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CNO Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 1 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-05-31 → 2022-05-31

⚠️ Small sample size (1 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

CNO Financial Group, Inc. ACCIDENT & HEALTH INSURANCE (SIC 6321)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Sep 30, 2003 🔗 www.cnoinc.com
💰 Market Cap: $3.88B 👥 Employees: 3,500
CNO Financial Group Inc is a holding company for a group of insurance companies that offers middle-income American consumers insurance and securities products through exclusive agents, independent producers, and direct marketing. Consumers are served through the phone, online, mail, face-to-face with agents, or sales channels. The company's operating segments include annuity, health, and life insurance product lines as well as the investment and fee revenue segments. Maximum revenue is generated from the health product line segment. Annuity premiums account for the majority of the total premiums collected. Annuity products include fixed index annuities, traditional fixed-rate annuities, and single-premium immediate annuity products.
📊
1
Total Alerts
🎯
0.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-0.92%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+1.58%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.92%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.92%
Best: -0.92%
Worst: -0.92%
Trades: 0/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -1.36%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -1.36%
Best: -1.36%
Worst: -1.36%
Trades: 0/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.80%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.80%
Best: -0.80%
Worst: -0.80%
Trades: 0/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.19%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.19%
Best: -0.19%
Worst: -0.19%
Trades: 0/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.10%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.10%
Best: -0.10%
Worst: -0.10%
Trades: 0/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.58%
Best MFE: +1.58%
Avg Time to MFE: 285 min

On average, CNO alerts reach +1.58% profit potential within 285 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.46%
Worst MAE: -1.46%
Avg Time to MAE: 18 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.46%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.08:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 1 alerts, CNO typically reaches +1.58% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.3% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 1
Gap Up % 0.0%
Avg Gap -0.63%
Best Gap -0.63%

🏭 Sector Comparison: ACCIDENT & HEALTH INSURANCE

How CNO compares to 4 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
CNO: -0.92% Sector: +0.15% -1.07%
EOD Gain
CNO: -0.10% Sector: -0.02% -0.07%
Avg MFE
CNO: +1.58% Sector: +1.18% +0.39%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical CNO alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2022-05-31 09:25:00 $20.59 -0.92% -1.36% -0.80% -0.19% -0.10% +1.58% -1.46% -0.63% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ CNO Shows Negative Expectancy

With 0.0% win rate and -0.92% average gain, CNO alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider CNO for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze CNO with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for CNO. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, CNO historically offers an average upside of +1.58% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 CNO Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 0.0%, CNO shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests CNO may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: CNO shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.92%). This suggests CNO is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.