FILTRIX Logo FILTRIX Find Your Edge →
Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$CONL

Trade-Ideas alerts 50.6% at 15-min n=437 2022-10-06 → 2026-10-02

🏢 Company Profile

GraniteShares ETF Trust GraniteShares 2x Long COIN Daily ETF
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Aug 08, 2022
Total alerts
437
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 15MIN
50.6%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 15MIN
-0.07%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+6.11%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading CONL on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

Playable CONL setups

Historical CONL setups in the simulator. Click to see chart, edge stats, and community discussion.

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 48.5%
Avg Gain: -0.02%
Avg Winner: +1.66%
Avg Loser: -1.65%
Best: +6.61%
Worst: -8.03%
Trades: 211/219

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.6%
Avg Gain: -0.07%
Avg Winner: +2.69%
Avg Loser: -2.91%
Best: +8.60%
Worst: -12.78%
Trades: 220/214

30MIN

Win Rate: 49.5%
Avg Gain: +0.01%
Avg Winner: +3.36%
Avg Loser: -3.34%
Best: +24.71%
Worst: -15.82%
Trades: 216/215

60MIN

Win Rate: 48.5%
Avg Gain: +0.06%
Avg Winner: +4.30%
Avg Loser: -3.95%
Best: +32.53%
Worst: -21.29%
Trades: 211/223

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 48.3%
Avg Gain: -0.04%
Avg Winner: +6.70%
Avg Loser: -6.36%
Best: +36.53%
Worst: -26.46%
Trades: 211/225

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +6.11%
Best MFE: +49.73%
Avg Time to MFE: 122 min

On average, CONL alerts reach +6.11% profit potential within 122 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.28%
Worst MAE: -16.55%
Avg Time to MAE: 14 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.28%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.68:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.68x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 437 alerts, CONL typically reaches +6.11% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 4.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 437
Gap Up % 42.6%
Avg Gap -0.11%
Best Gap +4.93%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical CONL alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-10-02 09:25:00 $6.25 +2.16% +3.93% -1.76% -4.16% -11.61% +5.52% -0.24% +0.00% WIN
2026-10-01 09:25:00 $5.73 +0.61% +3.05% +3.66% +2.79% +3.14% +6.28% -0.53% -0.18% WIN
2026-09-30 09:25:00 $6.29 +2.15% -8.04% -7.72% -9.01% -8.67% +3.42% -0.24% +0.16% WIN
2026-09-29 09:25:00 $6.42 -0.47% -3.35% -3.82% -3.75% -6.85% +0.47% -0.31% +0.31% LOSS
2026-09-28 09:25:00 $6.35 +0.68% +1.42% +0.24% -1.33% -4.25% +2.76% -2.04% +0.08% WIN
2026-09-25 09:25:00 $6.59 -0.30% -2.58% -4.15% -4.93% -4.25% +0.61% +0.01% -0.15% LOSS
2026-09-24 09:25:00 $6.42 +3.27% +0.78% -1.56% +1.01% +2.34% +6.07% -0.62% +0.00% WIN
2026-09-23 09:25:00 $6.46 +1.28% +6.04% +4.64% +0.08% +0.77% +7.35% -0.31% +0.46% WIN
2026-09-22 09:25:00 $6.55 +1.24% +0.48% +1.85% +0.09% +2.31% +4.37% -0.44% +1.01% WIN
2026-09-21 09:25:00 $6.89 +1.89% +1.89% +1.74% +1.31% -2.76% +4.14% -0.65% +1.31% WIN
2026-09-18 09:25:00 $5.32 +1.74% +4.60% +7.51% +12.31% +17.85% +20.11% -1.70% +0.56% WIN
2026-09-17 09:25:00 $4.97 -3.13% -5.31% -4.83% -1.51% +2.41% +2.82% -6.54% -2.01% LOSS
2026-09-16 09:25:00 $5.07 -0.16% -2.44% -2.35% -5.28% -9.65% +1.21% -0.75% -0.18% LOSS
2026-09-15 09:25:00 $5.78 -2.08% -3.12% -4.52% -5.71% -12.98% +0.52% -1.38% +0.35% LOSS
2026-09-14 09:25:00 $5.55 +3.58% +7.39% +9.21% +7.03% +13.33% +15.32% -0.72% +2.34% WIN
2026-09-11 09:25:00 $5.28 +0.00% -0.47% +3.88% +6.91% +0.76% +8.33% -1.89% -0.38% LOSS
2026-09-10 09:25:00 $5.05 +0.40% +0.73% +2.13% +3.75% +1.78% +4.55% -0.20% +0.40% WIN
2026-09-09 09:25:00 $5.84 -0.01% -1.20% -3.86% -3.94% -9.25% +1.45% -1.03% +1.20% LOSS
2026-09-08 09:25:00 $5.67 +0.00% -2.29% +0.18% +0.71% -1.76% +1.94% -2.65% +0.26% LOSS
2026-09-04 09:25:00 $5.97 +2.67% +0.34% +0.08% -0.50% -0.67% +4.02% -1.93% -0.50% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ CONL Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 50.6% win rate, CONL has -0.07% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve win size or reduce loss size, making CONL profitable.

🔧 Fix CONL Risk / Reward →

Why Analyze CONL with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for CONL. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, CONL historically offers an average upside of +6.11% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 CONL Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.6%, CONL shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-2.91%) outweigh average wins (+2.69%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: CONL shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -0.07%). This suggests CONL is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.