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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$CONY

Trade-Ideas alerts 52.0% at EOD n=196 2023-11-02 → 2026-10-02

🏢 Company Profile

YieldMax COIN Option Income Strategy ETF
📍 NYSE Arca 📅 IPO: Aug 14, 2023
Total alerts
196
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · EOD
52.0%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · EOD
-0.17%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+2.33%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading CONY on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 44.4%
Avg Gain: -0.15%
Avg Winner: +0.58%
Avg Loser: -0.75%
Best: +2.09%
Worst: -3.60%
Trades: 87/106

15MIN

Win Rate: 44.9%
Avg Gain: -0.15%
Avg Winner: +1.02%
Avg Loser: -1.15%
Best: +3.51%
Worst: -4.38%
Trades: 88/104

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.13%
Avg Winner: +1.25%
Avg Loser: -1.55%
Best: +9.74%
Worst: -4.60%
Trades: 98/96

60MIN

Win Rate: 48.0%
Avg Gain: -0.09%
Avg Winner: +1.71%
Avg Loser: -1.76%
Best: +13.10%
Worst: -7.56%
Trades: 94/101

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 52.0%
Avg Gain: -0.17%
Avg Winner: +2.52%
Avg Loser: -3.19%
Best: +13.82%
Worst: -12.03%
Trades: 102/91

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.33%
Best MFE: +18.68%
Avg Time to MFE: 137 min

On average, CONY alerts reach +2.33% profit potential within 137 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.03%
Worst MAE: -6.64%
Avg Time to MAE: 15 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.03%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.26:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.26x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 196 alerts, CONY typically reaches +2.33% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 196
Gap Up % 39.8%
Avg Gap -0.08%
Best Gap +0.96%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical CONY alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-10-02 09:25:00 $20.73 +0.58% +1.45% -1.21% -2.27% -5.84% +2.07% -0.39% -0.19% WIN
2026-09-30 09:25:00 $20.9 +0.62% -3.78% -3.64% -4.26% -4.02% +1.16% -0.19% -0.14% WIN
2026-09-29 09:25:00 $20.94 -0.05% -1.19% -1.15% -1.24% -2.53% +0.57% -0.62% +0.19% LOSS
2026-09-28 09:25:00 $20.74 +1.25% +0.89% +0.87% +0.19% -1.11% +1.93% +0.29% +0.68% WIN
2026-09-23 09:25:00 $21.28 +0.23% +2.07% +1.52% -0.27% +0.05% +2.49% -0.23% -0.14% WIN
2026-09-22 09:25:00 $21.35 +0.33% +0.05% +0.70% -0.09% +0.75% +1.59% -0.14% +0.19% WIN
2026-09-21 09:25:00 $21.7 +0.97% +1.01% +0.97% +0.78% -0.74% +2.03% -0.14% +0.65% WIN
2026-09-17 09:25:00 $18.85 -1.01% -2.12% -1.70% -0.05% +1.43% +1.64% -2.60% -0.58% LOSS
2026-09-15 09:25:00 $20.47 -1.55% -2.09% -2.67% -3.16% -5.80% -0.77% -1.55% -0.77% LOSS
2026-09-11 09:25:00 $19.39 +0.07% -0.03% +1.82% +2.91% +0.38% +3.73% -0.65% +0.28% WIN
2026-09-10 09:25:00 $19.0 +0.21% +0.42% +0.92% +1.89% +0.84% +2.10% +0.00% +0.89% WIN
2026-09-09 09:25:00 $20.52 +0.24% -0.15% -1.51% -1.75% -3.70% +0.88% -0.10% +0.63% WIN
2026-09-03 09:25:00 $20.21 +0.45% +3.32% +2.18% +4.06% +5.39% +6.93% -0.30% +0.20% WIN
2026-09-02 09:25:00 $19.88 -0.75% -0.15% +1.74% +1.81% +0.30% +2.11% -1.26% +0.25% LOSS
2026-08-24 09:25:00 $21.68 +0.97% -0.85% -1.34% -0.69% -4.34% +1.24% -0.60% -0.14% WIN
2026-08-21 09:25:00 $20.77 +1.83% +2.89% +4.24% +3.42% +3.18% +5.58% -0.10% +0.43% WIN
2026-08-20 09:25:00 $19.9 -0.25% -1.46% -0.25% -0.85% +0.65% +1.91% -2.36% +0.85% LOSS
2026-08-13 09:25:00 $18.01 +0.78% +1.72% +0.83% +0.83% +2.11% +2.50% -1.33% -0.28% WIN
2026-06-23 09:25:00 $20.34 +0.49% +1.97% +2.11% +2.58% +1.03% +4.13% -0.20% +0.29% WIN
2026-06-08 09:25:00 $21.07 -1.33% -1.40% -1.09% +0.43% +1.80% +2.80% -1.99% -0.90% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ CONY Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 52.0% win rate, CONY has -0.17% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve win size or reduce loss size, making CONY profitable.

🔧 Fix CONY Risk / Reward →

Why Analyze CONY with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for CONY. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, CONY historically offers an average upside of +2.33% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 CONY Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 52.0%, CONY shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-3.19%) outweigh average wins (+2.52%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: CONY shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -0.17%). This suggests CONY is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.