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CFLT Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 45 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-11 → 2025-02-13

⚠️ Small sample size (45 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Confluent, Inc. Class A Common Stock SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE (SIC 7372)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jun 24, 2021 🔗 www.confluent.io
💰 Market Cap: $10.84B 👥 Employees: 3,060
Confluent Inc provides a data streaming platform that enables customers to connect their applications, systems, and data layers and can be deployed as a fully managed cloud-native software-as-a-service (SaaS) offering. Its products include Confluent Cloud, a self-managed software offering, Confluent Platform, a managed service offering where the raw data resides inside a customer's cloud environment, and WarpStream, among others. Confluent also offers professional services and education services. The company generates revenue from the sale of subscriptions and services. Geographically, it generates a majority of its revenue from its business in the United States and the rest from International markets.
📊
45
Total Alerts
🎯
53.3%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
+0.53%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+4.13%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 51.1%
Avg Gain: +0.11%
Avg Winner: +1.56%
Avg Loser: -1.46%
Best: +3.60%
Worst: -3.99%
Trades: 23/21

15MIN

Win Rate: 51.1%
Avg Gain: +0.13%
Avg Winner: +2.19%
Avg Loser: -2.03%
Best: +5.87%
Worst: -6.37%
Trades: 23/22

30MIN

Win Rate: 53.3%
Avg Gain: +0.53%
Avg Winner: +2.91%
Avg Loser: -2.20%
Best: +7.27%
Worst: -10.04%
Trades: 24/21

60MIN

Win Rate: 51.1%
Avg Gain: +0.27%
Avg Winner: +2.73%
Avg Loser: -2.31%
Best: +6.66%
Worst: -8.52%
Trades: 23/22

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 53.3%
Avg Gain: +1.10%
Avg Winner: +4.50%
Avg Loser: -2.79%
Best: +12.86%
Worst: -14.66%
Trades: 24/21

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +4.13%
Best MFE: +13.61%
Avg Time to MFE: 149 min

On average, CFLT alerts reach +4.13% profit potential within 149 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.80%
Worst MAE: -8.93%
Avg Time to MAE: 10 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.80%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.29:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.29x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 45 alerts, CFLT typically reaches +4.13% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.3% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 45
Gap Up % 44.4%
Avg Gap -0.02%
Best Gap +1.88%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE

How CFLT compares to 137 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
CFLT: +0.11% Sector: -0.09% +0.20%
EOD Gain
CFLT: +1.10% Sector: +73.64% -72.54%
Avg MFE
CFLT: +4.13% Sector: +4.32% -0.20%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical CFLT alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-13 09:26:53 $36.5 -1.86% -2.22% -1.53% +0.52% -0.74% +1.07% -4.11% +0.03% LOSS
2025-02-12 09:27:26 $33.36 +1.05% +5.79% +5.82% +6.66% +12.86% +13.61% -3.09% -1.08% WIN
2025-02-10 09:26:37 $31.2 -1.92% +0.96% +1.44% +0.50% +0.83% +2.31% -2.18% -0.16% LOSS
2024-10-31 09:26:09 $27.35 +1.63% +2.38% +3.64% -0.88% -4.31% +5.85% -0.55% +0.95% WIN
2024-05-08 09:25:25 $29.9 +3.44% +2.34% +0.13% +0.30% +4.95% +6.62% -2.01% +1.30% WIN
2024-04-05 09:25:21 $29.06 +0.88% +1.24% +1.93% +1.38% +0.89% +2.60% +0.34% +0.72% WIN
2024-04-04 09:27:47 $29.71 +1.14% +1.48% +0.77% +1.41% -1.48% +2.12% +0.37% +0.94% WIN
2024-03-07 09:26:55 $34.15 -2.28% -3.18% -3.16% -3.46% -2.55% -0.26% -0.26% -1.05% LOSS
2024-02-15 09:29:53 $33.59 +0.33% +0.55% +0.42% +0.21% +0.33% +2.04% -0.54% +0.24% WIN
2024-02-14 09:29:14 $32.68 -1.25% -0.43% -0.15% +0.60% +3.70% +3.89% -1.90% -0.24% LOSS
2024-02-13 09:28:35 $29.8 +1.75% +2.37% +3.72% +5.18% +6.88% +7.99% -2.05% -0.13% WIN
2024-02-09 09:29:54 $32.8 -1.31% +0.03% -1.80% -3.17% -3.29% +0.99% -0.58% +0.82% LOSS
2024-02-08 09:29:33 $31.48 +1.92% -2.35% +0.13% -1.21% +3.46% +4.45% -1.87% -0.44% WIN
2023-12-04 09:25:00 $22.44 +2.41% +3.65% +4.90% +5.84% +7.26% +7.75% - +0.80% WIN
2023-11-16 09:26:00 $19.88 -2.46% -3.67% -3.22% -3.24% -4.58% -0.65% -0.75% -1.06% LOSS
2023-11-14 09:26:00 $18.74 +2.13% +2.45% +4.33% +4.75% +5.02% +6.72% -0.16% -0.16% WIN
2023-11-07 09:25:00 $18.0 -0.39% -0.83% +2.67% +5.22% +0.22% +6.33% -1.89% - LOSS
2023-11-06 09:27:00 $17.85 +2.27% +2.70% +3.78% -0.45% -1.18% +4.99% -0.28% +1.79% WIN
2023-11-03 09:25:00 $16.91 +1.69% +4.79% +7.27% +4.67% +4.97% +9.82% - +0.35% WIN
2023-11-02 09:29:00 $16.13 -2.54% -0.50% -0.56% -2.51% +0.93% +2.17% -8.93% -1.12% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 53.3% Baseline on CFLT

The 53.3% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push CFLT's performance to 75%+.

Optimize CFLT Strategy →

Why Analyze CFLT with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for CFLT. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, CFLT historically offers an average upside of +4.13% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 CFLT Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 53.3%, CFLT shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show CFLT performs best on the 30MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.53%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.