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CELH Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 57 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-05-11 → 2025-02-14

⚠️ Small sample size (57 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Nov 01, 2006 🔗 www.celsius.com
💰 Market Cap: $14.42B 👥 Employees: 1,073
Celsius Holdings plays in the energy drink subsegment of the global nonalcoholic beverage market, with 95% of revenue concentrated in North America. The firm now owns three energy drink brands: Celsius, Alani Nu, and Rockstar Energy. It dedicates its efforts to product innovation and marketing while outsourcing manufacturing and packaging to third-party co-packers and distribution to PepsiCo. The firm issued convertible preferred shares following PepsiCo's investments in 2022 and 2025, giving the latter an 11% stake in Celsius.
📊
57
Total Alerts
🎯
42.1%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-0.27%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+3.74%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 42.1%
Avg Gain: -0.27%
Avg Winner: +1.32%
Avg Loser: -1.48%
Best: +4.56%
Worst: -4.29%
Trades: 24/32

15MIN

Win Rate: 42.1%
Avg Gain: -0.24%
Avg Winner: +2.04%
Avg Loser: -1.89%
Best: +9.03%
Worst: -6.85%
Trades: 24/33

30MIN

Win Rate: 35.1%
Avg Gain: +0.16%
Avg Winner: +3.50%
Avg Loser: -1.65%
Best: +17.52%
Worst: -6.29%
Trades: 20/37

60MIN

Win Rate: 36.8%
Avg Gain: +0.20%
Avg Winner: +3.82%
Avg Loser: -1.91%
Best: +17.45%
Worst: -9.79%
Trades: 21/36

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 35.1%
Avg Gain: -8.00%
Avg Winner: +4.25%
Avg Loser: -14.62%
Best: +25.57%
Worst: -69.27%
Trades: 20/37

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +3.74%
Best MFE: +27.31%
Avg Time to MFE: 117 min

On average, CELH alerts reach +3.74% profit potential within 117 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.71%
Worst MAE: -7.56%
Avg Time to MAE: 14 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.71%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.19:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.19x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 57 alerts, CELH typically reaches +3.74% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 57
Gap Up % 45.6%
Avg Gap -0.02%
Best Gap +1.93%

🏭 Sector Comparison: BOTTLED & CANNED SOFT DRINKS & CARBONATED WATERS

How CELH compares to 3 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
CELH: -0.27% Sector: -0.21% -0.06%
EOD Gain
CELH: -8.00% Sector: -10.26% +2.26%
Avg MFE
CELH: +3.74% Sector: +2.73% +1.02%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical CELH alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:29:56 $23.13 +0.41% +0.43% -0.50% -1.56% -3.42% +1.12% -0.61% -0.30% WIN
2025-02-13 09:27:52 $21.38 +1.10% +0.70% +1.26% +0.69% +5.99% +6.36% -0.33% +0.42% WIN
2025-02-12 09:29:55 $21.57 -1.42% -0.16% -0.09% -0.46% -1.34% +0.44% -1.48% -0.32% LOSS
2025-02-05 09:28:38 $23.1 -1.00% -1.84% -2.08% -2.16% -2.90% +0.30% -0.82% -0.35% LOSS
2025-02-03 09:29:51 $24.0 -0.31% -0.38% -1.00% -0.22% -1.00% +0.83% -2.04% - LOSS
2025-01-27 09:25:52 $25.0 +2.58% +3.30% +3.76% +3.88% +1.52% +4.40% - +1.84% WIN
2025-01-23 09:26:55 $25.11 +0.18% -1.63% -0.60% -0.36% -0.28% +1.03% -2.23% -0.38% WIN
2025-01-22 09:25:42 $26.18 -2.44% -0.48% -1.11% -0.49% -3.17% +1.03% -3.09% -0.08% LOSS
2025-01-15 09:29:25 $27.45 +2.00% +0.98% +0.55% +1.63% -0.55% +2.15% -0.18% +1.09% WIN
2025-01-06 09:28:09 $29.55 -2.27% -1.76% -3.62% -3.52% -2.10% +0.38% -1.15% -0.51% LOSS
2024-12-30 09:26:59 $26.03 -0.46% -1.04% -0.73% -0.77% -0.69% +1.50% -1.51% +0.65% LOSS
2024-12-19 09:25:08 $27.35 +0.73% -1.65% -0.86% -0.91% +2.16% +3.40% -2.30% +0.37% WIN
2024-12-16 09:29:35 $31.94 -4.29% -3.23% -1.35% -3.33% -3.13% +0.50% -4.48% -0.80% LOSS
2024-12-13 09:29:29 $32.02 -1.69% +0.08% -0.72% -2.90% -0.72% +1.12% -0.93% -0.06% LOSS
2024-12-12 09:25:26 $30.74 -1.43% -0.26% -0.00% +3.22% +4.07% +4.47% -2.02% -2.02% LOSS
2024-12-11 09:26:52 $31.74 -1.01% -0.90% -2.85% -1.95% -6.24% +0.19% -0.47% -1.49% LOSS
2024-12-09 09:29:51 $28.43 +0.25% +2.00% +2.29% +5.40% +7.49% +10.41% -0.63% +0.28% WIN
2024-12-06 09:28:10 $29.26 +2.15% +3.40% +2.08% -0.24% -3.73% +4.14% -1.95% -0.10% WIN
2024-11-25 09:29:00 $30.44 -1.05% -0.48% -0.98% +0.66% -2.27% +2.20% -1.97% -0.33% LOSS
2024-11-18 09:25:19 $25.7 - -0.89% -1.01% -0.86% +0.35% +1.00% -0.97% -0.35% -

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ CELH Shows Negative Expectancy

With 42.1% win rate and -0.27% average gain, CELH alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider CELH for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze CELH with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for CELH. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, CELH historically offers an average upside of +3.74% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 CELH Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 42.1%, CELH shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests CELH may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: CELH shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.27%). This suggests CELH is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.