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CRBU Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 16 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-06-10 → 2024-11-26

⚠️ Small sample size (16 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Caribou Biosciences, Inc. Common Stock BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DISGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES) (SIC 2836)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jul 23, 2021 🔗 www.cariboubio.com
💰 Market Cap: $143.0M 👥 Employees: 147
Caribou Biosciences Inc is a clinical-stage Clustered Regularly Interspaced Short Palindromic Repeats (CRISPR) biopharmaceutical company dedicated to transforming the lives of patients with devastating diseases by applying its novel CRISPR platform, CRISPR hybrid RNA-DNA (chRDNA), toward the development of next-generation, genome-edited cell therapies. The company operates and manage business as one reportable operating segment, which is the business of developing a pipeline of allogeneic CAR-T and CAR-NK cell therapies. Geographically, it operates in United States and Rest of the World, of which United States derives maximum revenue.
📊
16
Total Alerts
🎯
37.5%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
-1.43%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+4.77%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 31.2%
Avg Gain: -1.02%
Avg Winner: +2.59%
Avg Loser: -2.67%
Best: +8.81%
Worst: -11.00%
Trades: 5/11

15MIN

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -1.81%
Avg Winner: +4.34%
Avg Loser: -3.85%
Best: +14.57%
Worst: -13.60%
Trades: 4/12

30MIN

Win Rate: 31.2%
Avg Gain: -1.75%
Avg Winner: +4.84%
Avg Loser: -4.74%
Best: +16.87%
Worst: -13.23%
Trades: 5/11

60MIN

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -2.24%
Avg Winner: +6.46%
Avg Loser: -5.14%
Best: +17.81%
Worst: -14.35%
Trades: 4/12

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 37.5%
Avg Gain: -1.43%
Avg Winner: +5.83%
Avg Loser: -5.79%
Best: +20.60%
Worst: -19.20%
Trades: 6/10

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +4.77%
Best MFE: +24.42%
Avg Time to MFE: 77 min

On average, CRBU alerts reach +4.77% profit potential within 77 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.94%
Worst MAE: -10.60%
Avg Time to MAE: 9 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.94%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.62:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 16 alerts, CRBU typically reaches +4.77% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 16
Gap Up % 37.5%
Avg Gap -0.60%
Best Gap +1.45%

🏭 Sector Comparison: BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DISGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES)

How CRBU compares to 128 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
CRBU: -1.02% Sector: -0.41% -0.61%
EOD Gain
CRBU: -1.43% Sector: +1233.50% -1234.93%
Avg MFE
CRBU: +4.77% Sector: +6.69% -1.92%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical CRBU alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-11-26 09:29:18 $2.5 -11.00% -13.60% -11.60% -14.35% -19.20% +0.60% -10.60% +0.40% LOSS
2024-03-13 09:28:28 $5.27 +1.09% -1.04% +1.14% -1.42% +6.26% +6.83% -3.80% -0.57% WIN
2023-11-01 09:26:00 $3.63 -0.80% -2.48% -0.55% -1.38% -1.38% - -0.93% - LOSS
2023-07-17 09:28:00 $6.39 -3.30% -4.77% -3.68% -2.21% -1.56% +2.66% -4.85% +0.16% LOSS
2023-07-14 09:25:00 $6.87 -0.20% -2.62% -4.83% -7.29% -8.30% +1.89% -1.02% -0.87% LOSS
2023-07-12 09:25:00 $8.22 -4.08% -1.62% +1.46% -1.95% -5.60% +4.50% -4.74% -2.43% LOSS
2023-07-10 09:27:00 $7.64 +0.46% -5.89% -5.24% -6.28% -13.09% +1.83% -3.01% -2.36% WIN
2023-07-07 09:25:00 $6.02 -2.57% +0.83% +3.18% +3.65% +20.60% +24.42% -3.65% -1.01% LOSS
2023-07-06 09:29:00 $5.56 +8.81% +14.57% +16.87% +17.81% +6.83% +23.74% -2.16% +0.72% WIN
2023-01-30 09:29:00 $7.12 +1.12% +1.26% +1.56% +1.33% +0.14% +2.39% -1.54% +1.12% WIN
2023-01-10 09:29:00 $7.15 -1.86% -1.68% -1.54% -2.10% -3.08% -0.56% -4.62% -4.20% LOSS
2023-01-09 09:29:00 $6.88 +1.45% -0.44% -0.61% +3.05% +0.29% +3.78% -1.31% +1.45% WIN
2023-01-06 09:27:00 $7.12 -3.09% -6.04% -7.65% -6.81% -3.37% -1.26% -1.26% -1.26% LOSS
2023-01-05 09:25:00 $7.1 -0.21% -0.99% -1.97% -3.55% -1.83% -0.14% -0.42% -0.14% LOSS
2022-11-25 09:25:00 $8.79 -1.59% +0.68% -1.25% -0.57% -0.46% +1.02% -1.59% -0.91% LOSS
2022-06-10 09:25:00 $6.88 -0.61% -5.09% -13.23% -13.81% +0.87% +4.65% -1.60% +0.29% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ CRBU Shows Negative Expectancy

With 37.5% win rate and -1.43% average gain, CRBU alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider CRBU for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze CRBU with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for CRBU. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, CRBU historically offers an average upside of +4.77% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 CRBU Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 37.5%, CRBU shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests CRBU may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: CRBU shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -1.43%). This suggests CRBU is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.