FILTRIX Logo FILTRIX Find Your Edge →

Latest signal:

CRGY Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 8 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-09-09 → 2024-12-04

⚠️ Small sample size (8 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Dec 08, 2021 🔗 www.crescentenergyco.com
💰 Market Cap: $2.86B 👥 Employees: 987
Crescent Energy Co is an energy company committed to delivering value for shareholders through disciplined growth, acquisition ideas, and the consistent return of capital. Its long-life, balanced portfolio combines stable cash flows from low-decline production with deep, high-quality development inventory. The Company's investing and operating activities are focused in Texas and the Rocky Mountain region.
📊
8
Total Alerts
🎯
75.0%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
+0.27%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+3.23%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 62.5%
Avg Gain: -0.24%
Avg Winner: +1.00%
Avg Loser: -2.31%
Best: +1.61%
Worst: -3.22%
Trades: 5/3

15MIN

Win Rate: 75.0%
Avg Gain: +0.27%
Avg Winner: +1.06%
Avg Loser: -2.11%
Best: +1.91%
Worst: -2.36%
Trades: 6/2

30MIN

Win Rate: 62.5%
Avg Gain: -0.14%
Avg Winner: +1.12%
Avg Loser: -2.23%
Best: +2.41%
Worst: -3.68%
Trades: 5/3

60MIN

Win Rate: 75.0%
Avg Gain: +0.13%
Avg Winner: +1.26%
Avg Loser: -3.25%
Best: +2.84%
Worst: -3.72%
Trades: 6/2

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.61%
Avg Winner: +3.36%
Avg Loser: -2.13%
Best: +6.80%
Worst: -3.47%
Trades: 4/4

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +3.23%
Best MFE: +7.19%
Avg Time to MFE: 105 min

On average, CRGY alerts reach +3.23% profit potential within 105 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.02%
Worst MAE: -2.83%
Avg Time to MAE: 7 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.02%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.16:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.16x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 8 alerts, CRGY typically reaches +3.23% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 8
Gap Up % 50.0%
Avg Gap -0.06%
Best Gap +2.52%

🏭 Sector Comparison: CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS

How CRGY compares to 51 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
CRGY: -0.24% Sector: -0.16% -0.08%
EOD Gain
CRGY: +0.61% Sector: +59.69% -59.08%
Avg MFE
CRGY: +3.23% Sector: +2.88% +0.35%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical CRGY alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-12-04 09:28:04 $14.65 +1.02% +0.48% +0.68% +0.14% -1.02% +2.25% - +0.34% WIN
2024-10-01 09:28:58 $10.97 -2.60% -1.87% +0.18% +1.13% +1.82% +2.96% -2.83% -2.55% LOSS
2024-05-16 09:25:45 $11.5 +1.61% +0.70% +0.91% +2.09% +1.22% +5.09% -1.48% +2.52% WIN
2024-04-01 09:29:35 $12.1 -3.22% -2.36% -3.68% -3.72% -3.47% -0.83% -1.32% -0.83% LOSS
2024-03-07 09:27:45 $10.75 +0.93% +1.40% +1.40% +0.98% -1.02% +2.60% -0.21% +0.37% WIN
2023-09-25 09:25:00 $11.61 +0.43% +1.46% +2.41% +2.84% +6.80% +7.19% -0.09% -0.09% WIN
2023-09-07 09:27:00 $12.84 +1.01% +1.91% -0.62% +0.39% +3.58% +5.10% -0.78% -0.31% WIN
2022-09-09 09:25:00 $16.34 -1.10% +0.43% -2.39% -2.77% -3.00% +1.47% -1.47% +0.06% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 75.0% Baseline on CRGY

The 75.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push CRGY's performance to 75%+.

Optimize CRGY Strategy →

Why Analyze CRGY with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for CRGY. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, CRGY historically offers an average upside of +3.23% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 CRGY Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 75.0%, CRGY shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show CRGY performs best on the 15MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.27%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.