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CPB Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 14 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-10 → 2023-07-20

⚠️ Small sample size (14 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

The Campbell's Company Common Stock FOOD AND KINDRED PRODUCTS (SIC 2000)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Dec 13, 1954 🔗 www.thecampbellscompany.com
💰 Market Cap: $7.99B 👥 Employees: 13,700
Over the past 150-plus years, Campbell's has evolved into a leading domestic packaged food manufacturer, with a portfolio that extends beyond its iconic red-and-white labeled canned soup. In fiscal 2025 (July year-end), snacks accounted for 43% of its revenue, followed by soup (27%), other simple meals (23%), and beverages (7%). Beyond its namesake, its brands include Pepperidge Farm, Goldfish, Snyder's of Hanover, Swanson, Pacific Foods, Prego, Pace, V8, and, most recently, Rao's (a deal that closed in 2024). Around 90% of its revenue results from the US and the remainder from Canada and Latin America.
📊
14
Total Alerts
🎯
50.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.01%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+1.31%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.42%
Avg Loser: -0.46%
Best: +0.75%
Worst: -1.25%
Trades: 7/6

15MIN

Win Rate: 42.9%
Avg Gain: -0.33%
Avg Winner: +0.43%
Avg Loser: -1.02%
Best: +1.07%
Worst: -3.08%
Trades: 6/7

30MIN

Win Rate: 42.9%
Avg Gain: -0.32%
Avg Winner: +0.53%
Avg Loser: -0.96%
Best: +1.07%
Worst: -2.55%
Trades: 6/8

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.28%
Avg Winner: +0.84%
Avg Loser: -1.39%
Best: +1.65%
Worst: -3.15%
Trades: 7/7

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.15%
Avg Winner: +1.10%
Avg Loser: -0.79%
Best: +2.76%
Worst: -2.25%
Trades: 7/7

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.31%
Best MFE: +2.87%
Avg Time to MFE: 162 min

On average, CPB alerts reach +1.31% profit potential within 162 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.81%
Worst MAE: -3.62%
Avg Time to MAE: 17 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.81%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.62:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 14 alerts, CPB typically reaches +1.31% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 14
Gap Up % 35.7%
Avg Gap -0.07%
Best Gap +0.49%

🏭 Sector Comparison: FOOD AND KINDRED PRODUCTS

How CPB compares to 11 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
CPB: +0.01% Sector: -0.08% +0.09%
EOD Gain
CPB: +0.15% Sector: -0.37% +0.52%
Avg MFE
CPB: +1.31% Sector: +4.63% -3.32%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical CPB alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-07-20 09:25:00 $45.85 +0.15% - +0.22% +0.79% +1.53% +1.55% -0.46% +0.09% WIN
2023-06-23 09:25:00 $45.97 -0.35% -0.30% -0.35% -0.11% -0.83% +0.04% +0.04% -0.04% LOSS
2023-06-07 09:26:00 $47.14 -1.25% -0.49% +0.51% +1.26% -2.25% +2.08% -2.32% -0.51% LOSS
2023-05-23 09:25:00 $51.59 -0.08% -0.47% -1.07% -0.60% +0.54% +0.77% -1.14% -0.06% LOSS
2023-03-14 09:29:00 $53.28 +0.23% +0.13% -0.06% +0.05% +0.92% +1.17% -0.28% +0.32% WIN
2023-03-08 09:27:00 $53.0 -0.94% +0.32% -0.49% -1.31% +0.26% +1.00% -0.94% -0.30% LOSS
2022-12-07 09:25:00 $54.67 +0.16% -0.17% +0.29% +1.65% +2.76% +2.87% -1.01% +0.26% WIN
2022-09-01 09:25:00 $48.95 +0.53% -3.08% -2.55% -3.15% +0.86% +0.96% -3.62% -0.74% WIN
2022-06-08 09:25:00 $47.74 -0.09% -2.62% -1.80% -2.24% -0.90% +1.05% -0.94% -0.61% LOSS
2022-04-25 09:25:00 $46.85 +0.75% +0.02% -1.00% -1.75% -0.04% +1.05% +0.32% +0.49% WIN
2022-04-14 09:25:00 $45.81 +0.70% +0.39% +0.37% +0.33% +0.85% +1.35% +0.14% +0.41% WIN
2022-04-05 09:25:00 $44.99 +0.42% +1.07% +0.73% +0.60% -0.24% +1.22% -0.02% -0.02% WIN
2022-03-09 09:25:00 $42.88 - +0.68% +1.07% +1.24% -0.58% +2.57% -0.42% -0.23% -
2022-02-10 09:25:00 $43.5 -0.07% -0.05% -0.32% -0.60% -0.71% +0.69% -0.71% -0.09% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 50.0% Baseline on CPB

The 50.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push CPB's performance to 75%+.

Optimize CPB Strategy →

Why Analyze CPB with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for CPB. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, CPB historically offers an average upside of +1.31% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 CPB Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, CPB shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show CPB performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.01%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.