FILTRIX Logo FILTRIX Find Your Edge β†’

Latest signal:

CHR Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 6 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-11-09 β†’ 2024-12-04

⚠️ Small sample size (6 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏒 Company Profile

Cheer Holding, Inc. Class A Ordinary Share SERVICES-COMPUTER PROCESSING & DATA PREPARATION (SIC 7374)
πŸ“ NASDAQ πŸ“… IPO: Sep 12, 2018 πŸ”— ir.gsmg.co
πŸ’° Market Cap: $6.9M πŸ‘₯ Employees: 122
Cheer Holding Inc is a provider of next generation mobile internet infrastructure and platform services in China. It is engaged in building a digital ecosystem that integrates platforms, applications, technology, and industry into a cohesive system, thereby creating a new, open business environment that leverages AI technology. Its portfolio includes variousΒ products and services, such as Polaris Intelligent Cloud, CHEERS Telepathy, CHEERS Open Platform, CHEERS Video, CHEERS e-Mall, CheerReal, CheerCar, CheerChat, CHEERS Fresh Group-Buying E-commerce Platform, Digital Innovation Research Institute, CHEERS Livestreaming, variety show series, IP short video matrix, and more.
πŸ“Š
6
Total Alerts
🎯
50.0%
Win Rate (30MIN)
πŸ’°
-1.86%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
πŸš€
+9.87%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

πŸ“ˆ Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.23%
Avg Winner: +8.41%
Avg Loser: -6.07%
Best: +9.44%
Worst: -6.53%
Trades: 2/3

15MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -2.08%
Avg Winner: +4.95%
Avg Loser: -5.60%
Best: +5.88%
Worst: -8.61%
Trades: 2/4

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -1.86%
Avg Winner: +0.86%
Avg Loser: -4.59%
Best: +1.34%
Worst: -6.84%
Trades: 3/3

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.85%
Avg Winner: +5.58%
Avg Loser: -5.83%
Best: +7.78%
Worst: -9.44%
Trades: 3/2

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +163.95%
Avg Winner: +334.40%
Avg Loser: -6.49%
Best: +982.89%
Worst: -8.33%
Trades: 3/3

πŸš€ Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

πŸ“ˆ MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +9.87%
Best MFE: +16.67%
Avg Time to MFE: 133 min

On average, CHR alerts reach +9.87% profit potential within 133 minutes.

πŸ“‰ MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -4.47%
Worst MAE: -16.30%
Avg Time to MAE: 3 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 4.47%.

βš–οΈ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.21:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.21x the typical drawdown.

πŸ’‘ Trading Insight: Based on 6 alerts, CHR typically reaches +9.87% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 7.9% to capture most of the move.

πŸŒ… Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 β†’ 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 6
Gap Up % 66.7%
Avg Gap +1.31%
Best Gap +9.44%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-COMPUTER PROCESSING & DATA PREPARATION

How CHR compares to 42 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
CHR: -0.23% Sector: -0.45% +0.22%
EOD Gain
CHR: +163.95% Sector: +1109.54% -945.59%
Avg MFE
CHR: +9.87% Sector: +6.73% +3.14%

πŸ“‹ Last 20 Alerts

Historical CHR alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-12-04 09:26:00 $3.23 - +5.88% -2.48% +2.01% -7.12% +6.81% -0.62% +0.31% -
2024-12-03 09:28:17 $2.98 +7.38% +4.03% +1.34% - -4.03% +7.55% -1.68% +0.67% WIN
2024-02-15 09:28:49 $2.7 -5.27% -5.93% -4.44% +7.78% +17.78% +16.67% -16.30% - LOSS
2023-11-13 09:29:00 $0.4 -6.53% -8.61% -6.84% -9.44% +2.53% +3.77% -4.81% -2.84% LOSS
2023-11-10 09:29:00 $0.37 -6.42% -5.08% +0.27% +6.95% +982.89% +14.97% -12.83% +0.27% LOSS
2023-11-09 09:25:00 $0.36 +9.44% -2.78% +0.97% -2.22% -8.33% +9.44% +9.44% +9.44% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ CHR Shows Negative Expectancy

With 50.0% win rate and -1.86% average gain, CHR alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider CHR for short-selling strategies.

πŸ“‰ Turn Negative Expectancy Positive β†’

Why Analyze CHR with FILTRIX?

πŸ›‘οΈ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for CHR. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

πŸ’° Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, CHR historically offers an average upside of +9.87% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

πŸ“Š CHR Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, CHR shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests CHR may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: CHR shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -1.86%). This suggests CHR is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.