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QCOM Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 313 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-06 → 2025-02-06

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Dec 13, 1991 🔗 www.qualcomm.com
💰 Market Cap: $166.42B 👥 Employees: 52,000
Qualcomm develops and licenses wireless technology and designs chips for smartphones. The company's key patents revolve around CDMA and OFDMA technologies, which are standards in wireless communications that are the backbone of all 3G, 4G, and 5G networks. Qualcomm's IP is licensed by virtually all wireless device makers. The firm is also the world's largest wireless chip vendor, supplying nearly every premier handset maker with leading-edge processors. Qualcomm also sells RF-front end modules into smartphones, as well as chips into automotive and Internet of Things markets.
📊
313
Total Alerts
🎯
55.3%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+0.12%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+1.75%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 51.8%
Avg Gain: +0.03%
Avg Winner: +0.54%
Avg Loser: -0.52%
Best: +1.98%
Worst: -3.04%
Trades: 161/149

15MIN

Win Rate: 51.8%
Avg Gain: +0.04%
Avg Winner: +0.79%
Avg Loser: -0.76%
Best: +3.51%
Worst: -3.60%
Trades: 161/150

30MIN

Win Rate: 53.7%
Avg Gain: +0.04%
Avg Winner: +0.91%
Avg Loser: -0.97%
Best: +4.75%
Worst: -3.32%
Trades: 167/143

60MIN

Win Rate: 51.8%
Avg Gain: +0.05%
Avg Winner: +1.07%
Avg Loser: -1.05%
Best: +5.38%
Worst: -4.57%
Trades: 161/150

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 55.3%
Avg Gain: +0.12%
Avg Winner: +1.63%
Avg Loser: -1.75%
Best: +7.40%
Worst: -7.50%
Trades: 173/140

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.75%
Best MFE: +12.39%
Avg Time to MFE: 147 min

On average, QCOM alerts reach +1.75% profit potential within 147 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.61%
Worst MAE: -3.69%
Avg Time to MAE: 23 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.61%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.89:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.89x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 313 alerts, QCOM typically reaches +1.75% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 313
Gap Up % 51.1%
Avg Gap +0.02%
Best Gap +2.17%

🏭 Sector Comparison: RADIO & TV BROADCASTING & COMMUNICATIONS EQUIPMENT

How QCOM compares to 14 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
QCOM: +0.03% Sector: -0.25% +0.28%
EOD Gain
QCOM: +0.12% Sector: +37.08% -36.96%
Avg MFE
QCOM: +1.74% Sector: +4.58% -2.84%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical QCOM alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-06 09:29:44 $167.99 -0.04% -0.62% -0.15% -0.54% +0.79% +0.89% -1.54% -0.09% LOSS
2025-02-05 09:25:57 $173.01 -1.12% -1.38% -1.38% -0.83% +1.65% +6.93% -1.80% -0.01% LOSS
2025-02-03 09:28:38 $168.46 +0.49% +0.18% +0.34% +1.51% +1.06% +2.45% -0.24% +0.25% WIN
2025-01-29 09:26:27 $172.5 -0.72% -0.62% -0.21% -0.32% -0.46% +0.57% -1.08% -0.55% LOSS
2025-01-28 09:26:42 $170.4 +1.81% +0.35% +0.22% +0.79% +0.67% +1.81% -0.19% -0.11% WIN
2025-01-27 09:27:04 $174.85 -3.04% -3.60% -2.75% -2.35% -2.10% -0.80% -1.49% -1.57% LOSS
2025-01-15 09:27:00 $162.99 -0.03% +0.33% +0.46% +0.92% +0.87% +1.51% -0.55% -0.55% LOSS
2025-01-13 09:25:02 $154.48 +0.54% +0.69% +1.41% +0.96% +1.72% +1.87% -0.02% +0.48% WIN
2025-01-06 09:25:27 $159.79 +0.59% +1.28% +1.79% +2.07% +0.04% +3.68% -0.29% -0.29% WIN
2024-12-23 09:29:13 $155.75 +0.63% +0.84% +0.78% -0.46% +1.60% +1.89% -0.77% -0.06% WIN
2024-12-20 09:27:10 $150.81 +0.27% +0.12% -0.32% +0.04% +1.38% +2.49% -0.92% -0.82% WIN
2024-12-13 09:26:18 $157.1 +0.82% +0.78% +1.29% +0.31% +0.91% +1.64% +0.06% +0.73% WIN
2024-12-12 09:27:36 $158.85 -0.67% -0.61% -0.60% -0.94% -0.38% +0.38% -0.13% -0.11% LOSS
2024-12-10 09:25:07 $160.37 +0.34% -0.05% -0.58% -0.58% -2.44% +0.70% +0.25% +0.25% WIN
2024-12-09 09:25:27 $158.02 +0.08% +0.38% +2.02% +2.77% +1.72% +3.11% -0.35% -0.34% WIN
2024-12-06 09:29:55 $160.39 -0.91% -0.81% -0.28% -0.44% -0.55% - -0.51% - LOSS
2024-12-03 09:29:59 $161.7 +0.64% +0.82% +0.83% +0.95% +0.54% +1.34% -0.23% -0.12% WIN
2024-12-02 09:29:48 $158.85 +1.02% +1.11% +1.86% +1.52% +2.63% +2.85% -0.30% -0.30% WIN
2024-11-29 09:29:50 $157.8 +0.79% +1.20% +1.21% +1.60% +0.46% +2.36% -0.03% +0.20% WIN
2024-11-21 09:25:06 $153.76 +1.48% +0.91% +1.03% +0.48% +1.11% +2.07% -0.11% +0.91% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 55.3% Baseline on QCOM

The 55.3% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push QCOM's performance to 75%+.

Optimize QCOM Strategy →

Why Analyze QCOM with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for QCOM. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, QCOM historically offers an average upside of +1.75% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 QCOM Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 55.3%, QCOM shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show QCOM performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.12%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.