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Latest signal:

CRNC Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 25 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-07 → 2025-02-11

⚠️ Small sample size (25 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Cerence Inc. Common Stock SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE (SIC 7372)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Sep 16, 2019 🔗 www.cerence.com
💰 Market Cap: $511.4M 👥 Employees: 1,300
Cerence Inc is a United States-based software company. It is involved in developing mobility-based solutions for drivers and their cars. The customers include all automobile original equipment manufacturers, or OEMs, or their tier 1 suppliers. The company's revenue is generated by selling software licenses and cloud-connected services. Geographically, it derives a majority of its revenue from the United States and also has a presence in Other Americas; Germany; Other Europe, the Middle East, Africa; Japan, and Other Asia-Pacific.
📊
25
Total Alerts
🎯
60.0%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
+3.85%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+13.99%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 52.0%
Avg Gain: +1.53%
Avg Winner: +5.14%
Avg Loser: -2.38%
Best: +10.27%
Worst: -5.65%
Trades: 13/12

15MIN

Win Rate: 56.0%
Avg Gain: +1.51%
Avg Winner: +5.59%
Avg Loser: -3.68%
Best: +15.07%
Worst: -9.59%
Trades: 14/11

30MIN

Win Rate: 52.0%
Avg Gain: +2.24%
Avg Winner: +7.77%
Avg Loser: -3.74%
Best: +29.86%
Worst: -7.71%
Trades: 13/12

60MIN

Win Rate: 60.0%
Avg Gain: +3.85%
Avg Winner: +10.07%
Avg Loser: -5.47%
Best: +42.61%
Worst: -8.23%
Trades: 15/10

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: +4.93%
Avg Winner: +20.93%
Avg Loser: -5.74%
Best: +79.31%
Worst: -16.13%
Trades: 10/15

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +13.99%
Best MFE: +85.80%
Avg Time to MFE: 87 min

On average, CRNC alerts reach +13.99% profit potential within 87 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.14%
Worst MAE: -8.25%
Avg Time to MAE: 4 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.14%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

6.53:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 6.53x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 25 alerts, CRNC typically reaches +13.99% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 11.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 25
Gap Up % 40.0%
Avg Gap -0.15%
Best Gap +4.30%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE

How CRNC compares to 137 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
CRNC: +1.53% Sector: -0.09% +1.62%
EOD Gain
CRNC: +4.93% Sector: +73.64% -68.71%
Avg MFE
CRNC: +13.99% Sector: +4.32% +9.67%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical CRNC alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-11 09:29:39 $16.09 -0.28% +0.53% -1.06% -2.92% -8.95% +3.04% -0.56% -0.50% LOSS
2025-02-07 09:26:02 $12.23 +8.22% +11.24% +5.97% +14.64% +18.40% +21.26% -0.65% +0.16% WIN
2025-02-06 09:28:27 $13.43 -2.08% -3.28% -2.35% -3.65% -5.14% -0.04% -0.97% -0.37% LOSS
2025-01-27 09:26:09 $12.56 +4.10% +3.90% +3.74% +3.18% +4.30% +5.81% -0.48% +4.30% WIN
2025-01-22 09:28:05 $14.55 +5.12% +6.77% +7.08% +14.09% +0.41% +14.30% -0.96% -0.21% WIN
2025-01-21 09:29:20 $12.71 -1.49% +1.42% -1.57% +1.89% +7.47% +8.10% -4.64% -0.39% LOSS
2025-01-17 09:26:55 $13.2 -4.24% -3.41% -1.82% -4.62% -4.70% - -0.68% -0.49% LOSS
2025-01-16 09:27:32 $13.56 +4.87% +2.21% +3.17% +2.29% -5.09% +9.88% +0.48% +0.48% WIN
2025-01-15 09:25:47 $13.6 -0.18% +0.96% +4.93% +4.60% -1.51% +6.73% -1.75% -1.62% LOSS
2025-01-14 09:29:15 $14.32 +2.54% +4.68% +2.30% +2.93% -8.38% +7.40% -0.56% -0.49% WIN
2025-01-13 09:27:03 $14.4 -1.63% -0.90% +0.69% -3.81% -4.44% +3.47% -3.47% +1.32% LOSS
2025-01-10 09:28:01 $15.16 +1.19% -0.53% -4.16% -6.14% -0.07% +7.19% +0.40% +0.40% WIN
2025-01-08 09:26:16 $17.25 +0.05% -3.30% -7.71% -7.65% -9.28% +0.93% -0.87% +0.14% WIN
2025-01-07 09:26:33 $18.91 +3.81% +7.72% +6.40% +7.80% +0.32% +15.23% -0.79% +0.26% WIN
2025-01-06 09:28:33 $24.06 +10.27% -4.61% -3.89% -8.23% -16.13% +14.30% -1.91% -1.78% WIN
2025-01-03 09:28:36 $10.78 +8.14% +12.80% +19.79% +29.99% +79.31% +84.51% -3.62% +0.09% WIN
2024-12-31 09:25:56 $8.17 +0.67% +0.37% +1.84% +1.84% -3.92% +3.18% -0.61% +0.37% WIN
2024-12-20 09:27:22 $7.48 -0.27% -0.43% -1.20% +0.33% +2.54% +4.41% -3.07% -0.94% LOSS
2024-11-25 09:29:12 $7.61 -5.65% -9.59% -5.26% -6.04% -7.23% +1.58% -0.92% -0.53% LOSS
2024-11-22 09:26:30 $5.82 +7.90% +6.62% +9.28% +19.76% +23.71% +30.58% -1.89% +0.86% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 60.0% Baseline on CRNC

The 60.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push CRNC's performance to 75%+.

Optimize CRNC Strategy →

Why Analyze CRNC with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for CRNC. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, CRNC historically offers an average upside of +13.99% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 CRNC Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 60.0%, CRNC shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show CRNC performs best on the 60MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +3.85%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.