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Ticker Report β€” Active Last signal Β·

$CONL

Trade-Ideas alert history 257 alerts 2022-10-06 β†’ 2025-02-14

🏒 Company Profile

GraniteShares ETF Trust GraniteShares 2x Long COIN Daily ETF
πŸ“ NASDAQ πŸ“… IPO: Aug 08, 2022
Total alerts
257
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate Β· 15MIN
52.9%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain Β· 15MIN
-0.01%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+6.35%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading CONL on historical setups β€” browse all patterns across all tickers β†’

Playable CONL setups

Historical CONL setups in the simulator. Click to see chart, edge stats, and community discussion.

πŸ“ˆ Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 49.0%
Avg Gain: +0.01%
Avg Winner: +1.80%
Avg Loser: -1.73%
Best: +6.61%
Worst: -8.03%
Trades: 125/129

15MIN

Win Rate: 52.9%
Avg Gain: -0.01%
Avg Winner: +2.58%
Avg Loser: -2.95%
Best: +8.51%
Worst: -12.78%
Trades: 135/119

30MIN

Win Rate: 51.6%
Avg Gain: +0.14%
Avg Winner: +3.30%
Avg Loser: -3.30%
Best: +24.71%
Worst: -13.81%
Trades: 132/121

60MIN

Win Rate: 47.1%
Avg Gain: +0.16%
Avg Winner: +4.74%
Avg Loser: -3.95%
Best: +32.53%
Worst: -21.29%
Trades: 120/134

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.2%
Avg Gain: +0.00%
Avg Winner: +6.97%
Avg Loser: -7.03%
Best: +36.53%
Worst: -26.46%
Trades: 129/128

πŸš€ Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

πŸ“ˆ MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +6.35%
Best MFE: +49.73%
Avg Time to MFE: 131 min

On average, CONL alerts reach +6.35% profit potential within 131 minutes.

πŸ“‰ MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.51%
Worst MAE: -16.55%
Avg Time to MAE: 15 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.51%.

βš–οΈ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.53:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.53x the typical drawdown.

πŸ’‘ Trading Insight: Based on 257 alerts, CONL typically reaches +6.35% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 5.1% to capture most of the move.

πŸŒ… Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 β†’ 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 257
Gap Up % 41.6%
Avg Gap -0.12%
Best Gap +4.93%

πŸ“‹ Last 20 Alerts

Historical CONL alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:28:04 $44.3 -0.61% -2.27% -8.24% -6.85% -10.00% +2.28% -4.02% -0.44% LOSS
2025-02-13 09:27:59 $43.8 +0.07% +0.56% +1.62% +4.10% +8.40% +11.35% -2.01% -0.68% WIN
2025-02-12 09:27:48 $37.72 +0.87% +1.96% +4.06% +2.39% +7.87% +10.02% -0.85% -0.56% WIN
2025-02-11 09:26:09 $42.01 -2.44% -2.90% -0.50% -2.19% -8.50% +0.10% -4.55% -1.67% LOSS
2025-02-10 09:27:34 $42.6 +2.61% -2.04% -3.52% -3.59% -0.54% +3.29% -0.61% -0.29% WIN
2025-02-07 09:25:27 $41.06 +1.53% +2.27% +1.95% +0.24% -0.56% +5.02% -2.39% -1.39% WIN
2025-02-06 09:29:59 $42.24 +3.03% -0.47% -2.18% -2.65% -6.13% +3.91% -0.19% -0.19% WIN
2025-02-05 09:25:38 $43.06 +1.25% +1.53% -1.18% -0.39% -4.51% +2.88% -2.60% +1.28% WIN
2025-02-04 09:27:43 $43.88 -1.54% +0.73% -0.80% -0.02% -2.64% +3.60% -3.90% -1.41% LOSS
2025-02-03 09:27:07 $39.41 +2.00% +4.57% +4.67% +10.24% +11.34% +14.95% -0.35% +1.88% WIN
2025-01-31 09:25:55 $49.85 -0.94% -1.85% -1.72% -0.32% -7.14% +1.40% -3.85% -0.80% LOSS
2025-01-30 09:28:09 $47.09 +4.95% +3.93% +6.01% +5.22% +4.91% +8.35% -0.30% -0.11% WIN
2025-01-29 09:28:25 $43.45 +4.87% +1.15% +0.00% -0.11% +6.38% +8.93% -3.34% -0.05% WIN
2025-01-28 09:25:50 $43.04 -0.81% -3.11% +1.16% +2.01% +0.91% +3.14% -3.11% +0.05% LOSS
2025-01-27 09:27:01 $44.67 -1.14% -4.05% +0.43% -0.69% -5.13% +3.47% -5.71% -0.92% LOSS
2025-01-24 09:28:20 $49.96 -0.08% +2.18% +2.12% +1.84% -2.00% +6.21% -1.72% -0.66% LOSS
2025-01-23 09:27:56 $46.25 +4.29% +5.92% +5.12% +5.69% +4.26% +9.83% -1.10% -0.26% WIN
2025-01-22 09:25:42 $46.36 +1.99% +3.26% +3.21% +1.47% +4.01% +6.23% -2.39% +0.52% WIN
2025-01-21 09:25:55 $49.36 +1.32% -8.49% -9.66% -13.88% -3.18% +2.63% -16.55% -0.53% WIN
2025-01-17 09:26:44 $46.87 +2.18% +1.42% +4.12% +1.49% +2.77% +6.06% -0.90% +0.60% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ CONL Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 52.9% win rate, CONL has -0.01% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve win size or reduce loss size, making CONL profitable.

πŸ”§ Fix CONL Risk / Reward β†’

Why Analyze CONL with FILTRIX?

πŸ›‘οΈ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for CONL. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

πŸ’° Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, CONL historically offers an average upside of +6.35% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

πŸ“Š CONL Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 52.9%, CONL shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-2.95%) outweigh average wins (+2.58%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: CONL shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -0.01%). This suggests CONL is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.