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Latest signal:

COP Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 51 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-13 → 2024-12-05

⚠️ Small sample size (51 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jun 30, 1972 🔗 www.conocophillips.com
💰 Market Cap: $121.53B 👥 Employees: 11,800
ConocoPhillips is a US-based independent exploration and production firm. Its operations are primarily in Alaska and the Lower 48, with footprints in Canada, Europe, Asia-Pacific, the Middle East, and Africa. It also has substantial integrated LNG production and marketing activities across geographies.
📊
51
Total Alerts
🎯
60.8%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
+0.06%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+1.79%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 45.1%
Avg Gain: -0.12%
Avg Winner: +0.55%
Avg Loser: -0.67%
Best: +2.70%
Worst: -2.30%
Trades: 23/28

15MIN

Win Rate: 52.9%
Avg Gain: -0.04%
Avg Winner: +0.96%
Avg Loser: -1.17%
Best: +3.11%
Worst: -4.09%
Trades: 27/24

30MIN

Win Rate: 54.9%
Avg Gain: +0.06%
Avg Winner: +1.16%
Avg Loser: -1.28%
Best: +3.86%
Worst: -4.43%
Trades: 28/23

60MIN

Win Rate: 60.8%
Avg Gain: +0.06%
Avg Winner: +1.22%
Avg Loser: -1.72%
Best: +3.65%
Worst: -3.37%
Trades: 31/20

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 52.9%
Avg Gain: -0.03%
Avg Winner: +1.66%
Avg Loser: -1.93%
Best: +5.07%
Worst: -5.13%
Trades: 27/24

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.79%
Best MFE: +5.94%
Avg Time to MFE: 135 min

On average, COP alerts reach +1.79% profit potential within 135 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.91%
Worst MAE: -3.94%
Avg Time to MAE: 10 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.91%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.96:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 51 alerts, COP typically reaches +1.79% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 51
Gap Up % 37.3%
Avg Gap -0.15%
Best Gap +1.62%

🏭 Sector Comparison: PETROLEUM REFINING

How COP compares to 11 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
COP: -0.12% Sector: -0.01% -0.11%
EOD Gain
COP: -0.03% Sector: +0.04% -0.08%
Avg MFE
COP: +1.79% Sector: +1.50% +0.29%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical COP alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-12-05 09:29:06 $105.26 +0.26% +0.43% +0.44% -1.00% -0.78% +0.58% -0.44% -0.17% WIN
2024-12-04 09:28:32 $106.72 -1.05% -1.42% -1.95% -2.71% -3.01% -0.58% -0.83% -0.73% LOSS
2024-11-25 09:29:10 $111.84 -0.41% -1.42% -1.37% -2.53% -5.13% +0.11% -0.47% +0.05% LOSS
2024-05-29 09:25:19 $117.59 -0.43% -1.65% -2.19% -2.23% -1.99% +0.18% -0.08% +0.01% LOSS
2023-11-17 09:25:00 $112.75 -0.13% +0.47% +0.60% +1.27% +1.63% +2.47% -0.67% +0.04% LOSS
2023-04-03 09:29:00 $105.97 +1.30% +1.63% +1.42% +2.51% +2.31% +2.99% -0.91% -0.79% WIN
2023-02-22 09:26:00 $105.31 -0.34% -0.19% -0.04% -1.23% -1.17% +0.18% -0.20% +0.16% LOSS
2023-02-21 09:26:00 $104.1 +0.13% +0.67% +0.81% +0.50% +1.16% +1.94% -0.57% -0.09% WIN
2023-02-10 09:26:00 $112.0 +0.42% +1.47% +1.76% +1.22% +2.73% +3.01% -0.15% -0.02% WIN
2022-09-27 09:25:00 $101.62 -1.06% -0.32% -0.34% +0.58% -2.81% +0.94% -1.71% -0.25% LOSS
2022-09-21 09:25:00 $113.7 +0.85% +0.58% +0.06% +0.04% -2.30% +1.05% +0.21% +0.41% WIN
2022-08-16 09:25:00 $101.79 -0.11% -0.40% -0.24% -0.80% -1.66% +0.26% -1.35% -0.57% LOSS
2022-08-09 09:25:00 $94.8 +1.21% +1.55% +1.71% +2.35% +0.75% +2.62% +0.31% +0.53% WIN
2022-08-04 09:25:00 $93.5 -1.02% -4.09% -2.82% -1.85% -3.87% +0.09% -0.63% -0.81% LOSS
2022-07-27 09:25:00 $92.07 -0.07% -0.54% +0.18% -0.29% +1.30% +1.73% -0.85% -0.03% LOSS
2022-07-26 09:25:00 $93.45 +0.15% +0.23% -0.66% -2.03% -2.53% +0.78% -0.07% -0.01% WIN
2022-07-25 09:25:00 $89.59 -0.31% -0.51% -0.50% +0.41% +2.75% +2.85% -2.01% -0.15% LOSS
2022-07-14 09:25:00 $80.63 +0.24% -0.61% -1.02% -2.43% +1.22% +1.41% -2.89% -0.99% WIN
2022-07-12 09:25:00 $83.4 -0.67% +0.41% -1.24% +0.14% +0.06% +0.77% -2.15% -1.01% LOSS
2022-07-06 09:25:00 $83.65 -0.43% +0.91% -0.26% -1.99% -0.37% +2.44% -0.66% +0.07% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 60.8% Baseline on COP

The 60.8% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push COP's performance to 75%+.

Optimize COP Strategy →

Why Analyze COP with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for COP. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, COP historically offers an average upside of +1.79% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 COP Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 60.8%, COP shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show COP performs best on the 60MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.06%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.