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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$CG

Trade-Ideas alerts 50.9% at 30-min n=57 2022-01-12 → 2026-09-16

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 57 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

The Carlyle Group Inc. Common Stock INVESTMENT ADVICE (SIC 6282)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: May 03, 2012 🔗 www.carlyle.com
💰 Market Cap: $13.85B 👥 Employees: 2,500
Carlyle Group is one of the world's largest alternative-asset managers, with $485.5 billion in total AUM, including $334.4 billion in fee-earning AUM, at the end of June 2026. The company has three core business segments: global private equity, which includes its private equity, real estate, infrastructure, and natural resources offerings (with $162.7 billion in total AUM and $96.6 billion in fee-earning AUM), global credit ($211.1 billion/$167.6 billion), and investment/fund solutions, known as Carlyle AlphInvest ($111.7 billion/$70.2 billion). The firm primarily serves institutional investors and high-net-worth individuals. Carlyle operates through 29 offices across five continents, serving more than 3,100 active carry fund investors from 87 countries.
Total alerts
57
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 30MIN
50.9%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 30MIN
-0.00%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+1.57%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading CG on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 47.4%
Avg Gain: +0.07%
Avg Winner: +0.80%
Avg Loser: -0.59%
Best: +3.16%
Worst: -1.64%
Trades: 27/30

15MIN

Win Rate: 47.4%
Avg Gain: +0.04%
Avg Winner: +0.98%
Avg Loser: -0.81%
Best: +4.27%
Worst: -2.81%
Trades: 27/30

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.9%
Avg Gain: -0.00%
Avg Winner: +1.00%
Avg Loser: -1.04%
Best: +4.01%
Worst: -2.57%
Trades: 29/28

60MIN

Win Rate: 43.9%
Avg Gain: -0.10%
Avg Winner: +1.26%
Avg Loser: -1.20%
Best: +3.90%
Worst: -3.29%
Trades: 25/31

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 47.4%
Avg Gain: -0.18%
Avg Winner: +1.59%
Avg Loser: -1.77%
Best: +6.33%
Worst: -4.29%
Trades: 27/30

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.57%
Best MFE: +7.07%
Avg Time to MFE: 128 min

On average, CG alerts reach +1.57% profit potential within 128 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.52%
Worst MAE: -2.98%
Avg Time to MAE: 9 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.52%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.0:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.0x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 57 alerts, CG typically reaches +1.57% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.3% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 57
Gap Up % 45.6%
Avg Gap +0.09%
Best Gap +2.97%

🏭 Sector Comparison: INVESTMENT ADVICE

How CG compares to 39 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
CG: +0.07% Sector: -0.09% +0.16%
EOD Gain
CG: -0.18% Sector: +1.51% -1.69%
Avg MFE
CG: +1.57% Sector: +2.31% -0.74%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical CG alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-09-16 09:25:00 $41.42 +0.95% +0.08% +0.35% -0.51% -3.40% +0.98% +0.53% +0.53% WIN
2026-09-09 09:25:00 $45.95 -0.22% -1.00% -2.57% -2.87% -4.00% +0.54% -0.61% -0.09% LOSS
2026-09-04 09:25:00 $46.85 +0.30% -0.26% -0.34% +0.63% +0.26% +1.62% -0.75% +0.11% WIN
2026-09-02 09:25:00 $46.54 -0.01% +0.01% +0.56% +1.20% +1.29% +2.57% -0.69% +0.00% LOSS
2026-08-28 09:25:00 $49.24 +0.59% +0.38% +0.51% +0.69% -0.30% +1.54% -0.02% +0.81% WIN
2026-08-03 09:25:00 $46.0 +0.80% +2.65% +2.75% +2.30% +6.33% +7.07% +0.49% +1.37% WIN
2026-06-25 09:25:00 $41.69 +0.10% +0.52% +1.20% +2.35% +0.50% +3.12% -1.10% -0.14% WIN
2026-06-24 09:25:00 $42.55 +0.31% -0.65% -0.81% -1.69% -3.50% +0.59% -0.07% +0.40% WIN
2026-06-23 09:25:00 $44.21 -0.25% -0.08% -0.05% +0.61% -2.94% +1.06% -0.54% +0.29% LOSS
2026-06-04 09:25:00 $43.34 -0.87% -0.37% -0.51% +0.00% +0.44% +1.45% -1.63% -0.87% LOSS
2026-05-28 09:25:00 $45.4 -0.62% -0.34% -0.72% -1.04% -0.68% -0.04% -0.62% -0.20% LOSS
2026-04-10 09:25:00 $47.24 +1.83% +1.21% +0.32% +0.66% +0.11% +1.95% +1.57% +1.82% WIN
2026-03-24 09:25:00 $46.48 -0.04% +1.23% +0.28% -0.24% +1.68% +2.37% -0.75% +0.02% LOSS
2026-03-23 09:25:00 $48.35 +0.46% +0.48% +0.64% +1.14% -1.39% +1.71% -0.22% +0.19% WIN
2026-03-19 09:25:00 $46.68 +1.31% +1.31% +1.07% +0.41% +2.23% +3.53% +0.00% +0.96% WIN
2026-03-09 09:25:00 $47.99 -0.72% -2.31% -2.56% -2.03% +1.73% +2.19% -2.98% -0.52% LOSS
2026-03-06 09:25:00 $49.8 -0.17% -2.81% -2.19% -1.12% -1.81% +1.14% -0.38% +0.67% LOSS
2026-03-05 09:25:00 $52.03 +0.08% +1.34% +0.65% -0.29% -0.69% +1.58% -0.43% -0.02% WIN
2026-02-17 09:25:00 $55.05 +0.05% -0.33% -2.11% -2.15% -1.47% +0.98% -0.35% -0.35% WIN
2026-01-30 09:25:00 $59.41 -0.93% -0.01% -0.58% -0.56% -1.06% +0.40% -1.13% -0.89% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ CG Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 50.9% win rate, CG has -0.00% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve win size or reduce loss size, making CG profitable.

🔧 Fix CG Risk / Reward →

Why Analyze CG with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for CG. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, CG historically offers an average upside of +1.57% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 CG Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.9%, CG shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: CG shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -0.00%). This suggests CG is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.