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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$CIEN

Trade-Ideas alerts 56.9% at 30-min n=65 2022-02-15 → 2026-09-22

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 65 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Feb 07, 1997 🔗 www.ciena.com
💰 Market Cap: $55.50B 👥 Employees: 9,080
Ciena is a leader in high-speed optical connectivity, providing systems, components, and automation software for telecom providers and enterprises, such as data centers, to enable long-distance connectivity. The company operates through four primary business segments: networking platforms, platform software and services, Blue Planet automation software, and global services. While telecom carriers remain important customers, cloud providers and hyperscalers now drive a significant portion of the business. To meet the demands of AI data centers, customers are adopting Ciena's WaveLogic 6 platform, the first to support 1.6 terabits-per-second capacity.
Total alerts
65
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 30MIN
56.9%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 30MIN
-0.01%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+3.95%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading CIEN on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

Playable CIEN setups

Historical CIEN setups in the simulator. Click to see chart, edge stats, and community discussion.

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 53.8%
Avg Gain: -0.15%
Avg Winner: +1.17%
Avg Loser: -1.74%
Best: +3.66%
Worst: -4.38%
Trades: 35/29

15MIN

Win Rate: 55.4%
Avg Gain: -0.32%
Avg Winner: +2.18%
Avg Loser: -3.41%
Best: +4.84%
Worst: -9.76%
Trades: 36/29

30MIN

Win Rate: 56.9%
Avg Gain: -0.01%
Avg Winner: +2.91%
Avg Loser: -3.87%
Best: +6.85%
Worst: -10.55%
Trades: 37/28

60MIN

Win Rate: 56.9%
Avg Gain: +0.12%
Avg Winner: +3.20%
Avg Loser: -3.95%
Best: +10.56%
Worst: -12.57%
Trades: 37/28

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 53.8%
Avg Gain: -0.02%
Avg Winner: +3.81%
Avg Loser: -4.49%
Best: +13.28%
Worst: -12.06%
Trades: 35/30

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +3.95%
Best MFE: +14.61%
Avg Time to MFE: 116 min

On average, CIEN alerts reach +3.95% profit potential within 116 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.25%
Worst MAE: -5.53%
Avg Time to MAE: 12 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.25%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.17:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.17x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 65 alerts, CIEN typically reaches +3.95% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 65
Gap Up % 58.5%
Avg Gap +0.11%
Best Gap +2.07%

🏭 Sector Comparison: TELEPHONE & TELEGRAPH APPARATUS

How CIEN compares to 7 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
CIEN: -0.15% Sector: -0.39% +0.24%
EOD Gain
CIEN: -0.02% Sector: +199.46% -199.48%
Avg MFE
CIEN: +3.95% Sector: +7.70% -3.75%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical CIEN alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-09-22 09:25:00 $359.0 +1.70% +2.28% +3.92% +3.65% +2.66% +4.94% +0.01% +1.48% WIN
2026-09-21 09:25:00 $366.04 -0.01% -0.69% -1.16% -0.63% -0.02% +0.43% -0.28% -0.27% LOSS
2026-09-17 09:25:00 $351.9 +1.44% +3.84% +4.85% +0.88% -2.17% +6.76% -0.82% -0.37% WIN
2026-09-16 09:25:00 $349.9 -0.90% -0.99% -1.53% -2.40% -2.69% +7.23% -3.29% +0.05% LOSS
2026-09-14 09:25:00 $329.0 -1.55% -1.23% -1.23% +0.05% -2.85% +1.01% -1.82% -0.61% LOSS
2026-09-10 09:25:00 $327.84 +1.69% +4.58% +4.03% +5.52% +2.05% +6.27% -0.94% +1.57% WIN
2026-09-08 09:25:00 $328.24 +0.03% -0.24% +1.44% +2.36% +3.97% +6.56% -0.78% -0.25% WIN
2026-09-04 09:25:00 $319.48 -0.85% +1.93% +1.58% -0.36% +0.48% +2.93% -1.17% +0.69% LOSS
2026-09-03 09:25:00 $361.0 -3.29% -9.76% -10.55% -12.57% -12.06% +0.42% -0.28% -1.80% LOSS
2026-08-19 09:25:00 $412.83 -1.99% -2.92% -3.39% -4.10% -3.24% +0.98% -0.20% +0.65% LOSS
2026-08-12 09:25:00 $415.01 +1.62% -1.05% +3.53% +2.90% +4.11% +7.55% -1.39% -0.12% WIN
2026-08-10 09:25:00 $416.46 -1.46% -4.92% -4.02% -2.70% -6.91% +0.85% -1.76% +0.85% LOSS
2026-08-04 09:25:00 $429.0 -2.87% -3.76% -4.25% -4.78% -4.17% +0.58% +0.35% -2.31% LOSS
2026-07-17 09:25:00 $370.38 +1.03% -2.33% +0.57% +3.26% +1.09% +4.92% -3.07% +0.16% WIN
2026-07-08 09:25:00 $411.2 +1.75% +3.67% +4.79% +4.14% +7.24% +7.52% +0.03% +1.95% WIN
2026-06-23 09:25:00 $436.94 +0.16% +2.48% +4.49% +5.91% +5.24% +7.08% -1.05% +0.01% WIN
2026-06-22 09:25:00 $431.8 +1.65% +0.66% +2.27% +1.29% +6.61% +6.88% -0.30% +1.40% WIN
2026-06-17 09:25:00 $429.84 +1.32% -0.44% +0.59% +3.18% +1.60% +4.46% -1.28% +0.74% WIN
2026-06-15 09:25:00 $467.35 +0.64% +0.56% -2.77% -3.25% -0.84% +2.60% -0.69% +0.56% WIN
2026-06-10 09:25:00 $438.47 -0.51% +0.72% +0.90% +2.02% -0.87% +2.81% -1.27% +0.81% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ CIEN Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 56.9% win rate, CIEN has -0.01% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve win size or reduce loss size, making CIEN profitable.

🔧 Fix CIEN Risk / Reward →

Why Analyze CIEN with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for CIEN. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, CIEN historically offers an average upside of +3.95% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 CIEN Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 56.9%, CIEN shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-3.87%) outweigh average wins (+2.91%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: CIEN shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -0.01%). This suggests CIEN is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.