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CONY Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 155 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-11-02 → 2025-02-14

🏢 Company Profile

YieldMax COIN Option Income Strategy ETF
📍 NYSE Arca 📅 IPO: Aug 15, 2023
📊
155
Total Alerts
🎯
51.6%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
-0.18%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+2.28%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 41.9%
Avg Gain: -0.18%
Avg Winner: +0.56%
Avg Loser: -0.74%
Best: +1.73%
Worst: -3.60%
Trades: 65/87

15MIN

Win Rate: 46.5%
Avg Gain: -0.16%
Avg Winner: +0.95%
Avg Loser: -1.17%
Best: +3.51%
Worst: -4.38%
Trades: 72/79

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.3%
Avg Gain: -0.15%
Avg Winner: +1.22%
Avg Loser: -1.58%
Best: +9.74%
Worst: -4.60%
Trades: 78/75

60MIN

Win Rate: 47.1%
Avg Gain: -0.14%
Avg Winner: +1.70%
Avg Loser: -1.81%
Best: +13.10%
Worst: -7.56%
Trades: 73/81

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 51.6%
Avg Gain: -0.18%
Avg Winner: +2.53%
Avg Loser: -3.21%
Best: +13.82%
Worst: -12.03%
Trades: 80/72

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.28%
Best MFE: +18.68%
Avg Time to MFE: 143 min

On average, CONY alerts reach +2.28% profit potential within 143 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.09%
Worst MAE: -6.64%
Avg Time to MAE: 16 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.09%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.1:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.1x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 155 alerts, CONY typically reaches +2.28% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 155
Gap Up % 37.4%
Avg Gap -0.11%
Best Gap +0.96%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical CONY alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:27:57 $12.78 -0.27% -0.86% -3.60% -3.01% -4.15% +0.86% -1.72% -0.23% LOSS
2025-02-13 09:28:07 $12.53 -0.01% +0.08% +0.16% +1.32% +2.87% +3.83% -0.80% -0.24% LOSS
2025-02-12 09:25:08 $11.75 -0.06% +0.60% +1.23% +1.23% +3.23% +4.21% -0.26% - LOSS
2025-02-11 09:29:47 $12.25 -1.14% -0.53% +0.16% -0.57% -3.35% +0.25% -1.61% +0.08% LOSS
2025-02-10 09:25:42 $12.3 +0.73% -1.06% -0.98% -1.47% +0.16% +1.46% -0.01% +0.08% WIN
2025-02-07 09:26:22 $12.16 +0.82% +0.25% +0.37% -0.12% -0.90% +1.55% -1.56% -0.99% WIN
2025-02-06 09:26:04 $12.3 +0.18% -0.08% -1.39% -1.54% -3.25% +1.46% -0.41% - WIN
2025-02-05 09:25:18 $13.5 +0.37% -0.23% -1.25% -0.74% -2.81% +0.63% -1.81% +0.07% WIN
2025-02-04 09:29:09 $13.48 -0.15% +0.37% -0.40% -0.07% -0.82% +1.78% -1.41% +0.07% LOSS
2025-02-03 09:27:05 $12.95 +0.23% +1.27% +1.24% +3.55% +4.32% +5.41% -0.46% +0.39% WIN
2025-01-31 09:28:44 $14.07 -0.43% -0.36% -0.07% +0.28% -2.27% +1.10% -1.03% +0.36% LOSS
2025-01-30 09:29:05 $13.8 +1.38% +1.16% +1.96% +1.67% +1.52% +2.75% -0.36% -0.07% WIN
2025-01-29 09:29:34 $13.34 +1.12% -0.22% -0.23% -0.15% +2.40% +3.07% -1.95% -0.15% WIN
2025-01-28 09:25:55 $13.21 -0.38% -1.48% +0.38% +0.98% +0.45% +1.40% -1.51% +0.08% LOSS
2025-01-27 09:29:33 $13.39 -1.12% -0.93% +1.05% -0.22% -2.32% +1.49% -2.39% -0.07% LOSS
2025-01-24 09:29:20 $14.06 +0.21% +0.50% +0.36% +0.64% -1.07% +1.99% -0.71% -0.07% WIN
2025-01-23 09:27:32 $13.57 +1.69% +2.28% +1.99% +2.21% +2.14% +3.68% -0.37% +0.15% WIN
2025-01-22 09:28:22 $13.54 +0.06% +1.33% +1.11% +0.63% +1.92% +2.58% -0.96% -0.15% WIN
2025-01-21 09:27:56 $13.78 +0.22% -2.90% -3.96% -5.08% -0.87% +1.34% -6.64% +0.07% WIN
2025-01-17 09:29:48 $13.61 +0.40% +0.66% +0.88% +0.66% +0.07% +1.43% -0.66% -0.29% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ CONY Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 51.6% win rate, CONY has -0.18% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making CONY profitable.

🔧 Fix CONY Risk/Reward →

Why Analyze CONY with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for CONY. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, CONY historically offers an average upside of +2.28% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 CONY Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 51.6%, CONY shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-3.21%) outweigh average wins (+2.53%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: CONY shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -0.18%). This suggests CONY is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.