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CRDF Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 22 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-19 → 2024-12-11

⚠️ Small sample size (22 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: May 22, 1997 🔗 www.cardiffoncology.com
💰 Market Cap: $195.3M 👥 Employees: 33
Cardiff Oncology Inc is a clinical-stage biotechnology company leveraging PLK1 inhibition, a well-validated oncology drug target, to develop novel therapies across a range of cancers with the greatest unmet medical need. It is focusing on clinical programs in indications such as RAS-mutated metastatic colorectal cancer ("mCRC"), as well as in investigator-initiated trials in metastatic pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma ("mPDAC"), small cell lung cancer ("SCLC"), and triple negative breast cancer ("TNBC"). Geographically, the company only operates in the United States.
📊
22
Total Alerts
🎯
50.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+1.06%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+9.83%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +1.06%
Avg Winner: +4.28%
Avg Loser: -2.37%
Best: +10.98%
Worst: -6.51%
Trades: 11/10

15MIN

Win Rate: 36.4%
Avg Gain: -1.13%
Avg Winner: +3.97%
Avg Loser: -4.36%
Best: +14.20%
Worst: -11.24%
Trades: 8/13

30MIN

Win Rate: 36.4%
Avg Gain: -1.39%
Avg Winner: +7.10%
Avg Loser: -6.72%
Best: +28.77%
Worst: -13.16%
Trades: 8/13

60MIN

Win Rate: 38.1%
Avg Gain: -2.21%
Avg Winner: +6.16%
Avg Loser: -7.37%
Best: +12.57%
Worst: -16.14%
Trades: 8/13

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 36.4%
Avg Gain: -1.38%
Avg Winner: +8.63%
Avg Loser: -7.10%
Best: +30.54%
Worst: -26.17%
Trades: 8/14

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +9.83%
Best MFE: +67.07%
Avg Time to MFE: 94 min

On average, CRDF alerts reach +9.83% profit potential within 94 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.89%
Worst MAE: -11.67%
Avg Time to MAE: 9 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.89%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.39:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.39x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 22 alerts, CRDF typically reaches +9.83% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 7.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 22
Gap Up % 40.9%
Avg Gap -0.16%
Best Gap +2.14%

🏭 Sector Comparison: BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DISGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES)

How CRDF compares to 128 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
CRDF: +1.01% Sector: -0.41% +1.42%
EOD Gain
CRDF: -1.41% Sector: +1233.50% -1234.91%
Avg MFE
CRDF: +10.19% Sector: +6.69% +3.50%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical CRDF alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-12-11 09:28:32 $3.75 +3.56% +0.80% +8.53% +8.27% -1.33% +12.00% -0.89% -0.53% WIN
2024-12-10 09:27:00 $3.59 +0.14% -9.47% -8.04% +2.51% +5.29% +15.60% -10.59% +0.28% WIN
2024-05-03 09:25:31 $3.97 +9.07% +3.27% +3.02% +6.30% -11.34% +11.34% -0.50% +0.25% WIN
2024-03-14 09:29:45 $5.47 +5.67% +4.39% +4.94% +8.32% -1.28% +10.79% -0.37% +0.55% WIN
2024-03-11 09:29:55 $4.24 +1.42% -2.83% -8.00% -7.31% -4.72% +2.83% -0.47% -0.47% WIN
2024-03-06 09:26:48 $3.84 -2.60% -3.65% +0.52% -4.43% +1.30% +7.03% -7.29% +0.26% LOSS
2024-03-05 09:26:09 $3.6 +4.17% -2.22% -7.78% -4.44% +1.39% +6.67% -11.67% -1.39% WIN
2024-03-04 09:29:07 $2.96 +10.98% +14.20% +28.77% +9.80% +17.91% +30.07% - +0.34% WIN
2023-10-03 09:27:00 $1.24 -0.81% -2.42% +0.81% +0.01% +3.23% +6.45% -3.23% -1.61% LOSS
2023-10-02 09:25:00 $1.32 -1.14% - -1.13% -0.76% -1.52% +0.76% +0.75% -0.76% LOSS
2023-09-29 09:28:00 $1.41 - -2.13% -4.61% -6.38% -1.42% - -0.70% - -
2023-09-28 09:26:00 $1.46 -1.10% -3.42% -3.42% -3.42% -2.05% +1.37% - - LOSS
2023-09-27 09:28:00 $1.92 -2.04% +0.98% -8.78% -10.94% -16.67% +4.43% -1.04% -0.52% LOSS
2023-08-09 09:28:00 $1.96 +2.04% +3.58% +0.51% +1.53% -2.55% +14.29% -5.61% +0.26% WIN
2023-08-08 09:29:00 $1.67 +6.68% +4.19% +9.72% +12.57% +30.54% +67.07% - - WIN
2023-01-19 09:29:00 $1.88 -3.19% -5.85% -6.91% -11.97% -9.04% +1.06% -1.06% +1.06% LOSS
2022-11-25 09:25:00 $1.4 +2.14% +0.36% - - -0.71% +2.14% -2.14% +2.14% WIN
2022-09-19 09:25:00 $1.65 -1.81% -0.72% -0.91% -2.73% +4.85% +6.97% -3.64% -0.61% LOSS
2022-09-13 09:25:00 $2.56 +1.17% -4.30% -6.48% -10.74% -26.17% +5.86% -4.69% -2.34% WIN
2022-09-12 09:25:00 $3.07 -1.65% -1.95% -6.26% -4.89% +4.56% +7.82% -7.51% -0.98% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 50.0% Baseline on CRDF

The 50.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push CRDF's performance to 75%+.

Optimize CRDF Strategy →

Why Analyze CRDF with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for CRDF. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, CRDF historically offers an average upside of +9.83% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 CRDF Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, CRDF shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show CRDF performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +1.06%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.