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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$COP

Trade-Ideas alerts 55.6% at 60-min n=63 2022-01-13 → 2026-09-22

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 63 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jun 30, 1972 🔗 www.conocophillips.com
💰 Market Cap: $152.27B 👥 Employees: 9,900
ConocoPhillips is a US-based independent exploration and production firm. Its operations are primarily in Alaska and the Lower 48, with footprints in Canada, Europe, Asia-Pacific, the Middle East, and Africa. It also has substantial integrated liquefied natural gas production and marketing activities across geographies.
Total alerts
63
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 60MIN
55.6%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 60MIN
-0.07%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+1.70%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading COP on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 46.0%
Avg Gain: -0.08%
Avg Winner: +0.58%
Avg Loser: -0.65%
Best: +2.70%
Worst: -2.30%
Trades: 29/34

15MIN

Win Rate: 46.0%
Avg Gain: -0.14%
Avg Winner: +0.98%
Avg Loser: -1.10%
Best: +3.11%
Worst: -4.09%
Trades: 29/34

30MIN

Win Rate: 49.2%
Avg Gain: -0.10%
Avg Winner: +1.14%
Avg Loser: -1.29%
Best: +3.86%
Worst: -4.43%
Trades: 31/32

60MIN

Win Rate: 55.6%
Avg Gain: -0.07%
Avg Winner: +1.21%
Avg Loser: -1.67%
Best: +3.65%
Worst: -3.42%
Trades: 35/28

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.8%
Avg Gain: -0.08%
Avg Winner: +1.61%
Avg Loser: -1.82%
Best: +5.07%
Worst: -5.13%
Trades: 32/31

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.70%
Best MFE: +5.94%
Avg Time to MFE: 127 min

On average, COP alerts reach +1.70% profit potential within 127 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.88%
Worst MAE: -3.94%
Avg Time to MAE: 9 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.88%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.94:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 63 alerts, COP typically reaches +1.70% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 63
Gap Up % 39.7%
Avg Gap -0.14%
Best Gap +1.62%

🏭 Sector Comparison: PETROLEUM REFINING

How COP compares to 15 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
COP: -0.08% Sector: -0.00% -0.08%
EOD Gain
COP: -0.08% Sector: +0.07% -0.15%
Avg MFE
COP: +1.70% Sector: +1.45% +0.25%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical COP alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-09-22 09:25:00 $125.91 -0.17% -0.69% -0.05% -0.02% -0.51% +1.07% -1.14% +0.06% LOSS
2026-09-10 09:25:00 $139.5 -0.97% -1.63% -2.14% -3.29% -1.76% +0.00% -0.14% -0.54% LOSS
2026-08-27 09:25:00 $129.5 +0.25% -0.15% -0.36% -0.07% +0.02% +0.54% +0.13% +0.39% WIN
2026-06-03 09:25:00 $117.53 +0.14% -0.38% -0.05% +0.76% +1.29% +1.72% -0.53% +0.05% WIN
2026-04-08 09:25:00 $122.72 -0.36% -0.59% +0.35% +0.81% +2.04% +2.58% -1.65% -0.46% LOSS
2026-04-01 09:25:00 $127.1 +1.62% +1.03% +0.80% +0.34% +1.01% +2.23% -0.46% +0.82% WIN
2026-03-23 09:25:00 $124.0 +0.73% +1.56% +1.67% +2.61% +2.57% +3.52% -0.85% -0.30% WIN
2026-03-09 09:25:00 $118.74 -0.67% -0.89% -0.77% -0.98% -1.44% +0.03% -1.63% -1.01% LOSS
2026-03-06 09:25:00 $119.13 -0.39% -0.56% -1.24% -1.24% -1.73% +0.29% -0.74% -0.30% LOSS
2026-03-03 09:25:00 $119.94 +0.57% -0.75% -1.98% -1.11% -1.18% +2.13% -0.36% +0.76% WIN
2026-03-02 09:25:00 $119.19 -0.57% -1.99% -1.39% -2.04% -0.79% +0.54% -0.48% +0.08% LOSS
2026-01-05 09:25:00 $101.8 +0.70% -1.87% -3.86% -3.42% -2.56% +1.16% -0.79% -0.59% WIN
2024-12-05 09:29:06 $105.26 +0.26% +0.43% +0.44% -1.00% -0.78% +0.58% -0.44% -0.17% WIN
2024-12-04 09:28:32 $106.72 -1.05% -1.42% -1.95% -2.71% -3.01% -0.58% -0.83% -0.73% LOSS
2024-11-25 09:29:10 $111.84 -0.41% -1.42% -1.37% -2.53% -5.13% +0.11% -0.47% +0.05% LOSS
2024-05-29 09:25:19 $117.59 -0.43% -1.65% -2.19% -2.23% -1.99% +0.18% -0.08% +0.01% LOSS
2023-11-17 09:25:00 $112.75 -0.13% +0.47% +0.60% +1.27% +1.63% +2.47% -0.67% +0.04% LOSS
2023-04-03 09:29:00 $105.97 +1.30% +1.63% +1.42% +2.51% +2.31% +2.99% -0.91% -0.79% WIN
2023-02-22 09:26:00 $105.31 -0.34% -0.19% -0.04% -1.23% -1.17% +0.18% -0.20% +0.16% LOSS
2023-02-21 09:26:00 $104.1 +0.13% +0.67% +0.81% +0.50% +1.16% +1.94% -0.57% -0.09% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ COP Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 55.6% win rate, COP has -0.07% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve win size or reduce loss size, making COP profitable.

🔧 Fix COP Risk / Reward →

Why Analyze COP with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for COP. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, COP historically offers an average upside of +1.70% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 COP Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 55.6%, COP shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-1.67%) outweigh average wins (+1.21%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: COP shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 60MIN at -0.07%). This suggests COP is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.