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TLRY Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 655 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-14
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, TLRY alerts reach +3.34% profit potential within 100 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.43%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.34x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 655 alerts, TLRY typically reaches +3.34% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.7% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: MEDICINAL CHEMICALS & BOTANICAL PRODUCTS
How TLRY compares to 4 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical TLRY alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-14 | 09:28:20 | $0.95 | +1.36% | +2.04% | -0.40% | -1.56% | -1.81% | +2.56% | -0.71% | -0.71% | WIN |
| 2025-02-13 | 09:25:17 | $0.96 | -0.86% | -0.46% | +0.14% | -4.63% | -1.61% | +0.66% | -0.91% | -0.39% | LOSS |
| 2025-02-12 | 09:28:30 | $0.93 | -1.74% | +1.08% | +1.97% | +2.56% | +2.08% | +4.30% | -1.95% | -0.32% | LOSS |
| 2025-02-11 | 09:27:53 | $0.97 | +0.02% | -1.03% | -1.01% | -2.77% | -3.15% | +1.02% | -1.03% | -0.08% | WIN |
| 2025-02-10 | 09:27:57 | $1.01 | -1.39% | -2.78% | -2.56% | -3.96% | -2.92% | - | -0.99% | - | LOSS |
| 2025-02-07 | 09:27:19 | $1.04 | -0.90% | -1.92% | -1.44% | +0.48% | -3.85% | +1.92% | -3.85% | - | LOSS |
| 2025-02-06 | 09:28:04 | $1.08 | -0.46% | +1.91% | +0.10% | +2.78% | -1.85% | +4.63% | -1.85% | -0.93% | LOSS |
| 2025-02-05 | 09:25:43 | $1.04 | -1.44% | +3.37% | +9.58% | +9.62% | +2.88% | +15.38% | -2.88% | -0.96% | LOSS |
| 2025-02-04 | 09:28:15 | $1.0 | +1.01% | +2.00% | +4.65% | +3.73% | - | +5.00% | -0.81% | -0.50% | WIN |
| 2025-02-03 | 09:28:12 | $1.0 | -0.94% | -0.06% | +0.56% | +2.06% | -0.94% | +2.06% | -2.79% | -0.92% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-31 | 09:29:40 | $1.12 | +1.34% | -0.04% | -1.79% | -1.79% | -6.25% | +1.79% | -0.89% | +0.89% | WIN |
| 2025-01-30 | 09:27:54 | $1.06 | +1.35% | +1.89% | +0.94% | +0.47% | +6.60% | +8.49% | -0.94% | +0.94% | WIN |
| 2025-01-29 | 09:26:38 | $1.08 | - | - | +2.78% | +0.93% | -3.70% | +2.78% | -0.93% | - | - |
| 2025-01-28 | 09:29:09 | $1.1 | - | - | -0.01% | - | -0.91% | +0.91% | -0.91% | +0.91% | - |
| 2025-01-27 | 09:27:32 | $1.12 | -0.45% | +1.34% | +1.34% | +0.45% | -1.79% | +2.68% | -0.89% | - | LOSS |
| 2025-01-24 | 09:25:08 | $1.13 | - | +0.89% | - | +4.42% | +0.89% | +4.42% | -1.77% | -0.89% | - |
| 2025-01-23 | 09:25:55 | $1.13 | - | +0.44% | +1.33% | +0.44% | -0.89% | +1.77% | -0.89% | - | - |
| 2025-01-22 | 09:28:14 | $1.17 | -0.85% | -1.73% | -2.99% | -0.86% | -3.42% | +0.85% | -0.85% | -0.85% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-21 | 09:27:05 | $1.21 | -0.46% | -1.37% | -2.07% | -2.07% | -3.31% | - | -0.01% | - | LOSS |
| 2025-01-17 | 09:25:12 | $1.19 | -0.84% | +0.42% | +2.94% | +2.10% | +0.84% | +3.36% | -0.84% | - | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ TLRY Shows Negative Expectancy
With 41.9% win rate and -0.26% average gain, TLRY alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider TLRY for short-selling strategies.
📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →Why Analyze TLRY with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for TLRY. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, TLRY historically offers an average upside of +3.34% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 TLRY Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 41.9%, TLRY shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests TLRY may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: TLRY shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -0.26%). This suggests TLRY is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.