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CPRI Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 24 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-02 → 2025-02-05

⚠️ Small sample size (24 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Capri Holdings Limited LEATHER & LEATHER PRODUCTS (SIC 3100)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Dec 15, 2011 🔗 www.capriholdings.com
💰 Market Cap: $2.94B 👥 Employees: 14,200
Capri Holdings is a marketer, distributor, and retailer of upscale accessories and apparel in the Americas, Europe, and Asia. Michael Kors, Capri's original and largest brand by sales, offers handbags, footwear, and apparel through more than 700 company-owned stores, wholesale, and e-commerce. Jimmy Choo (acquired in 2017) is best known for women's luxury footwear. Its products are sold in more than 200 company-operated stores. John Idol has served as Capri's CEO since 2003.
📊
24
Total Alerts
🎯
45.8%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-0.22%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+2.46%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 45.8%
Avg Gain: -0.22%
Avg Winner: +0.91%
Avg Loser: -1.17%
Best: +3.79%
Worst: -4.42%
Trades: 11/13

15MIN

Win Rate: 29.2%
Avg Gain: -0.78%
Avg Winner: +1.45%
Avg Loser: -1.69%
Best: +2.67%
Worst: -5.32%
Trades: 7/17

30MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -1.15%
Avg Winner: +1.12%
Avg Loser: -2.28%
Best: +2.12%
Worst: -6.79%
Trades: 8/16

60MIN

Win Rate: 45.8%
Avg Gain: -1.28%
Avg Winner: +0.96%
Avg Loser: -3.17%
Best: +2.24%
Worst: -9.24%
Trades: 11/13

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.99%
Avg Winner: +2.82%
Avg Loser: -2.90%
Best: +7.49%
Worst: -8.83%
Trades: 8/16

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.46%
Best MFE: +11.31%
Avg Time to MFE: 80 min

On average, CPRI alerts reach +2.46% profit potential within 80 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.17%
Worst MAE: -5.24%
Avg Time to MAE: 13 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.17%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.11:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.11x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 24 alerts, CPRI typically reaches +2.46% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 24
Gap Up % 37.5%
Avg Gap -0.14%
Best Gap +1.15%

🏭 Sector Comparison: LEATHER & LEATHER PRODUCTS

How CPRI compares to 3 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
CPRI: -0.22% Sector: +0.04% -0.25%
EOD Gain
CPRI: -0.99% Sector: -0.49% -0.50%
Avg MFE
CPRI: +2.46% Sector: +2.49% -0.02%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical CPRI alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-05 09:29:13 $22.61 -3.50% -4.90% -6.79% -9.24% -4.42% -0.04% -4.60% -0.75% LOSS
2025-01-10 09:26:40 $22.9 -0.55% -1.11% -1.27% +0.66% +3.54% +3.84% -2.18% +0.44% LOSS
2024-11-26 09:28:27 $22.2 +1.76% +0.77% +0.72% +0.43% +2.88% +4.10% -0.95% +0.04% WIN
2024-11-14 09:26:43 $19.09 -0.65% -0.81% -0.21% +1.57% +7.49% +11.31% -2.04% -0.47% LOSS
2024-11-08 09:28:27 $20.1 -1.62% -0.62% -1.27% -0.92% +2.09% +2.99% -3.66% -0.02% LOSS
2024-11-07 09:25:53 $22.12 +0.23% +1.74% +2.12% +1.85% -0.59% +3.30% -0.54% -0.32% WIN
2024-11-06 09:27:17 $21.35 +0.19% -0.21% -1.15% +0.33% +3.04% +3.51% -1.41% +0.56% WIN
2024-10-30 09:27:55 $20.3 +0.07% -1.97% -0.69% -1.35% -4.14% +0.39% -1.11% -0.39% WIN
2024-10-29 09:29:12 $21.25 -0.28% -0.28% +0.14% +0.92% -3.62% +1.65% -0.56% -0.24% LOSS
2024-10-28 09:26:46 $21.42 +0.07% -0.09% -1.41% +0.23% -0.14% +1.59% -1.96% +0.09% WIN
2024-10-25 09:28:35 $22.11 +3.79% +2.67% +0.58% -2.08% -3.84% +5.16% +0.09% +1.04% WIN
2024-04-23 09:25:28 $37.1 +0.54% -0.32% -0.24% -0.42% -1.59% +1.08% - +0.27% WIN
2024-04-17 09:27:40 $38.1 -0.03% +0.43% +1.52% +2.24% -0.60% +2.49% -0.26% +0.39% LOSS
2023-11-10 09:29:00 $46.79 +0.06% +0.66% +1.85% +1.73% +0.68% +2.37% -0.43% -0.19% WIN
2023-11-07 09:29:00 $48.94 -0.03% -0.07% -0.65% -0.64% -0.25% +0.59% -0.18% -0.16% LOSS
2023-08-11 09:29:00 $53.71 -0.71% -1.04% -0.78% -0.60% -1.06% +0.02% -0.34% -0.50% LOSS
2023-08-10 09:25:00 $54.51 -0.02% -0.46% -0.99% -0.51% -1.12% +0.02% -0.04% -0.02% LOSS
2023-05-31 09:26:00 $38.5 -0.05% -5.12% -5.38% -7.79% -8.83% +0.31% - +0.19% LOSS
2023-05-11 09:25:00 $37.68 +1.02% +1.83% +1.78% +0.11% +1.19% +2.63% -0.69% -0.50% WIN
2023-02-09 09:25:00 $51.46 +0.37% -0.03% -0.81% -0.87% -3.93% +2.68% -0.23% -0.23% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ CPRI Shows Negative Expectancy

With 45.8% win rate and -0.22% average gain, CPRI alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider CPRI for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze CPRI with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for CPRI. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, CPRI historically offers an average upside of +2.46% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 CPRI Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 45.8%, CPRI shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests CPRI may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: CPRI shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.22%). This suggests CPRI is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.