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CIG Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 61 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2024-11-29

⚠️ Small sample size (61 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Companhia Energetica De Minas Gerais-CEMIG
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: May 17, 1995 🔗 www.cemig.com.br
💰 Market Cap: $6.12B 👥 Employees: 5,028
Cia Energetica DE Minas Gerais - Cemig, formerly Energy Company of Minas Gerais, is a Brazilian power company that generates, transmits, and distributes electricity. As one of the power companies in Brazil, the firm operates across Brazilian states and Chile. The company has various subsidiaries and operates chiefly through its generation, transmission, distribution, and gas segments. The majority of the company's revenue is derived from electricity sales to consumers. The company generates power through hydroelectric resources and, secondarily, through thermal and wind resources.
📊
61
Total Alerts
🎯
41.0%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
-0.22%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+1.59%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 36.1%
Avg Gain: +0.03%
Avg Winner: +0.44%
Avg Loser: -0.41%
Best: +1.42%
Worst: -0.74%
Trades: 22/20

15MIN

Win Rate: 37.7%
Avg Gain: -0.04%
Avg Winner: +0.82%
Avg Loser: -0.67%
Best: +2.37%
Worst: -2.15%
Trades: 23/32

30MIN

Win Rate: 39.3%
Avg Gain: -0.03%
Avg Winner: +1.15%
Avg Loser: -0.89%
Best: +3.38%
Worst: -3.22%
Trades: 24/33

60MIN

Win Rate: 41.0%
Avg Gain: -0.22%
Avg Winner: +1.35%
Avg Loser: -1.39%
Best: +5.07%
Worst: -2.94%
Trades: 25/34

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 16.7%
Avg Gain: -17.24%
Avg Winner: +2.67%
Avg Loser: -21.22%
Best: +5.80%
Worst: -43.80%
Trades: 10/50

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.59%
Best MFE: +7.27%
Avg Time to MFE: 98 min

On average, CIG alerts reach +1.59% profit potential within 98 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.56%
Worst MAE: -2.07%
Avg Time to MAE: 11 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.56%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.84:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.84x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 61 alerts, CIG typically reaches +1.59% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.3% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 61
Gap Up % 29.5%
Avg Gap -0.10%
Best Gap +0.98%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical CIG alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-11-29 09:26:19 $1.88 +0.27% +1.59% +3.23% +3.19% +3.72% +4.79% - +0.53% WIN
2024-11-21 09:27:55 $2.02 - - +0.25% - -1.49% +0.99% -0.49% -0.49% -
2024-06-24 09:26:28 $1.92 +0.10% +1.04% +1.56% +1.04% +1.56% +1.56% -0.52% -0.52% WIN
2023-12-22 09:26:00 $2.21 +0.45% +0.23% -0.23% +0.45% +1.81% +2.26% -0.45% +0.45% WIN
2023-12-15 09:29:00 $2.3 -0.43% -0.47% -0.87% -0.87% -24.75% - -0.43% - LOSS
2023-11-27 09:25:00 $2.19 -0.68% -0.91% -0.49% -1.83% -25.53% - -1.60% -0.91% LOSS
2023-11-24 09:29:00 $2.19 - -0.68% -0.92% -1.82% -2.74% +0.46% -0.46% - -
2023-11-22 09:25:00 $2.55 +0.39% +0.39% +0.39% +0.07% -10.59% +0.78% - +0.39% WIN
2023-11-20 09:25:00 $2.61 - -0.19% +0.38% +0.77% +2.30% +2.30% -0.38% - -
2023-11-16 09:29:00 $2.73 +0.37% +0.73% +0.18% +0.18% -23.36% +0.73% -0.18% +0.37% WIN
2023-11-14 09:27:00 $2.63 +0.38% +0.38% +0.42% +0.95% -21.91% +1.90% -1.14% -1.14% WIN
2023-09-15 09:25:00 $2.63 -0.38% +0.05% -0.38% -0.38% -23.66% +0.38% -1.14% -1.14% LOSS
2023-09-14 09:28:00 $2.56 -0.20% -0.20% -0.32% -0.98% -22.48% +0.59% -1.17% -0.39% LOSS
2023-08-18 09:25:00 $2.32 +0.65% +1.29% +1.51% +1.94% +2.16% +3.23% - +0.86% WIN
2023-07-24 09:29:00 $2.6 - +0.38% +0.52% +0.38% -21.60% +2.69% -0.19% +0.38% -
2023-06-30 09:25:00 $2.58 +0.19% +0.19% +0.78% +0.97% -21.59% +2.71% - - WIN
2023-05-10 09:26:00 $2.38 +0.21% +0.21% -0.21% -0.21% -22.11% +2.10% -0.84% +0.84% WIN
2023-03-28 09:27:00 $2.11 +1.42% +2.37% +2.37% +2.61% -22.35% +3.32% -1.42% -0.47% WIN
2023-03-23 09:28:00 $2.0 -0.50% -0.50% -1.00% -2.00% -25.39% +0.25% -1.00% -0.50% LOSS
2023-03-09 09:25:00 $2.03 -0.49% -0.74% -0.99% -1.72% -2.46% - - -0.49% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ CIG Shows Negative Expectancy

With 41.0% win rate and -0.22% average gain, CIG alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider CIG for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze CIG with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for CIG. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, CIG historically offers an average upside of +1.59% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 CIG Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 41.0%, CIG shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests CIG may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: CIG shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 60MIN at -0.22%). This suggests CIG is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.