% -0.58% -0.88% -0.70% -1.00% +0.57% -1.74% +0.04% LOSS
2026-09-10 09:25:00 $33.98 -0.16% +0.15% +0.32% +0.60% +0.26% +0.85% -0.19% +0.00% LOSS
2026-09-09 09:25:00 $35.17 -0.05% -0.25% -0.51% -0.67% -1.65% +0.12% -0.10% +0.09% LOSS
2026-09-04 09:25:00 $35.12 +0.09% -0.14% -0.09% -0.11% +0.54% +0.57% -1.00% -0.16% WIN
2026-09-03 09:25:00 $34.68 +0.06% +0.46% +0.40% +1.33% +4.27% +4.32% -0.00% -0.00% WIN
2026-09-02 09:25:00 $33.94 +0.04% +0.00% +0.29% +0.56% +0.77% +1.02% -0.27% +0.12% WIN
2026-08-24 09:25:00 $34.94 +0.04% -0.72% -0.77% +0.04% -0.29% +1.25% -1.47% -0.03% WIN
2026-08-21 09:25:00 $34.1 -0.25% -0.06% +0.35% -0.01% -0.06% +1.00% -1.14% -0.03% LOSS
2026-08-20 09:25:00 $31.8 -0.44% -0.72% -0.25% -0.44% +1.10% +1.45% -1.13% +0.03% LOSS
2026-07-21 09:25:00 $29.36 +0.03% -0.09% +0.55% +0.45% +0.07% +0.82% -0.17% +0.03% WIN
2026-07-10 09:25:00 $28.37 -0.04% +0.11% +0.63% -0.18% -0.35% +0.88% -0.07% +0.00% LOSS
2026-07-06 09:25:00 $27.17 +0.20% +0.07% +0.66% +1.44% +3.72% +4.05% -0.33% -0.11% WIN
2026-06-29 09:25:00 $26.49 +0.11% -0.45% -1.06% -1.09% +0.76% +1.13% -1.70% -0.04% WIN
2026-06-24 09:25:00 $27.3 -0.14% -0.07% -0.73% -1.02% -3.04% +0.48% -0.18% +0.04% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

Beat the 61.2% Baseline on BTC

The 61.2% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and push BTC's performance to 75%+.

Optimize BTC Strategy →

Why Analyze BTC with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for BTC. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, BTC historically offers an average upside of +1.90% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 BTC Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 61.2%, BTC shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show BTC performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +60.17%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.