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CINF Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 4 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-08 → 2022-04-25
⚠️ Small sample size (4 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, CINF alerts reach +0.50% profit potential within 103 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.69%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 4 alerts, CINF typically reaches +0.50% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.4% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: FIRE, MARINE & CASUALTY INSURANCE
How CINF compares to 22 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical CINF alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-04-25 | 09:25:00 | $136.31 | -0.59% | -1.34% | -1.49% | -1.54% | -0.17% | +0.18% | -0.59% | +0.18% | LOSS |
| 2022-02-14 | 09:25:00 | $121.53 | -0.37% | +0.08% | -0.61% | -1.77% | -1.69% | +0.09% | -0.37% | -0.32% | LOSS |
| 2022-02-11 | 09:25:00 | $123.38 | -0.53% | -1.12% | -0.32% | -0.29% | -1.82% | +0.12% | -1.25% | -0.53% | LOSS |
| 2022-02-08 | 09:25:00 | $121.8 | +0.12% | -0.54% | +0.01% | +0.03% | +1.12% | +1.60% | -0.57% | +0.12% | WIN |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ CINF Shows Negative Expectancy
With 25.0% win rate and -0.34% average gain, CINF alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider CINF for short-selling strategies.
📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →Why Analyze CINF with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for CINF. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, CINF historically offers an average upside of +0.50% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 CINF Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 25.0%, CINF shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests CINF may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: CINF shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.34%). This suggests CINF is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.