FILTRIX Logo FILTRIX Find Your Edge →

Latest signal:

CGEM Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 4 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-04 → 2024-04-16

⚠️ Small sample size (4 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Cullinan Therapeutics, Inc. Common Stock BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DISGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES) (SIC 2836)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jan 08, 2021 🔗 cullinantherapeutics.com
💰 Market Cap: $738.5M 👥 Employees: 111
Cullinan Therapeutics Inc is a biopharmaceutical company. It has a diversified portfolio of clinical-stage assets that inhibit key drivers of disease or harness the immune system to eliminate diseased cells in both oncology and autoimmune diseases. Its understanding of oncology, immunology, and translational medicine, creates differentiated ideas, identifies the appropriate targets, and selects the optimal modality to develop transformative therapeutics across a variety of cancer and autoimmune indications. It has one reporting and one operating segment, which is the business of developing immunology and oncology therapies.
📊
4
Total Alerts
🎯
50.0%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
-1.15%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+2.69%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -1.77%
Avg Winner: +0.15%
Avg Loser: -2.41%
Best: +0.15%
Worst: -5.04%
Trades: 1/3

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -1.15%
Avg Winner: +0.57%
Avg Loser: -2.88%
Best: +0.61%
Worst: -3.97%
Trades: 2/2

30MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -3.28%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -4.37%
Best: +0.00%
Worst: -7.20%
Trades: 0/3

60MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -3.31%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -3.31%
Best: -0.52%
Worst: -6.14%
Trades: 0/4

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -6.16%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -6.16%
Best: -0.97%
Worst: -13.18%
Trades: 0/4

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.69%
Best MFE: +3.64%
Avg Time to MFE: 93 min

On average, CGEM alerts reach +2.69% profit potential within 93 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -4.87%
Worst MAE: -7.45%
Avg Time to MAE: 16 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 4.87%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.55:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 4 alerts, CGEM typically reaches +2.69% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 4
Gap Up % 0.0%
Avg Gap -2.21%
Best Gap -0.37%

🏭 Sector Comparison: BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DISGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES)

How CGEM compares to 128 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
CGEM: -1.77% Sector: -0.41% -1.36%
EOD Gain
CGEM: -6.16% Sector: +1233.50% -1239.66%
Avg MFE
CGEM: +2.69% Sector: +6.69% -4.00%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical CGEM alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-04-16 09:27:48 $19.95 +0.15% +0.53% - -3.91% -13.18% +3.36% -3.16% -0.40% WIN
2022-11-25 09:25:00 $13.41 -0.37% -1.79% -2.35% -0.52% -0.97% +1.19% -3.36% -0.37% LOSS
2022-05-12 09:25:00 $9.33 -5.04% -3.97% -7.20% -2.65% -3.54% +3.64% -7.45% -2.68% LOSS
2022-01-04 09:25:00 $18.0 -1.83% +0.61% -3.56% -6.14% -6.94% +2.56% -5.50% -5.39% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ CGEM Shows Negative Expectancy

With 50.0% win rate and -1.15% average gain, CGEM alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider CGEM for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze CGEM with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for CGEM. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, CGEM historically offers an average upside of +2.69% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 CGEM Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, CGEM shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests CGEM may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: CGEM shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -1.15%). This suggests CGEM is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.