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CNR Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 4 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-14 → 2022-03-16

⚠️ Small sample size (4 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Core Natural Resources, Inc. BITUMINOUS COAL & LIGNITE MINING (SIC 1220)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Nov 14, 2017 🔗 www.corenaturalresources.com
💰 Market Cap: $5.08B 👥 Employees: 2,076
Core Natural Resources Inc is a producer and exporter of coal. The company owns and operates longwall mining operations in the nation and export terminals on the Eastern seaboard. The principal activity involves mining, preparation, and marketing of thermal coal, sold to power generators.
📊
4
Total Alerts
🎯
25.0%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
-0.24%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+0.48%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.35%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.47%
Best: +0.00%
Worst: -0.94%
Trades: 0/3

15MIN

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -0.24%
Avg Winner: +0.04%
Avg Loser: -0.33%
Best: +0.04%
Worst: -0.70%
Trades: 1/3

30MIN

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -0.15%
Avg Winner: +0.15%
Avg Loser: -0.26%
Best: +0.15%
Worst: -0.54%
Trades: 1/3

60MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.91%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.91%
Best: -0.02%
Worst: -2.07%
Trades: 0/4

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -1.15%
Avg Winner: +0.45%
Avg Loser: -1.68%
Best: +0.45%
Worst: -2.43%
Trades: 1/3

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.48%
Best MFE: +0.72%
Avg Time to MFE: 104 min

On average, CNR alerts reach +0.48% profit potential within 104 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.92%
Worst MAE: -1.93%
Avg Time to MAE: 10 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.92%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.52:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 4 alerts, CNR typically reaches +0.48% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 4
Gap Up % 25.0%
Avg Gap -0.13%
Best Gap +0.43%

🏭 Sector Comparison: BITUMINOUS COAL & LIGNITE MINING

How CNR compares to 3 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
CNR: -0.35% Sector: -0.21% -0.14%
EOD Gain
CNR: -1.15% Sector: +0.91% -2.06%
Avg MFE
CNR: +0.48% Sector: +6.07% -5.59%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical CNR alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2022-03-16 09:25:00 $24.27 -0.04% -0.04% -0.04% -0.02% +0.45% +0.49% -0.12% - LOSS
2022-03-07 09:25:00 $24.22 - -0.27% -0.19% -0.29% -0.50% +0.04% - - -
2022-02-15 09:25:00 $22.27 -0.94% +0.04% -0.54% -2.07% -2.11% +0.72% -1.93% -0.94% LOSS
2022-02-14 09:25:00 $23.0 -0.43% -0.70% +0.15% -1.26% -2.43% +0.65% -1.61% +0.43% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ CNR Shows Negative Expectancy

With 25.0% win rate and -0.24% average gain, CNR alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider CNR for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze CNR with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for CNR. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, CNR historically offers an average upside of +0.48% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 CNR Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 25.0%, CNR shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests CNR may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: CNR shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -0.24%). This suggests CNR is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.