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CABA Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 16 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-03-01 → 2024-12-04

⚠️ Small sample size (16 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Oct 25, 2019 🔗 www.cabalettabio.com
💰 Market Cap: $306.1M 👥 Employees: 151
Cabaletta Bio Inc is a clinical-stage biotechnology company focused on the discovery and development of engineered T cell therapies and exploring their potential to provide a deep and durable, perhaps curative, treatment for patients with B cell-mediated autoimmune diseases. Its proprietary technology utilizes Chimeric AutoAntibody Receptor, or CAART cells, that are designed to selectively bind and eliminate only specific B cells that produce disease-causing autoantibodies, or pathogenic B cells, while sparing normal B cells. Its CABA platform encompasses two strategies: CARTA (chimeric antigen receptor T cells for autoimmunity) and CAART (chimeric autoantibody T cells) that have the potential to be applied across a broad range of autoimmune diseases.
📊
16
Total Alerts
🎯
43.8%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
-1.00%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+12.54%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -1.14%
Avg Winner: +5.62%
Avg Loser: -3.40%
Best: +11.00%
Worst: -10.76%
Trades: 4/12

15MIN

Win Rate: 31.2%
Avg Gain: -0.94%
Avg Winner: +5.74%
Avg Loser: -3.97%
Best: +10.23%
Worst: -10.74%
Trades: 5/11

30MIN

Win Rate: 43.8%
Avg Gain: -1.00%
Avg Winner: +4.27%
Avg Loser: -5.10%
Best: +9.32%
Worst: -14.88%
Trades: 7/9

60MIN

Win Rate: 43.8%
Avg Gain: -1.10%
Avg Winner: +6.61%
Avg Loser: -7.10%
Best: +13.95%
Worst: -17.34%
Trades: 7/9

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: +0.39%
Avg Winner: +23.15%
Avg Loser: -7.85%
Best: +51.94%
Worst: -20.42%
Trades: 4/11

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +12.54%
Best MFE: +58.14%
Avg Time to MFE: 61 min

On average, CABA alerts reach +12.54% profit potential within 61 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -3.21%
Worst MAE: -9.45%
Avg Time to MAE: 3 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 3.21%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.91:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.91x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 16 alerts, CABA typically reaches +12.54% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 10.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 16
Gap Up % 18.8%
Avg Gap -1.21%
Best Gap +0.81%

🏭 Sector Comparison: BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DISGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES)

How CABA compares to 128 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
CABA: -1.14% Sector: -0.41% -0.73%
EOD Gain
CABA: +0.39% Sector: +1233.50% -1233.11%
Avg MFE
CABA: +12.54% Sector: +6.69% +5.85%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical CABA alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-12-04 09:29:10 $3.71 -1.62% -2.69% -4.02% -8.08% -5.39% +2.16% - +0.81% LOSS
2024-12-03 09:25:21 $4.18 -1.67% -4.27% -7.65% -13.16% -14.83% +0.63% -1.67% -0.89% LOSS
2024-12-02 09:29:36 $5.19 -5.20% -4.62% -5.49% -17.34% -20.42% +5.20% -7.13% -2.31% LOSS
2024-11-29 09:29:09 $3.82 +11.00% +3.01% +4.36% +4.71% - +20.42% -1.31% -0.52% WIN
2024-11-26 09:26:16 $2.55 +9.02% +7.06% +1.57% -0.75% -5.10% +14.51% -3.14% -0.78% WIN
2023-05-18 09:29:00 $12.96 -1.54% -2.24% -5.56% -6.71% -5.09% - -0.23% -0.54% LOSS
2022-12-08 09:25:00 $5.61 -4.46% -7.31% -1.76% +1.24% -1.43% +9.98% -9.45% -2.85% LOSS
2022-10-21 09:25:00 $1.76 -1.27% +10.23% +4.26% +7.10% +2.27% +19.32% -3.41% +0.57% LOSS
2022-10-20 09:25:00 $1.29 -5.43% -3.47% +1.16% +13.95% +51.94% +58.14% -8.53% -3.10% LOSS
2022-10-19 09:25:00 $1.08 -0.93% -0.93% +8.80% +9.26% +20.37% +24.07% -1.85% -1.85% LOSS
2022-10-11 09:25:00 $0.73 -1.51% +2.60% -2.44% -0.03% -3.84% +4.11% -1.56% -1.51% LOSS
2022-09-12 09:25:00 $0.91 -10.76% -5.49% -3.58% -0.54% -4.16% +4.40% -2.20% -2.20% LOSS
2022-08-30 09:25:00 $1.21 -3.36% -10.74% -14.88% -10.74% -18.18% +3.31% -4.13% -0.83% LOSS
2022-08-24 09:25:00 $1.99 -3.02% -1.51% -0.50% -6.53% -6.53% +6.03% -5.03% -4.02% LOSS
2022-08-23 09:25:00 $1.61 +0.40% +5.79% +9.32% +9.32% +18.01% +24.22% -1.24% +0.62% WIN
2022-03-01 09:25:00 $2.21 +2.04% -0.45% +0.45% +0.68% -1.36% +4.07% -0.45% - WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ CABA Shows Negative Expectancy

With 43.8% win rate and -1.00% average gain, CABA alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider CABA for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze CABA with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for CABA. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, CABA historically offers an average upside of +12.54% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 CABA Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 43.8%, CABA shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests CABA may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: CABA shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -1.00%). This suggests CABA is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.