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BTG Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 192 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-13

🏢 Company Profile

B2Gold Corp.
📍 NYSE American 📅 IPO: Jan 31, 2008 🔗 www.b2gold.com
💰 Market Cap: $7.13B 👥 Employees: 6,150
B2Gold Corp is an international, low-cost, senior gold mining company. It has three operating open-pit gold mines in Mali, Namibia, and the Philippines and numerous exploration projects across four continents. Other assets include the Gramalote and Kiaka gold projects. The company focuses on acquiring and developing interests in mineral properties with a primary focus on gold deposits as gold production forms all its revenue. There is no dependence on a particular purchaser because the gold is sold into various markets. The company's reportable operating segments include its mining operations and development projects, namely Fekola; Masbate; Otjikoto; the Goose Project, and other mineral properties; and corporate and other.
📊
192
Total Alerts
🎯
46.4%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
-0.15%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+1.66%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 39.6%
Avg Gain: -0.25%
Avg Winner: +0.78%
Avg Loser: -1.00%
Best: +2.86%
Worst: -3.88%
Trades: 76/107

15MIN

Win Rate: 38.5%
Avg Gain: -0.34%
Avg Winner: +0.98%
Avg Loser: -1.20%
Best: +3.40%
Worst: -8.30%
Trades: 74/114

30MIN

Win Rate: 44.3%
Avg Gain: -0.19%
Avg Winner: +1.13%
Avg Loser: -1.30%
Best: +4.16%
Worst: -9.06%
Trades: 85/101

60MIN

Win Rate: 46.4%
Avg Gain: -0.15%
Avg Winner: +1.23%
Avg Loser: -1.38%
Best: +4.30%
Worst: -6.83%
Trades: 89/99

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 44.5%
Avg Gain: -0.19%
Avg Winner: +1.93%
Avg Loser: -2.13%
Best: +6.53%
Worst: -7.51%
Trades: 85/94

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.66%
Best MFE: +6.53%
Avg Time to MFE: 110 min

On average, BTG alerts reach +1.66% profit potential within 110 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.03%
Worst MAE: -5.32%
Avg Time to MAE: 9 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.03%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.61:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 192 alerts, BTG typically reaches +1.66% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.3% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 192
Gap Up % 21.9%
Avg Gap -0.12%
Best Gap +1.23%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical BTG alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-13 09:29:11 $2.58 -1.74% -1.17% -1.51% -1.74% +0.39% +0.78% -1.94% -0.39% LOSS
2025-02-12 09:26:47 $2.52 - +0.40% +0.79% +0.60% +1.59% +2.78% -0.79% -0.40% -
2025-02-11 09:25:09 $2.6 -2.12% -1.92% -2.88% -2.30% -2.69% -0.02% -2.31% -0.77% LOSS
2025-02-10 09:25:10 $2.58 +0.39% +0.19% -0.03% +0.97% +0.39% +1.55% -0.39% - WIN
2025-02-07 09:25:17 $2.52 +0.79% -0.40% -0.79% -0.40% +0.40% +1.19% -0.20% - WIN
2025-02-05 09:29:41 $2.5 +0.60% +0.60% +1.60% +1.40% +2.00% +2.80% -0.40% - WIN
2025-02-04 09:29:49 $2.42 +0.83% +0.41% +0.45% +1.03% +2.48% +3.31% -0.83% - WIN
2025-02-03 09:29:03 $2.43 -1.03% -0.80% +1.02% - -1.23% +1.23% -2.06% -0.41% LOSS
2025-01-31 09:26:29 $2.45 -0.41% -0.61% -0.20% +0.40% -1.22% +1.17% -1.22% -1.22% LOSS
2025-01-29 09:28:58 $2.38 +1.63% +1.05% +0.63% +0.42% -0.84% +1.64% -0.21% - WIN
2025-01-27 09:26:40 $2.38 -1.89% -1.89% -2.44% -2.73% -3.36% - -0.42% -0.42% LOSS
2025-01-24 09:28:46 $2.34 +0.43% +0.43% +0.43% +0.21% +2.56% +2.99% -0.85% +0.43% WIN
2025-01-23 09:27:49 $2.24 +1.56% +0.56% +0.20% +0.45% +4.91% +4.91% -1.79% -0.45% WIN
2025-01-21 09:28:28 $2.42 -0.05% +0.41% +1.45% +2.07% - +2.48% -0.83% - LOSS
2025-01-14 09:25:57 $2.42 -2.30% -1.59% +0.62% +2.27% +3.72% +3.72% -3.51% -0.83% LOSS
2025-01-13 09:27:09 $2.55 -1.18% -2.16% -1.18% -1.18% -2.35% +0.39% -1.96% - LOSS
2025-01-10 09:25:09 $2.65 +0.75% -0.57% -0.75% -1.13% -2.26% +1.13% -0.38% -0.38% WIN
2025-01-06 09:25:39 $2.58 +0.19% -1.53% -0.19% -0.43% -2.33% +0.78% - - WIN
2025-01-02 09:27:34 $2.48 +1.61% +2.22% +2.62% +2.62% +4.44% +4.44% +0.40% +0.81% WIN
2024-12-16 09:26:32 $2.63 -1.71% -1.33% -2.09% -2.47% -1.52% +0.38% -1.90% - LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ BTG Shows Negative Expectancy

With 46.4% win rate and -0.15% average gain, BTG alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider BTG for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze BTG with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for BTG. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, BTG historically offers an average upside of +1.66% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 BTG Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 46.4%, BTG shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests BTG may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: BTG shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 60MIN at -0.15%). This suggests BTG is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.