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CGC Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 438 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-10 → 2025-02-14

🏢 Company Profile

Canopy Growth Corporation Common Shares MEDICINAL CHEMICALS & BOTANICAL PRODUCTS (SIC 2833)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Apr 07, 2014 🔗 www.canopygrowth.com
💰 Market Cap: $449.7M 👥 Employees: 960
Canopy Growth Corp, cultivates and sells medicinal and recreational cannabis and hemp through a portfolio of brands that include Doja, LivRelief, Ace Valley, Deep Space, and others. The Company is engaged in reportable segments namely: Canada cannabis, International markets cannabis, Storz & Bickel, and This Works. The company generates maximum revenue from Canadian cannabis.
📊
438
Total Alerts
🎯
66.4%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+407.32%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+5.71%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 34.7%
Avg Gain: -0.58%
Avg Winner: +1.40%
Avg Loser: -1.70%
Best: +10.71%
Worst: -8.43%
Trades: 152/275

15MIN

Win Rate: 40.9%
Avg Gain: -0.39%
Avg Winner: +2.77%
Avg Loser: -2.61%
Best: +13.50%
Worst: -16.85%
Trades: 179/255

30MIN

Win Rate: 41.8%
Avg Gain: -0.30%
Avg Winner: +3.36%
Avg Loser: -2.98%
Best: +24.27%
Worst: -18.35%
Trades: 183/250

60MIN

Win Rate: 38.6%
Avg Gain: -0.47%
Avg Winner: +4.30%
Avg Loser: -3.52%
Best: +28.53%
Worst: -19.64%
Trades: 169/265

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 66.4%
Avg Gain: +407.32%
Avg Winner: +615.75%
Avg Loser: -5.40%
Best: +1509.52%
Worst: -28.88%
Trades: 291/144

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +5.71%
Best MFE: +88.14%
Avg Time to MFE: 96 min

On average, CGC alerts reach +5.71% profit potential within 96 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.10%
Worst MAE: -13.44%
Avg Time to MAE: 12 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.10%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.71:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.71x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 438 alerts, CGC typically reaches +5.71% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 4.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 438
Gap Up % 30.1%
Avg Gap -0.18%
Best Gap +4.28%

🏭 Sector Comparison: MEDICINAL CHEMICALS & BOTANICAL PRODUCTS

How CGC compares to 4 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
CGC: -0.58% Sector: -0.45% -0.13%
EOD Gain
CGC: +407.32% Sector: +157.72% +249.60%
Avg MFE
CGC: +5.71% Sector: +4.26% +1.45%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical CGC alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:29:27 $1.91 +2.62% +2.05% -0.26% -1.57% -1.05% +3.14% - +0.52% WIN
2025-02-12 09:28:27 $1.78 -1.65% +0.84% +1.97% +2.25% +0.56% +3.93% -1.69% -0.28% LOSS
2025-02-11 09:26:29 $1.95 -1.54% -1.28% -1.79% -3.33% -7.18% - -1.54% - LOSS
2025-02-10 09:29:56 $2.03 -4.56% -5.67% -2.93% -1.23% -3.20% +1.48% -6.40% +0.49% LOSS
2025-02-07 09:28:59 $2.12 +4.96% +7.08% +6.60% +5.67% -4.72% +9.91% -0.94% +0.47% WIN
2025-02-06 09:28:40 $2.63 +0.76% +2.28% +0.95% +9.17% +5.70% +10.27% -2.28% -1.14% WIN
2025-02-05 09:26:04 $2.26 -0.06% +7.52% +11.98% +14.12% +11.95% +23.01% -1.77% -0.44% LOSS
2025-02-04 09:28:08 $1.96 +1.28% +0.51% +2.30% +2.55% +5.61% +5.87% -0.51% +0.51% WIN
2025-02-03 09:28:48 $1.89 +3.16% +3.70% +3.11% +6.35% +4.23% +6.88% -2.12% - WIN
2025-01-27 09:27:05 $2.18 -4.13% -3.90% -5.12% -6.42% -4.13% +1.38% -2.29% +0.92% LOSS
2025-01-15 09:27:17 $2.26 +0.44% -0.93% -1.11% -1.11% -2.21% +2.19% - - WIN
2025-01-10 09:29:20 $2.56 -1.37% -1.22% -2.34% -2.93% -4.30% +0.78% -3.06% +0.78% LOSS
2025-01-06 09:26:41 $3.04 +0.12% -1.32% -2.96% -3.56% -3.95% +0.99% -0.99% +0.33% WIN
2025-01-03 09:25:25 $3.01 -2.27% -2.66% -3.25% -3.36% -2.33% -0.04% -0.04% -0.33% LOSS
2025-01-02 09:26:10 $2.86 +1.57% +2.97% +3.32% +2.97% +0.70% +4.55% -1.02% -0.70% WIN
2024-12-27 09:29:09 $2.87 -0.70% -2.02% -1.74% -4.70% -3.14% +0.17% -2.79% -1.05% LOSS
2024-12-24 09:25:02 $2.95 +1.02% +0.51% -2.37% -2.14% -4.75% +2.03% -2.37% - WIN
2024-12-23 09:26:09 $2.97 -1.01% -0.17% -0.04% -2.36% -3.37% +0.67% -2.69% -0.67% LOSS
2024-12-20 09:29:26 $2.72 +1.65% +2.02% +2.57% +3.66% +4.04% +5.88% -0.74% -0.37% WIN
2024-12-05 09:25:11 $3.78 -0.53% -0.53% +0.50% -3.16% -4.50% +2.12% -1.85% -0.26% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 66.4% Baseline on CGC

The 66.4% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push CGC's performance to 75%+.

Optimize CGC Strategy →

Why Analyze CGC with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for CGC. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, CGC historically offers an average upside of +5.71% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 CGC Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 66.4%, CGC shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show CGC performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +407.32%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.