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CHTR Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 8 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-12-14 → 2024-12-03

⚠️ Small sample size (8 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Charter Comm Inc Del CL A New CABLE & OTHER PAY TELEVISION SERVICES (SIC 4841)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Nov 08, 1999 🔗 corporate.charter.com
💰 Market Cap: $24.81B 👥 Employees: 94,500
Charter is the product of the 2016 merger of three cable companies, each with a decades-long history in the business: Legacy Charter, Time Warner Cable, and Bright House Networks. The firm now holds networks capable of providing television, internet access, and phone services to roughly 58 million US homes and businesses, around 35% of the country. Across this footprint, Charter serves 29 million residential and 2 million commercial customer accounts under the Spectrum brand, making it the second-largest US cable company behind Comcast. The firm also owns, in whole or in part, sports and news networks, including Spectrum SportsNet (Los Angeles Lakers), SportsNet LA (Los Angeles Dodgers), SportsNet New York (New York Mets), and Spectrum News NY1. Charter plans to acquire cable peer Cox.
📊
8
Total Alerts
🎯
85.7%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+1.71%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+4.29%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 85.7%
Avg Gain: +1.71%
Avg Winner: +2.07%
Avg Loser: -0.47%
Best: +4.81%
Worst: -0.47%
Trades: 6/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 71.4%
Avg Gain: +1.36%
Avg Winner: +2.33%
Avg Loser: -1.06%
Best: +4.26%
Worst: -1.66%
Trades: 5/2

30MIN

Win Rate: 85.7%
Avg Gain: +1.71%
Avg Winner: +2.21%
Avg Loser: -1.29%
Best: +5.07%
Worst: -1.29%
Trades: 6/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 85.7%
Avg Gain: +1.40%
Avg Winner: +1.76%
Avg Loser: -0.75%
Best: +4.37%
Worst: -0.75%
Trades: 6/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 37.5%
Avg Gain: -1.19%
Avg Winner: +1.34%
Avg Loser: -2.71%
Best: +3.12%
Worst: -6.58%
Trades: 3/5

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +4.29%
Best MFE: +10.62%
Avg Time to MFE: 78 min

On average, CHTR alerts reach +4.29% profit potential within 78 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: +0.52%
Worst MAE: -3.06%
Avg Time to MAE: 57 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.52%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

8.22:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 8.22x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 8 alerts, CHTR typically reaches +4.29% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 8
Gap Up % 50.0%
Avg Gap -0.01%
Best Gap +1.25%

🏭 Sector Comparison: CABLE & OTHER PAY TELEVISION SERVICES

How CHTR compares to 10 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
CHTR: +1.71% Sector: +0.08% +1.63%
EOD Gain
CHTR: -0.42% Sector: +0.22% -0.64%
Avg MFE
CHTR: +3.39% Sector: +2.68% +0.71%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical CHTR alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-12-03 09:27:25 $396.0 -0.47% -0.46% +0.41% +0.22% +0.41% +0.71% -0.67% -0.29% LOSS
2024-11-01 09:27:40 $368.05 +2.10% +1.60% +1.74% +0.63% -0.42% +3.92% -3.06% -2.02% WIN
2024-07-26 09:27:41 $356.5 +4.81% +1.47% +3.26% +2.68% +3.12% +6.03% -0.42% +0.35% WIN
2024-02-02 00:00:00 $341.7 - - - - -6.58% +10.62% +10.62% +0.96% -
2023-10-27 09:27:00 $373.63 +2.69% +4.26% +5.07% +4.37% -0.44% +5.86% -0.84% -0.17% WIN
2023-07-27 09:25:00 $399.02 +0.62% +2.32% +1.70% +2.40% +0.49% +2.66% +0.28% +0.28% WIN
2023-01-27 09:26:00 $400.0 +1.55% +2.01% +1.07% -0.75% -1.40% +2.73% +0.72% +1.25% WIN
2022-12-14 09:25:00 $344.55 +0.64% -1.66% -1.29% +0.28% -4.70% +1.82% -2.46% -0.43% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 85.7% Baseline on CHTR

The 85.7% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push CHTR's performance to 75%+.

Optimize CHTR Strategy →

Why Analyze CHTR with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for CHTR. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, CHTR historically offers an average upside of +4.29% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 CHTR Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 85.7%, CHTR shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show CHTR performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +1.71%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.