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Latest signal:

CADL Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 24 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-04-17 → 2024-12-23

⚠️ Small sample size (24 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Candel Therapeutics, Inc. Common Stock BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DISGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES) (SIC 2836)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jul 27, 2021 🔗 www.candeltx.com
💰 Market Cap: $340.4M 👥 Employees: 38
Candel Therapeutics Inc is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on developing and commercializing viral immunotherapies to help patients fight cancer. The company has established two clinical-stage viral immunotherapy platforms based on novel, genetically modified adenovirus and herpes simplex virus (HSV) constructs, respectively.
📊
24
Total Alerts
🎯
58.3%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+1.30%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+15.67%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 58.3%
Avg Gain: +1.30%
Avg Winner: +4.30%
Avg Loser: -2.90%
Best: +11.84%
Worst: -7.23%
Trades: 14/10

15MIN

Win Rate: 58.3%
Avg Gain: -0.37%
Avg Winner: +3.66%
Avg Loser: -6.02%
Best: +10.00%
Worst: -16.76%
Trades: 14/10

30MIN

Win Rate: 52.2%
Avg Gain: -0.31%
Avg Winner: +5.72%
Avg Loser: -6.90%
Best: +19.26%
Worst: -17.47%
Trades: 12/11

60MIN

Win Rate: 34.8%
Avg Gain: -2.06%
Avg Winner: +6.74%
Avg Loser: -6.76%
Best: +16.45%
Worst: -22.39%
Trades: 8/15

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 45.8%
Avg Gain: -0.42%
Avg Winner: +12.84%
Avg Loser: -11.64%
Best: +44.35%
Worst: -35.42%
Trades: 11/13

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +15.67%
Best MFE: +56.81%
Avg Time to MFE: 136 min

On average, CADL alerts reach +15.67% profit potential within 136 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -5.12%
Worst MAE: -23.25%
Avg Time to MAE: 19 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 5.12%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.06:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.06x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 24 alerts, CADL typically reaches +15.67% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 12.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 24
Gap Up % 50.0%
Avg Gap +0.37%
Best Gap +9.09%

🏭 Sector Comparison: BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DISGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES)

How CADL compares to 128 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
CADL: +0.90% Sector: -0.41% +1.31%
EOD Gain
CADL: -0.23% Sector: +1233.50% -1233.74%
Avg MFE
CADL: +15.89% Sector: +6.69% +9.21%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical CADL alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-12-23 09:29:04 $8.5 -2.12% -3.53% -6.41% -2.72% +1.53% +7.35% -7.06% +0.59% LOSS
2024-12-20 09:29:02 $9.07 +1.93% +1.87% +6.73% +3.09% -3.53% +10.25% -1.87% +0.77% WIN
2024-12-19 09:29:58 $6.9 -1.16% -5.19% -3.18% +3.19% +44.35% +50.43% -5.94% -0.16% LOSS
2024-12-18 09:29:32 $6.7 +2.35% -1.19% -4.33% -6.72% -2.54% +3.28% -0.75% +0.45% WIN
2024-12-17 09:29:15 $6.08 +1.48% +0.99% -0.66% -2.18% +8.55% +8.31% -2.96% -1.32% WIN
2024-12-16 09:28:04 $7.15 -1.50% -3.78% -8.53% -6.57% -13.92% +1.82% -2.10% -0.56% LOSS
2024-12-13 09:28:30 $6.73 -0.45% -3.19% +0.22% -6.98% +0.30% +6.09% -7.88% +1.78% LOSS
2024-12-12 09:26:00 $7.84 +3.83% +3.44% +19.26% +16.45% +25.00% +38.01% -0.13% +1.28% WIN
2024-12-11 09:25:56 $12.0 +7.25% +10.00% +2.08% -6.42% -35.42% +21.67% +0.42% +4.57% WIN
2024-05-30 09:26:01 $9.3 +0.54% -3.76% -4.78% -4.36% -7.31% +0.65% -4.30% -4.19% WIN
2024-05-24 09:27:39 $9.5 -6.31% -10.11% +1.26% -2.52% -17.89% +10.10% -14.11% -0.32% LOSS
2024-04-16 09:29:46 $5.7 +1.14% +0.18% +2.63% +4.12% +3.33% +11.25% -1.23% -0.35% WIN
2024-04-15 09:29:33 $6.43 -1.18% -1.78% -2.41% -5.13% -9.49% +2.64% -1.87% +1.09% LOSS
2024-04-12 09:29:17 $6.8 +0.22% +1.54% +1.18% +2.21% -2.06% +10.29% -2.94% +0.74% WIN
2024-04-11 09:29:53 $6.42 +4.52% +0.15% +4.49% -6.66% +13.40% +23.36% -9.19% -0.31% WIN
2024-04-10 09:26:22 $4.91 +7.24% +1.63% +3.87% -3.26% +3.87% +12.63% -3.26% +1.83% WIN
2024-04-09 09:25:58 $6.27 -1.91% +0.80% -6.38% -11.56% -18.82% +3.99% -5.74% -0.32% LOSS
2024-04-08 09:27:21 $6.04 +4.47% +7.62% +14.74% +14.58% +6.46% +29.80% -1.16% -0.66% WIN
2024-04-05 09:29:04 $7.27 -2.65% -10.91% -17.47% -1.72% -8.67% +56.81% -23.25% -3.71% LOSS
2023-12-14 09:27:00 $1.1 +11.84% +9.09% +5.45% +5.45% +20.00% +27.27% -0.85% +9.09% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 58.3% Baseline on CADL

The 58.3% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push CADL's performance to 75%+.

Optimize CADL Strategy →

Why Analyze CADL with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for CADL. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, CADL historically offers an average upside of +15.67% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 CADL Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 58.3%, CADL shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show CADL performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +1.30%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.