Latest signal:
MPC Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 60 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-05 → 2025-02-11
⚠️ Small sample size (60 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, MPC alerts reach +1.72% profit potential within 135 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.48%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.58x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 60 alerts, MPC typically reaches +1.72% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.4% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: PETROLEUM REFINING
How MPC compares to 11 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical MPC alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-11 | 09:26:16 | $155.5 | +0.73% | -0.70% | -1.08% | -1.91% | -0.13% | +0.98% | -0.26% | -0.15% | WIN |
| 2025-01-22 | 09:27:11 | $149.7 | -0.18% | -0.39% | -0.94% | -0.50% | -1.40% | +0.59% | -0.52% | -0.25% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-15 | 09:29:59 | $151.32 | -0.01% | +0.05% | +0.15% | +0.93% | +0.42% | +1.20% | -0.58% | +0.03% | LOSS |
| 2024-11-13 | 09:26:11 | $153.34 | +1.47% | +1.15% | +0.50% | +0.97% | +3.76% | +3.82% | +0.50% | +0.69% | WIN |
| 2024-10-22 | 09:28:37 | $157.05 | +0.45% | +0.07% | +0.55% | +0.07% | +0.76% | +0.97% | -0.19% | +0.29% | WIN |
| 2024-08-14 | 09:28:03 | $176.2 | +0.11% | +0.54% | +1.21% | +1.12% | +1.62% | +1.94% | -0.20% | +0.24% | WIN |
| 2024-07-19 | 09:28:39 | $164.52 | -0.04% | +0.40% | +1.06% | +0.69% | +0.39% | +1.43% | -0.31% | +0.68% | LOSS |
| 2024-03-07 | 09:27:05 | $175.18 | +0.83% | +2.04% | +2.04% | +2.63% | +2.16% | +2.88% | +0.27% | +0.75% | WIN |
| 2024-02-26 | 09:27:31 | $170.03 | +0.09% | +0.86% | +1.78% | +2.74% | +1.42% | +3.09% | -0.59% | -0.24% | WIN |
| 2024-02-13 | 09:26:09 | $168.78 | +0.09% | +0.11% | -0.74% | -0.86% | +0.65% | +1.26% | -1.15% | -0.17% | WIN |
| 2023-12-06 | 09:28:00 | $147.67 | -0.41% | -0.61% | -1.11% | -0.81% | -3.04% | +0.06% | -0.38% | +0.06% | LOSS |
| 2023-11-17 | 09:27:00 | $146.15 | +0.36% | +0.88% | +0.66% | +1.01% | +1.20% | +2.82% | -0.77% | +0.07% | WIN |
| 2023-11-09 | 09:29:00 | $144.5 | +0.11% | -0.80% | -1.30% | -0.55% | -1.87% | +0.35% | -0.35% | -0.35% | WIN |
| 2023-11-08 | 09:26:00 | $145.57 | +0.01% | -0.30% | +0.04% | -0.78% | -1.42% | +0.42% | -0.51% | -0.23% | WIN |
| 2023-10-11 | 09:25:00 | $148.3 | -0.28% | -0.23% | -0.03% | +0.35% | +0.15% | +0.71% | -0.58% | -0.43% | LOSS |
| 2023-10-02 | 09:29:00 | $152.11 | -0.70% | -1.79% | -1.54% | -2.39% | -1.37% | -0.34% | -0.87% | -0.69% | LOSS |
| 2023-09-22 | 09:28:00 | $156.49 | -0.42% | -0.02% | +0.07% | -0.14% | -1.94% | +0.76% | -0.79% | -0.49% | LOSS |
| 2023-09-21 | 09:26:00 | $155.2 | +2.24% | +2.27% | +0.30% | +0.52% | -0.28% | +2.77% | - | +0.35% | WIN |
| 2023-09-05 | 09:28:00 | $146.48 | +0.64% | +0.69% | +0.59% | +0.20% | +0.37% | +1.24% | -0.18% | +0.10% | WIN |
| 2023-08-25 | 09:25:00 | $144.5 | -0.06% | +0.05% | -0.19% | -0.60% | -0.36% | +0.82% | -1.53% | -0.17% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
🚀 Beat the 66.7% Baseline on MPC
The 66.7% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push MPC's performance to 75%+.
Optimize MPC Strategy →Why Analyze MPC with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for MPC. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, MPC historically offers an average upside of +1.72% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 MPC Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 66.7%, MPC shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show MPC performs best on the 15MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.23%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.