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CB Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 15 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-02 → 2025-01-24

⚠️ Small sample size (15 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Feb 29, 1984 🔗 www.chubb.com
💰 Market Cap: $118.42B 👥 Employees: 43,000
ACE acquired Chubb in the first quarter of 2016 and assumed the Chubb name. The combination made the new Chubb one of the largest domestic property and casualty insurers, with operations in 54 countries spanning commercial and personal P&C insurance, reinsurance, and life insurance.
📊
15
Total Alerts
🎯
66.7%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.27%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+1.15%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +0.27%
Avg Winner: +0.76%
Avg Loser: -0.69%
Best: +2.58%
Worst: -2.03%
Trades: 10/5

15MIN

Win Rate: 46.7%
Avg Gain: +0.17%
Avg Winner: +1.15%
Avg Loser: -0.68%
Best: +3.92%
Worst: -1.85%
Trades: 7/8

30MIN

Win Rate: 60.0%
Avg Gain: +0.19%
Avg Winner: +0.96%
Avg Loser: -0.96%
Best: +2.83%
Worst: -1.78%
Trades: 9/6

60MIN

Win Rate: 53.3%
Avg Gain: +0.12%
Avg Winner: +1.16%
Avg Loser: -1.08%
Best: +2.75%
Worst: -2.39%
Trades: 8/7

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +0.28%
Avg Winner: +1.05%
Avg Loser: -1.28%
Best: +3.83%
Worst: -1.96%
Trades: 10/5

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.15%
Best MFE: +4.33%
Avg Time to MFE: 124 min

On average, CB alerts reach +1.15% profit potential within 124 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.17%
Worst MAE: -2.56%
Avg Time to MAE: 21 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.17%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

6.88:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 6.88x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 15 alerts, CB typically reaches +1.15% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 15
Gap Up % 66.7%
Avg Gap +0.29%
Best Gap +2.57%

🏭 Sector Comparison: FIRE, MARINE & CASUALTY INSURANCE

How CB compares to 22 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
CB: +0.27% Sector: +0.01% +0.27%
EOD Gain
CB: +0.28% Sector: +58.36% -58.08%
Avg MFE
CB: +1.15% Sector: +2.97% -1.83%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical CB alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-24 09:28:02 $266.5 +0.24% -0.05% -0.30% -0.38% +0.07% +0.58% +0.04% +0.36% WIN
2024-06-10 09:28:39 $268.01 -0.48% -0.17% -0.19% -0.50% -0.12% +0.18% -0.21% -0.21% LOSS
2024-05-16 09:27:48 $268.51 -0.24% -1.80% -1.76% -2.02% -1.35% +0.63% -0.20% +0.43% LOSS
2024-05-01 09:29:15 $248.65 +0.89% +0.50% +0.81% +1.04% +0.51% +1.24% +0.19% +0.19% WIN
2024-03-28 09:28:36 $258.58 +0.09% +0.13% +0.02% +0.06% +0.21% +0.52% -0.24% +0.23% WIN
2024-03-26 09:27:59 $255.07 +0.16% +0.25% +0.28% +0.52% +0.40% +0.97% -0.26% -0.11% WIN
2023-12-15 09:27:00 $224.48 -2.03% -1.85% -1.78% -2.39% -1.96% -1.16% -2.56% -2.35% LOSS
2022-11-28 09:25:00 $210.38 +2.58% +2.31% +2.35% +2.75% +2.39% +2.99% +2.15% +2.23% WIN
2022-07-11 09:25:00 $192.91 -0.21% +0.29% +0.81% +0.29% +0.34% +0.89% -0.21% +0.05% LOSS
2022-04-25 09:25:00 $205.9 -0.51% -1.11% -1.22% -0.99% +0.69% +1.00% -1.73% -0.07% LOSS
2022-02-14 09:25:00 $204.06 +0.72% -0.10% -0.54% -1.26% -0.98% +0.72% +0.02% +0.22% WIN
2022-02-11 09:25:00 $208.15 +0.05% -0.36% +0.09% -0.03% -1.96% +0.25% -0.65% -0.13% WIN
2022-02-10 09:25:00 $207.23 +0.54% +0.63% +1.11% +1.65% +0.66% +2.20% +0.09% +0.39% WIN
2022-02-08 09:25:00 $204.98 +0.60% -0.01% +0.38% +0.38% +1.42% +1.89% -0.18% +0.60% WIN
2022-02-02 09:25:00 $199.87 +1.70% +3.92% +2.83% +2.64% +3.83% +4.33% +1.24% +2.57% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 66.7% Baseline on CB

The 66.7% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push CB's performance to 75%+.

Optimize CB Strategy →

Why Analyze CB with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for CB. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, CB historically offers an average upside of +1.15% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 CB Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 66.7%, CB shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show CB performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.27%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.