Latest signal:
CROX Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 29 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-12 → 2025-02-13
⚠️ Small sample size (29 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, CROX alerts reach +3.93% profit potential within 145 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.44%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.74x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 29 alerts, CROX typically reaches +3.93% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.1% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: RUBBER & PLASTICS FOOTWEAR
How CROX compares to 3 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical CROX alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-13 | 09:27:53 | $111.0 | -4.10% | -5.11% | -5.11% | -4.70% | -0.86% | +0.57% | -6.62% | -0.32% | LOSS |
| 2024-10-29 | 09:29:51 | $114.12 | -0.53% | -1.35% | -1.50% | -1.34% | -2.23% | +3.19% | -1.86% | -0.32% | LOSS |
| 2024-08-05 | 09:25:36 | $114.0 | -0.13% | +1.84% | +3.03% | +3.97% | +6.18% | +7.35% | -1.32% | +0.48% | LOSS |
| 2024-08-01 | 09:26:44 | $126.01 | -3.27% | +1.74% | +0.89% | -0.18% | +3.81% | +5.58% | -4.13% | +0.46% | LOSS |
| 2024-07-19 | 09:28:08 | $131.02 | -0.37% | +0.18% | +0.73% | +0.63% | +1.89% | +2.66% | -0.61% | +0.35% | LOSS |
| 2024-07-12 | 09:28:48 | $141.34 | -0.11% | -0.89% | -0.43% | -1.04% | -1.49% | +0.45% | -1.33% | +0.15% | LOSS |
| 2024-07-02 | 09:28:14 | $145.87 | +0.34% | -0.89% | -1.58% | -1.05% | -0.26% | +0.79% | +0.29% | +0.51% | WIN |
| 2024-06-26 | 09:26:43 | $150.8 | +0.39% | +0.76% | +1.53% | +2.27% | -1.43% | +2.65% | -0.06% | +0.76% | WIN |
| 2024-06-24 | 09:26:43 | $154.59 | -0.65% | -1.51% | -0.54% | -0.85% | -1.29% | +0.16% | -1.95% | -0.82% | LOSS |
| 2024-05-07 | 09:27:36 | $132.6 | +4.35% | +5.97% | +4.38% | +4.65% | +2.93% | +7.62% | +0.09% | +0.39% | WIN |
| 2024-02-15 | 09:27:09 | $115.0 | +0.16% | +0.40% | -0.90% | +1.80% | +5.77% | +6.69% | -2.33% | +1.44% | WIN |
| 2023-12-22 | 09:28:00 | $99.41 | -0.69% | -1.12% | -1.13% | -1.58% | -1.24% | +0.39% | -2.09% | +0.28% | LOSS |
| 2023-11-02 | 09:27:00 | $74.04 | +4.05% | +8.18% | +8.24% | +8.99% | +11.82% | +11.90% | -1.82% | +0.22% | WIN |
| 2023-07-28 | 09:29:00 | $105.01 | +0.60% | -0.30% | +0.12% | -1.16% | +2.98% | +3.57% | -1.24% | +0.14% | WIN |
| 2023-07-27 | 09:25:00 | $113.0 | -4.71% | -4.88% | -6.91% | -9.37% | -9.47% | +0.42% | +0.05% | -2.32% | LOSS |
| 2023-06-21 | 09:29:00 | $105.62 | +2.43% | +3.38% | +3.47% | +1.96% | +2.80% | +4.36% | -0.12% | +0.31% | WIN |
| 2023-04-27 | 09:28:00 | $136.8 | -5.31% | -10.30% | -8.82% | -11.91% | -9.12% | -0.22% | -0.22% | -0.73% | LOSS |
| 2023-02-16 | 09:28:00 | $132.0 | +1.78% | +7.92% | +4.39% | +3.98% | -0.61% | +8.71% | +0.14% | +0.64% | WIN |
| 2023-01-19 | 09:27:00 | $125.61 | -0.69% | -1.00% | -1.98% | -2.23% | -3.33% | +0.15% | -1.15% | -0.01% | LOSS |
| 2023-01-12 | 09:27:00 | $123.31 | -0.92% | -0.89% | -0.75% | +1.02% | +3.08% | +3.32% | -1.57% | +0.58% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ CROX Shows Negative Expectancy
Despite a 51.7% win rate, CROX has -0.15% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making CROX profitable.
🔧 Fix CROX Risk/Reward →Why Analyze CROX with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for CROX. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, CROX historically offers an average upside of +3.93% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 CROX Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 51.7%, CROX shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-2.83%) outweigh average wins (+2.35%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: CROX shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -0.15%). This suggests CROX is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.