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Latest signal:

CAS Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 2 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-05-19 → 2022-05-25

⚠️ Small sample size (2 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Simplify China A Shares PLUS Income ETF BLANK CHECKS (SIC 6770)
📍 NYSE Arca 📅 IPO: Jan 14, 2025
📊
2
Total Alerts
🎯
50.0%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
-0.02%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+0.02%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: +0.00%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +0.00%
Worst: +0.00%
Trades: 0/0

15MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.10%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.10%
Best: -0.10%
Worst: -0.10%
Trades: 0/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.02%
Avg Winner: +0.05%
Avg Loser: -0.10%
Best: +0.05%
Worst: -0.10%
Trades: 1/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.02%
Best MFE: +0.05%
Avg Time to MFE: 68 min

On average, CAS alerts reach +0.02% profit potential within 68 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: +0.02%
Worst MAE: +0.00%
Avg Time to MAE: 68 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.02%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.0:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 2 alerts, CAS typically reaches +0.02% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 1
Gap Up % 0.0%
Avg Gap +0.00%
Best Gap +0.00%

🏭 Sector Comparison: BLANK CHECKS

How CAS compares to 6 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
CAS: +0.00% Sector: -2.88% +2.88%
EOD Gain
CAS: +0.00% Sector: +228.91% -228.91%
Avg MFE
CAS: +0.00% Sector: +11.25% -11.25%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical CAS alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2022-05-25 09:25:00 $10.09 - - - - +0.05% +0.05% +0.05% - -
2022-05-19 09:25:00 $10.1 - -0.10% - - -0.10% - - - -

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ CAS Shows Negative Expectancy

With 50.0% win rate and -0.02% average gain, CAS alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider CAS for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze CAS with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for CAS. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, CAS historically offers an average upside of +0.02% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 CAS Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, CAS shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests CAS may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: CAS shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -0.02%). This suggests CAS is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.