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CNX Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 22 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-03-09 → 2024-04-05

⚠️ Small sample size (22 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

CNX Resources Corporation CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS (SIC 1311)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Apr 30, 1999 🔗 www.cnx.com
💰 Market Cap: $5.29B 👥 Employees: 458
CNX Resources Corp is an independent low carbon intensity natural gas and midstream company engaged in the exploration, development, production and acquisition of natural gas properties in the Appalachian Basin. The company's operating segment include Shale and Coalbed Methane. It generates maximum revenue from the Shale segment. It also has other segment that includes nominal shallow oil and gas production.
📊
22
Total Alerts
🎯
63.6%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
+0.29%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+2.03%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.11%
Avg Winner: +1.03%
Avg Loser: -0.80%
Best: +6.32%
Worst: -1.95%
Trades: 11/11

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.15%
Avg Winner: +1.25%
Avg Loser: -0.95%
Best: +3.57%
Worst: -4.35%
Trades: 11/11

30MIN

Win Rate: 63.6%
Avg Gain: +0.29%
Avg Winner: +1.21%
Avg Loser: -1.33%
Best: +3.09%
Worst: -4.17%
Trades: 14/8

60MIN

Win Rate: 63.6%
Avg Gain: +0.12%
Avg Winner: +1.34%
Avg Loser: -2.01%
Best: +4.40%
Worst: -5.63%
Trades: 14/8

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 54.5%
Avg Gain: -0.50%
Avg Winner: +1.51%
Avg Loser: -2.91%
Best: +5.73%
Worst: -9.62%
Trades: 12/10

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.03%
Best MFE: +7.81%
Avg Time to MFE: 94 min

On average, CNX alerts reach +2.03% profit potential within 94 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.47%
Worst MAE: -2.75%
Avg Time to MAE: 5 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.47%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

4.28:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 4.28x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 22 alerts, CNX typically reaches +2.03% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 22
Gap Up % 45.5%
Avg Gap +0.11%
Best Gap +4.27%

🏭 Sector Comparison: CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS

How CNX compares to 51 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
CNX: +0.11% Sector: -0.16% +0.27%
EOD Gain
CNX: -0.50% Sector: +59.69% -60.19%
Avg MFE
CNX: +2.03% Sector: +2.88% -0.86%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical CNX alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-04-05 09:29:03 $24.08 -0.96% -1.31% -1.06% -0.75% +0.17% +0.56% -1.60% -0.71% LOSS
2024-02-26 09:28:48 $20.87 -0.38% -0.48% +0.91% +0.79% +0.14% +1.10% -0.86% -0.19% LOSS
2024-02-23 09:29:49 $20.4 +0.49% -0.02% +0.22% +0.07% +1.62% +1.72% -0.49% +0.49% WIN
2024-02-22 09:25:51 $20.88 -1.20% -0.36% -0.26% -1.13% -0.67% +0.17% -2.11% -1.20% LOSS
2024-02-21 09:25:39 $19.9 +0.45% +2.21% +3.09% +4.40% +5.73% +7.81% +0.35% +0.35% WIN
2023-12-26 09:26:00 $20.46 +0.20% +0.10% +0.20% +0.56% +0.44% +1.59% -0.22% +0.39% WIN
2023-12-12 09:26:00 $19.65 -0.79% -0.56% -0.33% +0.33% -1.12% +0.59% -1.42% -0.97% LOSS
2023-12-11 09:29:00 $19.78 +0.30% +0.76% +0.78% +0.68% +0.25% +1.29% -0.40% +0.15% WIN
2023-12-08 09:27:00 $20.02 -0.55% -0.67% -0.57% -0.37% +0.15% +0.80% +0.05% -0.05% LOSS
2023-12-07 09:27:00 $19.69 +0.30% +1.14% +0.96% +0.96% +0.86% +1.37% -0.30% +0.36% WIN
2023-12-06 09:29:00 $20.22 +0.29% +0.20% +0.35% +0.30% -2.32% +0.77% -0.54% -0.30% WIN
2023-10-27 09:27:00 $22.0 -0.02% -1.11% -1.55% -1.91% -3.64% - -0.59% -0.59% LOSS
2023-09-12 09:27:00 $22.38 +0.31% +1.16% +1.01% +1.47% +1.83% +2.61% +0.09% +0.67% WIN
2023-07-27 09:25:00 $18.5 +6.32% +3.57% +2.32% +2.32% +1.46% +6.76% +2.89% +4.27% WIN
2023-03-13 09:25:00 $15.14 -1.32% -0.46% +1.78% +1.78% +0.33% +3.37% -2.25% -1.92% LOSS
2023-03-08 09:25:00 $15.88 +0.38% +0.25% +0.63% +1.26% -0.06% +1.73% -0.38% +0.06% WIN
2022-10-28 09:25:00 $16.37 -1.95% +0.03% +1.65% -1.10% -0.18% +2.02% -2.75% -0.55% LOSS
2022-10-27 09:25:00 $17.31 +1.73% +2.25% +0.17% +1.42% -4.97% +3.70% +1.68% +3.70% WIN
2022-10-14 09:25:00 $18.14 -1.27% -0.69% -2.15% -4.58% -4.41% - - -1.49% LOSS
2022-08-17 09:25:00 $17.3 -0.17% -0.40% -0.58% -0.58% -2.08% +0.58% -0.64% -0.64% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 63.6% Baseline on CNX

The 63.6% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push CNX's performance to 75%+.

Optimize CNX Strategy →

Why Analyze CNX with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for CNX. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, CNX historically offers an average upside of +2.03% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 CNX Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 63.6%, CNX shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show CNX performs best on the 30MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.29%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.