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CIVI Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 5 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-07-20 → 2024-05-16

⚠️ Small sample size (5 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: May 01, 2017 🔗 www.civitasresources.com
💰 Market Cap: $2.31B 👥 Employees: 655
Civitas Resources Inc is an independent exploration and production company engaged in the acquisition, development, and production of oil and associated liquids-rich natural gas in the Rocky Mountain region, in the Denver-Julesburg Basin of Colorado - DJ Basin. The company's operations are focused on developing the horizontal Niobrara and Codell formations that have a low-cost structure, mature infrastructure, production efficiencies, multiple producing horizons, multiple service providers, established reserves, and prospective drilling opportunities.
📊
5
Total Alerts
🎯
80.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.56%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+2.11%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 80.0%
Avg Gain: +0.56%
Avg Winner: +0.70%
Avg Loser: -0.01%
Best: +1.50%
Worst: -0.01%
Trades: 4/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 80.0%
Avg Gain: +0.58%
Avg Winner: +0.73%
Avg Loser: -0.05%
Best: +1.90%
Worst: -0.05%
Trades: 4/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 60.0%
Avg Gain: +0.35%
Avg Winner: +0.87%
Avg Loser: -0.43%
Best: +1.13%
Worst: -0.48%
Trades: 3/2

60MIN

Win Rate: 60.0%
Avg Gain: +0.97%
Avg Winner: +1.73%
Avg Loser: -0.18%
Best: +2.83%
Worst: -0.34%
Trades: 3/2

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 80.0%
Avg Gain: +0.87%
Avg Winner: +1.26%
Avg Loser: -0.66%
Best: +2.40%
Worst: -0.66%
Trades: 4/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.11%
Best MFE: +4.11%
Avg Time to MFE: 89 min

On average, CIVI alerts reach +2.11% profit potential within 89 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.43%
Worst MAE: -0.74%
Avg Time to MAE: 9 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.43%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

4.93:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 4.93x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 5 alerts, CIVI typically reaches +2.11% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.7% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 5
Gap Up % 40.0%
Avg Gap +0.06%
Best Gap +0.35%

🏭 Sector Comparison: CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS

How CIVI compares to 51 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
CIVI: +0.56% Sector: -0.16% +0.72%
EOD Gain
CIVI: +0.87% Sector: +59.69% -58.82%
Avg MFE
CIVI: +2.11% Sector: +2.88% -0.77%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical CIVI alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-05-16 09:28:28 $74.45 -0.01% -0.05% -0.48% -0.01% -0.66% +0.60% -0.74% -0.27% LOSS
2024-04-03 09:27:02 $75.33 +0.58% +0.39% -0.39% -0.34% +0.39% +0.88% - - WIN
2023-11-13 09:27:00 $68.11 +0.51% +0.18% +0.62% +1.75% +1.54% +2.80% -0.73% +0.35% WIN
2023-09-05 09:27:00 $81.94 +1.50% +1.90% +1.13% +2.83% +2.40% +4.11% -0.12% -0.12% WIN
2023-07-20 09:29:00 $71.25 +0.20% +0.46% +0.86% +0.61% +0.70% +2.16% -0.55% +0.35% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 80.0% Baseline on CIVI

The 80.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push CIVI's performance to 75%+.

Optimize CIVI Strategy →

Why Analyze CIVI with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for CIVI. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, CIVI historically offers an average upside of +2.11% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 CIVI Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 80.0%, CIVI shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show CIVI performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.56%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.