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CHRW Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 2 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-03-24 → 2023-05-30

⚠️ Small sample size (2 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Oct 15, 1997 🔗 www.chrobinson.com
💰 Market Cap: $20.87B 👥 Employees: 13,781
C.H. Robinson is a top-tier non-asset-based third-party logistics provider with a significant focus on domestic freight brokerage (about 60% of net revenue), which reflects mostly truck brokerage but also rail intermodal. Additionally, the firm operates a large air and ocean forwarding division (30%), which has grown organically and via tuck-in acquisitions over the years. The remainder of revenue consists of transportation management services and a legacy produce-sourcing operation.
📊
2
Total Alerts
🎯
50.0%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
-0.01%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+0.73%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.69%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.69%
Best: -0.64%
Worst: -0.74%
Trades: 0/2

15MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -1.14%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -1.14%
Best: -0.73%
Worst: -1.54%
Trades: 0/2

30MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.58%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.58%
Best: -0.55%
Worst: -0.61%
Trades: 0/2

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.04%
Avg Loser: -0.06%
Best: +0.04%
Worst: -0.06%
Trades: 1/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.13%
Avg Winner: +0.64%
Avg Loser: -0.90%
Best: +0.64%
Worst: -0.90%
Trades: 1/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.73%
Best MFE: +1.17%
Avg Time to MFE: 210 min

On average, CHRW alerts reach +0.73% profit potential within 210 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.50%
Worst MAE: -1.95%
Avg Time to MAE: 19 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.50%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.48:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 2 alerts, CHRW typically reaches +0.73% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 2
Gap Up % 0.0%
Avg Gap -0.50%
Best Gap -0.22%

🏭 Sector Comparison: ARRANGEMENT OF TRANSPORTATION OF FREIGHT & CARGO

How CHRW compares to 7 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
CHRW: -0.69% Sector: -1.08% +0.39%
EOD Gain
CHRW: -0.13% Sector: +171364.87% -171365.00%
Avg MFE
CHRW: +0.73% Sector: +7.01% -6.29%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical CHRW alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-05-30 09:25:00 $98.44 -0.64% -1.54% -0.61% +0.04% -0.90% +0.28% -1.95% -0.78% LOSS
2023-03-24 09:29:00 $94.87 -0.74% -0.73% -0.55% -0.06% +0.64% +1.17% -1.05% -0.22% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ CHRW Shows Negative Expectancy

With 50.0% win rate and -0.01% average gain, CHRW alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider CHRW for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze CHRW with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for CHRW. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, CHRW historically offers an average upside of +0.73% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 CHRW Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, CHRW shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests CHRW may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: CHRW shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 60MIN at -0.01%). This suggests CHRW is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.