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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$CRGY

Trade-Ideas alerts 57.7% at 15-min n=26 2022-09-09 → 2026-09-16

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 26 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Dec 08, 2021 🔗 www.crescentenergyco.com
💰 Market Cap: $4.42B 👥 Employees: 1,066
Crescent Energy Co is an energy company committed to delivering value for shareholders through disciplined growth, acquisition ideas, and the consistent return of capital. Its long-life, balanced portfolio combines stable cash flows from low-decline production with deep, high-quality development inventory. The company operates in one reportable segment, which is the exploration and production of crude oil, natural gas, and NGLs.
Total alerts
26
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 15MIN
57.7%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 15MIN
-0.03%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+2.39%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading CRGY on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 30.8%
Avg Gain: -0.10%
Avg Winner: +1.52%
Avg Loser: -0.92%
Best: +4.86%
Worst: -3.22%
Trades: 8/16

15MIN

Win Rate: 57.7%
Avg Gain: -0.03%
Avg Winner: +1.33%
Avg Loser: -1.90%
Best: +5.05%
Worst: -3.09%
Trades: 15/11

30MIN

Win Rate: 46.2%
Avg Gain: -0.38%
Avg Winner: +1.52%
Avg Loser: -2.00%
Best: +3.24%
Worst: -3.70%
Trades: 12/14

60MIN

Win Rate: 57.7%
Avg Gain: +0.17%
Avg Winner: +1.60%
Avg Loser: -1.79%
Best: +6.72%
Worst: -3.72%
Trades: 15/11

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 38.5%
Avg Gain: +0.26%
Avg Winner: +3.34%
Avg Loser: -1.67%
Best: +9.72%
Worst: -5.26%
Trades: 10/16

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.39%
Best MFE: +10.82%
Avg Time to MFE: 117 min

On average, CRGY alerts reach +2.39% profit potential within 117 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.28%
Worst MAE: -3.67%
Avg Time to MAE: 11 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.28%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.86:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 26 alerts, CRGY typically reaches +2.39% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 26
Gap Up % 34.6%
Avg Gap -0.16%
Best Gap +3.19%

🏭 Sector Comparison: CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS

How CRGY compares to 70 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
CRGY: -0.10% Sector: -0.18% +0.08%
EOD Gain
CRGY: +0.26% Sector: +33.00% -32.74%
Avg MFE
CRGY: +2.39% Sector: +3.46% -1.07%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical CRGY alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-09-16 09:25:00 $15.2 -0.86% -2.30% -2.40% -2.70% -5.26% -0.07% -0.99% -0.56% LOSS
2026-08-13 09:25:00 $11.91 -0.42% +0.08% -0.67% -0.21% -0.08% +0.92% -1.26% +0.00% LOSS
2026-07-08 09:25:00 $9.72 -0.02% -2.47% -2.17% -0.31% -1.34% +0.36% -2.83% -0.62% LOSS
2026-06-15 09:25:00 $11.13 -1.08% +0.49% +0.31% +0.36% -0.99% +1.51% -2.94% -1.80% LOSS
2026-06-02 09:25:00 $12.12 -0.33% -0.66% -0.45% -0.25% -1.07% +0.21% -1.49% -0.41% LOSS
2026-05-22 09:25:00 $13.06 -0.35% +0.72% +2.18% +0.84% +1.11% +2.33% -0.81% -0.12% LOSS
2026-05-07 09:25:00 $12.47 -0.59% -1.47% -2.15% -1.51% -0.26% +1.26% -0.91% +0.86% LOSS
2026-04-08 09:25:00 $12.57 -0.48% -1.71% -2.19% +0.48% +1.59% +1.75% -3.10% -0.28% LOSS
2026-04-06 09:25:00 $13.63 -1.54% +0.59% -0.59% -0.92% -0.95% +0.63% -1.58% -1.47% LOSS
2026-03-25 09:25:00 $12.84 +0.86% +2.02% +2.69% +2.92% +4.98% +5.69% -0.31% +0.00% WIN
2026-03-23 09:25:00 $12.28 -0.08% +2.44% +2.08% +2.24% +1.79% +3.30% -3.67% -0.41% LOSS
2026-03-19 09:25:00 $12.43 +1.41% +0.74% +1.13% +0.93% -1.45% +1.77% -0.56% +0.72% WIN
2026-03-09 09:25:00 $11.97 -0.08% -0.92% -1.50% +0.13% -0.08% +2.46% -1.92% -1.00% LOSS
2026-03-05 09:25:00 $11.62 +0.00% +1.46% +1.03% +1.89% +0.77% +2.13% -0.69% +0.17% LOSS
2026-03-04 09:25:00 $10.49 +4.86% +5.05% +3.24% +6.72% +9.72% +10.82% -0.95% +3.19% WIN
2026-03-03 09:25:00 $11.65 -1.55% -1.24% -2.83% -1.46% -3.52% +0.00% -0.17% -1.72% LOSS
2026-03-02 09:25:00 $12.3 +0.00% -3.09% -2.72% -2.91% -2.36% +0.81% -0.41% +0.16% LOSS
2026-02-25 09:25:00 $10.4 -0.48% -2.79% -3.70% -2.98% -0.87% +0.34% -0.58% -0.48% LOSS
2024-12-04 09:28:04 $14.65 +1.02% +0.48% +0.68% +0.14% -1.02% +2.25% +0.00% +0.34% WIN
2024-10-01 09:28:58 $10.97 -2.60% -1.87% +0.18% +1.13% +1.82% +2.96% -2.83% -2.55% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ CRGY Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 57.7% win rate, CRGY has -0.03% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve win size or reduce loss size, making CRGY profitable.

🔧 Fix CRGY Risk / Reward →

Why Analyze CRGY with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for CRGY. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, CRGY historically offers an average upside of +2.39% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 CRGY Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 57.7%, CRGY shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-1.90%) outweigh average wins (+1.33%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: CRGY shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -0.03%). This suggests CRGY is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.