FILTRIX Logo FILTRIX Find Your Edge →

Latest signal:

COCO Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 8 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-07-29 → 2024-04-03

⚠️ Small sample size (8 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

The Vita Coco Company, Inc. Common Stock BEVERAGES (SIC 2080)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Oct 21, 2021 🔗 www.vitacoco.com
💰 Market Cap: $2.98B 👥 Employees: 319
The Vita Coco Co Inc is a plant-based functional hydration platform. Its products include Vita Coco Coconut Water, Private Label including coconut water and oil, and Other including Runa, Ever & Ever, and PWR LIFT product offerings, Vita Coco product extensions beyond coconut water, such as Vita Coco Sparkling, coconut milk products, and others. The company has two segments: The Americas segment which comprises of operations in the U.S. and Canada; and The International segment that comprises of operations in Europe, the Middle East, Africa and the Asia Pacific regions. The Americas segment derives maximum revenue. Geographical presence of the company is in United States, United Kingdom and All other countries.
📊
8
Total Alerts
🎯
75.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+1.29%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+6.39%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 75.0%
Avg Gain: +1.29%
Avg Winner: +1.95%
Avg Loser: -0.71%
Best: +9.88%
Worst: -1.14%
Trades: 6/2

15MIN

Win Rate: 62.5%
Avg Gain: +2.76%
Avg Winner: +5.26%
Avg Loser: -1.41%
Best: +20.16%
Worst: -2.42%
Trades: 5/3

30MIN

Win Rate: 37.5%
Avg Gain: +2.62%
Avg Winner: +8.53%
Avg Loser: -0.92%
Best: +20.96%
Worst: -1.88%
Trades: 3/5

60MIN

Win Rate: 62.5%
Avg Gain: +3.39%
Avg Winner: +6.07%
Avg Loser: -1.64%
Best: +23.56%
Worst: -2.72%
Trades: 5/2

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 62.5%
Avg Gain: +1.92%
Avg Winner: +4.61%
Avg Loser: -2.56%
Best: +10.95%
Worst: -4.48%
Trades: 5/3

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +6.39%
Best MFE: +25.50%
Avg Time to MFE: 121 min

On average, COCO alerts reach +6.39% profit potential within 121 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.54%
Worst MAE: -7.00%
Avg Time to MAE: 6 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.54%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

4.15:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 4.15x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 8 alerts, COCO typically reaches +6.39% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 5.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 8
Gap Up % 37.5%
Avg Gap -0.11%
Best Gap +0.56%

🏭 Sector Comparison: BEVERAGES

How COCO compares to 12 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
COCO: +1.29% Sector: -0.07% +1.35%
EOD Gain
COCO: +1.92% Sector: +32.94% -31.02%
Avg MFE
COCO: +6.39% Sector: +1.58% +4.81%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical COCO alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-04-03 09:25:41 $23.96 +0.15% +0.33% +1.82% +2.63% +4.22% +7.37% +0.15% +0.38% WIN
2023-11-27 09:27:00 $29.4 +0.07% +4.08% +2.82% +3.88% +2.18% +6.89% -0.48% -0.48% WIN
2023-07-12 09:27:00 $24.98 -1.14% -2.42% -1.88% -2.72% -4.48% -0.80% -1.48% -1.32% LOSS
2023-07-07 09:26:00 $25.54 -0.27% -0.94% -0.74% - -1.49% +0.35% -1.88% -0.04% LOSS
2023-05-24 09:25:00 $24.11 +0.21% +1.56% -0.83% -0.56% -1.70% +1.64% -0.46% +0.56% WIN
2023-05-22 09:27:00 $22.0 +0.18% -0.86% -0.41% +0.05% +4.27% +5.91% -7.00% -0.32% WIN
2022-11-09 09:25:00 $7.49 +9.88% +20.16% +20.96% +23.56% +10.95% +25.50% -1.34% - WIN
2022-07-29 09:25:00 $11.88 +1.22% +0.18% -0.76% +0.25% +1.43% +4.28% +0.17% +0.34% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 75.0% Baseline on COCO

The 75.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push COCO's performance to 75%+.

Optimize COCO Strategy →

Why Analyze COCO with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for COCO. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, COCO historically offers an average upside of +6.39% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 COCO Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 75.0%, COCO shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show COCO performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +1.29%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.