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Latest signal:

CG Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 33 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-12 → 2025-02-14

⚠️ Small sample size (33 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

The Carlyle Group Inc. Common Stock INVESTMENT ADVICE (SIC 6282)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: May 03, 2012 🔗 www.carlyle.com
💰 Market Cap: $22.09B 👥 Employees: 2,300
Carlyle Group is one of the world's largest alternative-asset managers, with $474.1 billion in total AUM, including $332.0 billion in fee-earning AUM, at the end of September 2025. The company has three core business segments: global private equity, which includes its private equity, real estate, infrastructure, and natural resources offerings (with $163.5 billion in total AUM and $101.1 billion in fee-earning AUM), global credit ($208.5 billion/$167.2 billion), and investment/fund solutions, known as Carlyle AlphInvest ($102.1 billion/$63.7 billion). The firm primarily serves institutional investors and high-net-worth individuals. Carlyle operates through 29 offices across five continents, serving more than 3,100 active carry fund investors from 87 countries.
📊
33
Total Alerts
🎯
51.5%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
+0.18%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+1.40%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 42.4%
Avg Gain: -0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.92%
Avg Loser: -0.70%
Best: +3.16%
Worst: -1.64%
Trades: 14/19

15MIN

Win Rate: 39.4%
Avg Gain: +0.00%
Avg Winner: +1.25%
Avg Loser: -0.81%
Best: +4.27%
Worst: -1.49%
Trades: 13/20

30MIN

Win Rate: 51.5%
Avg Gain: +0.18%
Avg Winner: +1.21%
Avg Loser: -0.91%
Best: +4.01%
Worst: -2.08%
Trades: 17/16

60MIN

Win Rate: 42.4%
Avg Gain: -0.03%
Avg Winner: +1.48%
Avg Loser: -1.14%
Best: +3.90%
Worst: -3.29%
Trades: 14/19

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 45.5%
Avg Gain: -0.11%
Avg Winner: +1.61%
Avg Loser: -1.55%
Best: +4.27%
Worst: -4.29%
Trades: 15/18

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.40%
Best MFE: +6.15%
Avg Time to MFE: 118 min

On average, CG alerts reach +1.40% profit potential within 118 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.48%
Worst MAE: -2.37%
Avg Time to MAE: 4 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.48%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.92:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.92x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 33 alerts, CG typically reaches +1.40% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 33
Gap Up % 39.4%
Avg Gap +0.01%
Best Gap +2.97%

🏭 Sector Comparison: INVESTMENT ADVICE

How CG compares to 30 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
CG: -0.01% Sector: -0.13% +0.12%
EOD Gain
CG: -0.11% Sector: +3.47% -3.59%
Avg MFE
CG: +1.40% Sector: +1.91% -0.51%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical CG alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:28:33 $51.48 -0.24% +0.52% +1.11% +0.31% +0.56% +1.11% -0.40% -0.25% LOSS
2025-02-13 09:28:29 $49.6 +2.04% +3.37% +3.00% +3.52% +2.88% +3.89% +1.36% +1.61% WIN
2025-01-22 09:25:17 $56.56 +0.13% +0.17% +0.28% -0.25% +0.11% +0.49% -0.41% +0.04% WIN
2024-12-19 09:28:50 $50.03 +0.52% -0.18% -0.14% -0.95% -2.00% +0.60% -0.86% -0.12% WIN
2024-12-02 09:26:10 $53.96 -0.87% -0.69% -1.78% -1.38% -2.19% -0.40% -1.22% -1.15% LOSS
2024-11-26 09:27:34 $54.38 -0.55% -0.74% -0.69% -1.04% -1.58% -0.11% -0.79% -0.70% LOSS
2024-11-21 09:25:52 $52.0 -1.33% -1.38% -0.74% -0.05% +1.52% +1.92% -1.46% -1.13% LOSS
2024-11-11 09:27:37 $53.16 -1.64% -1.22% -0.38% +0.19% +0.26% +1.43% -2.37% -0.09% LOSS
2024-10-31 09:25:10 $51.09 -0.70% -0.23% -0.34% -0.86% -2.07% -0.06% -0.82% -0.25% LOSS
2024-10-18 09:29:21 $51.34 -0.30% +0.12% +0.85% +1.20% +1.83% +2.71% -0.66% +0.16% LOSS
2024-10-17 09:29:39 $49.55 +0.69% +1.75% +2.54% +2.60% +3.61% +3.73% -0.02% +0.12% WIN
2024-10-09 09:29:28 $47.0 -1.09% -0.21% -0.11% -0.72% -0.79% +0.55% -2.00% -0.87% LOSS
2024-09-20 09:25:41 $44.51 -1.28% -1.03% -1.46% -1.64% -1.86% -0.33% -0.72% -0.49% LOSS
2024-09-06 09:27:33 $38.9 -1.25% -1.18% -1.48% -3.29% -4.29% -0.73% -2.01% -2.01% LOSS
2024-08-26 09:29:30 $40.79 -1.40% -1.20% -0.96% -1.99% -2.40% -0.69% -1.41% -0.69% LOSS
2024-08-22 09:28:40 $39.75 +1.04% +1.38% +0.77% +0.55% -0.25% +1.61% +0.88% +1.18% WIN
2024-08-21 09:25:48 $40.59 -0.49% -1.35% -0.94% -1.34% -1.06% +0.15% -0.32% -0.32% LOSS
2024-08-08 09:29:21 $38.22 +0.47% +0.97% +2.04% +2.56% +2.64% +3.52% -0.10% +1.65% WIN
2024-06-24 09:29:56 $40.1 -0.25% -0.25% +1.07% +1.02% +0.92% +1.51% -0.42% - LOSS
2024-03-27 09:27:41 $46.5 +0.57% +1.46% +0.37% -0.19% +0.60% +1.59% +0.26% +0.26% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 51.5% Baseline on CG

The 51.5% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push CG's performance to 75%+.

Optimize CG Strategy →

Why Analyze CG with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for CG. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, CG historically offers an average upside of +1.40% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 CG Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 51.5%, CG shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show CG performs best on the 30MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.18%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.