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CMTL Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 6 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-10-13 → 2025-01-13

⚠️ Small sample size (6 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jan 22, 1988 🔗 www.comtechtel.com
💰 Market Cap: $173.9M 👥 Employees: 1,345
Comtech Telecommunications Corp is a provider of communications technology and solutions. It operates in two reportable business segments: Satellite and Space Communications and Allerium. The company's Satellite and Space Communications segment, which generates maximum revenue, is organized into four technology areas: satellite modem and amplifier technologies, troposcatter technologies, cybersecurity training, and space components. This segment designs and manufactures modems, amplifiers, traveling wave tube amplifiers, frequency converters, and offers other associated software and services. The Allerium segment provides next-generation 911 (NG-911) infrastructure and solutions for state and local governments and carriers. Geographically, the company derives its key revenue from the USA.
📊
6
Total Alerts
🎯
80.0%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
+4.73%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+16.82%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 60.0%
Avg Gain: +1.66%
Avg Winner: +8.13%
Avg Loser: -8.05%
Best: +20.72%
Worst: -15.66%
Trades: 3/2

15MIN

Win Rate: 60.0%
Avg Gain: +0.25%
Avg Winner: +9.56%
Avg Loser: -13.72%
Best: +17.08%
Worst: -27.07%
Trades: 3/2

30MIN

Win Rate: 75.0%
Avg Gain: +11.57%
Avg Winner: +15.67%
Avg Loser: -0.74%
Best: +33.22%
Worst: -0.74%
Trades: 3/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 80.0%
Avg Gain: +4.73%
Avg Winner: +12.01%
Avg Loser: -24.40%
Best: +25.33%
Worst: -24.40%
Trades: 4/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.58%
Avg Winner: +12.88%
Avg Loser: -17.59%
Best: +33.88%
Worst: -29.52%
Trades: 3/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +16.82%
Best MFE: +44.08%
Avg Time to MFE: 116 min

On average, CMTL alerts reach +16.82% profit potential within 116 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -5.04%
Worst MAE: -12.65%
Avg Time to MAE: 72 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 5.04%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.34:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.34x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 6 alerts, CMTL typically reaches +16.82% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 13.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 6
Gap Up % 100.0%
Avg Gap +0.77%
Best Gap +2.21%

🏭 Sector Comparison: RADIO & TV BROADCASTING & COMMUNICATIONS EQUIPMENT

How CMTL compares to 14 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
CMTL: +5.99% Sector: -0.25% +6.24%
EOD Gain
CMTL: +9.66% Sector: +37.08% -27.42%
Avg MFE
CMTL: +18.67% Sector: +4.58% +14.09%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical CMTL alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-13 09:25:44 $3.32 -15.66% -27.07% - -24.40% -29.52% +0.90% -12.65% +0.90% LOSS
2024-11-14 09:25:09 $2.71 +2.95% -0.37% -0.74% +0.74% - +6.27% - +2.21% WIN
2024-06-20 09:25:42 $3.79 -0.44% +8.18% +6.86% +13.32% +0.53% +14.78% -3.43% +0.26% LOSS
2024-06-18 09:27:03 $3.04 +20.72% +17.08% +33.22% +25.33% +33.88% +44.08% -4.61% +0.66% WIN
2024-02-01 00:00:00 $6.9 - - - - -5.65% +25.32% -6.52% +0.29% -
2023-10-13 09:29:00 $9.95 +0.70% +3.42% +6.93% +8.66% +4.22% +9.55% -3.02% +0.30% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 80.0% Baseline on CMTL

The 80.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push CMTL's performance to 75%+.

Optimize CMTL Strategy →

Why Analyze CMTL with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for CMTL. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, CMTL historically offers an average upside of +16.82% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 CMTL Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 80.0%, CMTL shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show CMTL performs best on the 60MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +4.73%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.