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COLB Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 1 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2024-09-05 → 2024-09-05

⚠️ Small sample size (1 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Columbia Banking Systems Inc STATE COMMERCIAL BANKS (SIC 6022)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Mar 01, 2023 🔗 www.columbiabank.com
💰 Market Cap: $8.53B 👥 Employees: 4,721
Columbia Banking System Inc is a registered bank holding company whose wholly-owned banking subsidiary is Columbia State Bank. The company provides a full range of banking services to small and medium sized businesses, professionals, and individuals throughout Washington, Oregon, Idaho, and California. The company's subsidiary Columbia Trust Company is an Oregon trust company that provides agency, fiduciary, and other related trust services with offices in Washington, Oregon, and Idaho. The firm offers various products and services under Personal Banking, Business Banking, and Wealth Management divisions.
📊
1
Total Alerts
🎯
0.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-1.00%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+0.53%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -1.00%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -1.00%
Best: -1.00%
Worst: -1.00%
Trades: 0/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.81%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.81%
Best: -0.81%
Worst: -0.81%
Trades: 0/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -1.06%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -1.06%
Best: -1.06%
Worst: -1.06%
Trades: 0/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.57%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.57%
Best: -0.57%
Worst: -0.57%
Trades: 0/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -1.22%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -1.22%
Best: -1.22%
Worst: -1.22%
Trades: 0/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.53%
Best MFE: +0.53%
Avg Time to MFE: 1 min

On average, COLB alerts reach +0.53% profit potential within 1 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.20%
Worst MAE: -0.20%
Avg Time to MAE: 1 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.20%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.6:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.6x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 1 alerts, COLB typically reaches +0.53% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 1
Gap Up % 100.0%
Avg Gap +0.45%
Best Gap +0.45%

🏭 Sector Comparison: STATE COMMERCIAL BANKS

How COLB compares to 29 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
COLB: -1.00% Sector: -0.03% -0.97%
EOD Gain
COLB: -1.22% Sector: -0.04% -1.18%
Avg MFE
COLB: +0.53% Sector: +1.25% -0.72%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical COLB alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-09-05 09:28:02 $24.55 -1.00% -0.81% -1.06% -0.57% -1.22% +0.53% -0.20% +0.45% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ COLB Shows Negative Expectancy

With 0.0% win rate and -1.00% average gain, COLB alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider COLB for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze COLB with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for COLB. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, COLB historically offers an average upside of +0.53% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 COLB Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 0.0%, COLB shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests COLB may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: COLB shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -1.00%). This suggests COLB is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.