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BTDR Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 82 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-04-14 → 2025-02-12

⚠️ Small sample size (82 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Bitdeer Technologies Group Class A Ordinary Shares
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Apr 14, 2023 🔗 www.bitdeer.com
💰 Market Cap: $3.23B 👥 Employees: 246
Bitdeer Technologies Group is principally engaged in provision of digital asset mining services. The Company does not conduct any substantive operations on its own but conducts its primary operations through its subsidiaries. Its majority business segments are: proprietary mining, cloud hash rate sharing and cloud hosting. The company operates five proprietary mining datacenters in the United States and Norway, Bhutan and Singapore.
📊
82
Total Alerts
🎯
48.8%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
-0.24%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+7.06%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 47.6%
Avg Gain: -0.01%
Avg Winner: +2.08%
Avg Loser: -1.91%
Best: +6.15%
Worst: -10.00%
Trades: 39/43

15MIN

Win Rate: 48.8%
Avg Gain: -0.24%
Avg Winner: +3.36%
Avg Loser: -3.75%
Best: +12.78%
Worst: -28.42%
Trades: 40/41

30MIN

Win Rate: 48.1%
Avg Gain: +0.80%
Avg Winner: +5.05%
Avg Loser: -3.23%
Best: +21.26%
Worst: -7.90%
Trades: 39/41

60MIN

Win Rate: 48.8%
Avg Gain: -0.35%
Avg Winner: +4.76%
Avg Loser: -5.22%
Best: +13.82%
Worst: -20.21%
Trades: 40/42

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 48.8%
Avg Gain: -0.87%
Avg Winner: +6.14%
Avg Loser: -7.55%
Best: +24.42%
Worst: -26.00%
Trades: 40/42

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +7.06%
Best MFE: +25.51%
Avg Time to MFE: 94 min

On average, BTDR alerts reach +7.06% profit potential within 94 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.69%
Worst MAE: -19.43%
Avg Time to MAE: 6 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.69%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.62:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.62x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 82 alerts, BTDR typically reaches +7.06% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 5.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 82
Gap Up % 35.4%
Avg Gap -0.33%
Best Gap +2.11%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical BTDR alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-12 09:26:24 $15.81 +1.20% +2.34% +1.83% +2.47% +2.21% +4.43% -0.38% +0.89% WIN
2025-02-03 09:29:04 $16.61 +3.55% +0.57% +1.69% +3.25% +6.98% +8.19% -1.93% +1.75% WIN
2025-01-28 09:25:12 $16.37 -0.49% -2.78% -2.05% +4.37% +1.83% +7.85% -4.95% +0.18% LOSS
2025-01-27 09:26:56 $19.0 -2.58% -4.11% -3.26% -7.58% -18.21% +1.32% -2.89% +0.84% LOSS
2025-01-21 09:25:03 $21.5 +4.56% -2.00% +2.33% -4.51% +0.98% +5.81% -1.16% +0.14% WIN
2025-01-17 09:28:40 $22.51 -0.29% -0.56% -1.11% +0.20% -7.15% +3.02% -2.44% -0.04% LOSS
2025-01-15 09:29:59 $20.22 -1.09% -2.08% +1.34% +3.07% +3.07% +5.59% -3.21% -0.40% LOSS
2025-01-14 09:29:45 $18.5 +0.44% - -3.97% -2.73% +2.92% +4.00% -4.27% -1.03% WIN
2025-01-13 09:26:47 $17.36 -0.03% -1.44% - -2.09% -1.44% +1.84% -3.17% -0.17% LOSS
2025-01-10 09:28:32 $18.03 +0.55% -1.53% -5.77% -0.47% +2.61% +4.22% -6.32% +0.02% WIN
2025-01-08 09:28:51 $19.68 -0.10% +2.89% -1.26% -5.08% -5.59% +3.15% -4.47% -0.91% LOSS
2025-01-07 09:26:34 $23.46 -1.15% -1.82% -5.07% -10.68% -16.01% +1.32% -2.73% -0.68% LOSS
2025-01-06 09:25:52 $26.26 +0.04% -0.49% +0.86% -5.26% -11.35% +2.78% -0.61% -0.23% WIN
2025-01-02 09:29:19 $22.24 -1.53% +2.70% +9.96% +5.98% +2.83% +13.22% -3.24% -0.94% LOSS
2024-12-31 09:27:17 $23.96 -2.38% -5.34% -3.96% -7.26% -9.56% +0.04% -1.13% -0.08% LOSS
2024-12-30 09:26:46 $22.75 -1.05% -2.64% -5.32% -10.15% -2.02% +1.05% -1.05% +0.66% LOSS
2024-12-27 09:25:40 $25.19 +2.30% -4.25% -0.24% -5.60% -6.11% +4.17% -0.99% -0.75% WIN
2024-12-26 09:27:32 $22.97 +4.18% +8.36% +3.77% +3.05% +6.49% +9.36% -1.13% -0.30% WIN
2024-12-24 09:26:23 $21.65 -0.28% -0.55% -1.90% +3.58% +8.82% +10.85% -4.39% +0.55% LOSS
2024-12-23 09:26:20 $20.55 -2.08% -2.68% -0.73% -4.21% -0.15% +1.90% -1.35% -0.73% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ BTDR Shows Negative Expectancy

With 48.8% win rate and -0.24% average gain, BTDR alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider BTDR for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze BTDR with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for BTDR. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, BTDR historically offers an average upside of +7.06% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 BTDR Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 48.8%, BTDR shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests BTDR may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: BTDR shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -0.24%). This suggests BTDR is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.